Eric Prime

In the Speakeasy forum.

Alita and HDD are opening on a Thursday, so this is a 5-day prediction. Isn't It Romantic opens on a Wednesday, so this is a 6-day prediction.

I thought you said you were done with this forum after stating Snyder haters were going to hell.

Jimgang made me go high. Jimgang and their long-winded rants terrify me.

It couldn’t be better than this.

Uglydolls > Endgame

February 22 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World: Here’s a fun fact: I’ve gotten the latest trailer three times in the theatre, and all three times they’ve made me teary-eyed and emotional. So yeah, I’m really excited for this movie. But do I think most people are? This is going to be Universal’s first Dreamworks film, and we know how well Universal has done with Illumination in the past few years. However, this has a lot going against it. For starters, this is coming out five years after the last movie, which is the worst time a sequel can be released. Far enough from the last movie people need to be reminded it exists, not so far enough that it becomes nostalgic. And with the second film already being an underperformer, that doesn’t help matters. To say nothing about the slew of competition it will deal with, including Lego, Captain Marvel, and Wonder Park. However, don’t mistake my tone. This will still be a decent hit, and at the very least, Universal’s marketing has gone in the right direction, with 28M+ views for its first teaser and pretty solid views for the full-length trailer (6.5M+ views. Not amazing, but still impressive). Hopefully like with Illumination, the film's advertising will keep on trucking well into the next couple of months. With the movie opening so early overseas (Australia/New Zealand are getting it next weekend), this should hopefully lead to good reviews as well. Kung Fu Panda 3 numbers seem like a safe range for this movie, which would be a solid ending to a great trilogy and a step in the right direction for Universal’s new animation studio. 43/145 (3.37x) The Rhythm Section looks like it'll be dumped on Netflix than even making it to theaters, so I'm just gonna skip that.

Sigh...well, guess I'll get it over with. February 15 Alita: Battle Angel: Ho boy, can't wait to be hounded by a bunch of weirdos who have a fetish for 10 ft. tall blue people. Exclusively Jimgang, I will be attacked by in this thread? Let's see what happens. Perhaps Marvelites or TLJ haters might be even worse. Anyways, the second delay for the project, this has sacrificed Christmas legs for a Valentine’s Day opening and weaker competition. So where does this go box office wise? I’ll admit I had no idea how the film would do in July. I had no idea how the film would do in December. And guess what? Still have no idea how the film will do in February. The delays certainly don’t help the film’s buzz, and it seems like a film that only Cameron die-hards care about and nobody else. But the marketplace won’t have any action films available, and James Cameron still has enough pull and a passionate fanbase. I’m going to say this will cross the century mark, even if by a slight amount. It's not anything good, but it won't be anything terrible, especially if it's a hit overseas. (btw if you Cameron fans are gonna be pissy at me over this, go step on a Lego) 35/50/110 (3.14x, 2.2x) Happy Death Day 2U: Happy Death Day was a modest hit when it came out last year, and this seems like it will see a slight increase. The first film has likely found a new audience in the ancillary market, and the trailers make the movie seem pretty fun. It also seems like a good date night option for teens. Won't set the box office on fire like the Blumhouse films surrounding it, but it'll find mild success. 20/30/65 (3.25x, 2.17x) Isn’t It Romantic: Not really sure what to do multiplier wise for this, because of it having a six-day weekend, but I guess I'll try? What matters is the total anyways. Okay, so Rebel Wilson? Aight. The director of Harold and Kumar 3 and The Final Girls? Okay. Adam Devine? Ugh. But the premise seems enjoyable enough, the trailer has a couple laughs, and it should be a good date night option for this coming Valentine’s Day/President’s Day weekend, especially since this will have a PG-13 rating. It'll definitely be successful, but expect What Men Want to be the bigger hit, in spite of its R rating. 15/30/75 (5x, 2.5x)

Not to go into spoilers, but my Alita predict is in the best sweet spot. Not a success, but not a failure. Jimgang ain't gon' kill me.

Universal's marketing is really something wonderful.

Bodes well for More Bedknobs and More Broomsticks.

Actually, I just realized that both National Treasure and I Am Legend had much lower Christmas Day results than Aquaman, so it probably won't see that good of a drop. But a drop in the low 20% feels about right?

Looking at 2007, Poppins, Spider-Verse, and Ralph should see an increase. Aquaman and Bumblebee will probably drop around 10%

February 8 Cold Pursuit: A lot of recent Liam Neeson action pieces (The Commuter, Run All Night, Walk Among the Tombstones) have opened in the low teens. This has a better trailer, a better hook, and a strong co-star with Laura Dern, so this should do slightly better. However, don’t expect Non-Stop numbers. 16/45 (2.81x) The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part: After five years, we’re finally getting a direct sequel. But does anyone (apart from @YourMother the Edgelord) really care? Lego Batman did respectable business, while Lego Ninjago was a flop. But it will have been nearly 17 months since Ninjago was out, which will benefit the film a bit (absence makes the heart grow fonder and such). However, it doesn’t seem like the trailers have gotten many excited for the movie (the second trailer’s only gotten 2.7M views in a month), and Dragon 3 will cut into its legs. Regardless, this should still do decent business, even if it won’t reach the heights of the first movie or maybe even Lego Batman. Perhaps going spin-offs first instead of a sequel was not the best idea for the franchise. 55/170 (3.09x) The Prodigy: It has a decent jump scare in the trailer, but that’s really about it. Happy Death Day will be out a week later, so this won’t garner much cash. 8/20 (2.5x) What Men Want: This has great potential to be a surprise hit few of us will see coming. What Women Want was a massive hit back in 2000, adjusting to $300M in 2018 dollars. This obviously won’t be as big as that film, but the trailers are funny, it’ll be the first comedy film in ages, and with it coming out pre-Valentine's Day weekend, it will be able to capitalize on a strong second-weekend hold. All hail Queen Taraji! 35/120 (3.43x)

February 1 Miss Bala: An American remake of the critically acclaimed Spanish drama, this seems like it will likely be lost in the shuffle. Glass will still be playing and Catherine Hardwicke’s very hit-and-miss. Also doesn't help that it's coming out on Super Bowl weekend. Not a great sign. Something akin to the last Resident Evil film sounds just about right. 12/28 (2.33x) Jacob's Ladder doesn't have any promotional materials yet, so I'm just going to assume it'll have a delay.

Pretty sure it's heading to Netflix like Eli too at this point.

Yes, I'm sure people expected a film from the director of The Big Short to not be super left-leaning in its politics.

REPLACE RTH WITH ASGARD. OUR GOD NEEDS TO BE ANONYMOUS

Couldn't give it a 10/10. Hater smh

January 26 The Kid Who Would Be King: Joe Cornish is a talent. However, the film's marketing makes the movie seem like one of those lame family fantasy flicks from the 2000s. Y'know, the ones trying to capitalize on Harry Potter's success? It doesn't seem like a film that will catch on with kids, especially since Lego will be out two weeks later. 12/38 (3.17x) Serenity: The film got delayed from October to January. Probably for a good reason. The trailer's mediocre, and adults will already be pre-occupied with Oscar contenders than this. Even the all-star cast doesn't seem all that enticing. This will be a blip. 8/25 (3.12x)

January 18 Glass: Alright. Now we're talking. Split was a popular hit, people got excited over the Unbreakable connection at the end, and Blumhouse has been killing it lately at the box office. The trailers have been strong and have garnered a lot of buzz amongst genre fans and the GA. With Aquaman and Bumblebee already being out for a whole month, this is the perfect action tentpole at the right time. Adding in Bruce Willis and Samuel L. Jackson will only further drive interest in the film. It also has a clear schedule in terms of competition until Alita. I know that Han's prediction will be much crazier, but I'm gonna be conservative, and say it won't see that big of a jump from Split. However, it will still have a solid run and be another smash for Shyamagod and Blum. It probably won't reach Get Out's total, but maybe Blumhouse has another trick up its sleeve for this March? 55/70/170 (3.1x, 2.43x)