Eric Quinn

July 10 Ghostbusters: Afterlife: I know a lot of people are going nuts for the teaser, but....I don't know. Say what you will about the 2016 reboot, but I think it’s fair to say the toxic reactions toward that film have really damaged the Ghostbusters brand to the GA that even with the old gang back, I doubt even nostalgia will help it all that much. Still, Ghostbusters is a recognizable enough name, and buzz from the trailer so far is good enough that it should at least cross the century mark, though probably under the 2016 film. So hey, consolation prize for fans of that movie. 45/120 (2.67x) The Purge 5: The last movie went down a touch, but nothing drastic. The fanbase still likes checking these movies out, and I trust Jason Blum to add a new twist here that will make people excited for this one too. Still down from the last movie, but good enough that we should still get at least one more movie. 28/65 (2.32x)

July 3 Free Guy: I’m sure the trailer has its fans, but I’m not sure if it was that effective in selling people on the movie. It sold the basic premise, but the plot is kind of hard to pin down, and I think that’s a detriment to an original movie like this. And with all the competition surrounding it, I’m hesitant on it being a stand out. Maybe Disney/Fox will do better in getting the geek crowd interested, but I have my doubts. But at the very least, it should still play well to Reynolds’ fanbase. 30/85 (2.83x) Minions: The Rise of Gru: The Secret Life of Pets was liked by critics and audiences, albeit one can argue many were just indifferent, and its sequel still dropped more than half from its predecessor. Meanwhile, Minions was strongly disliked by many, while Despicable Me 3 had pretty “meh” reception too. I guess July is empty enough, especially stuff for kids, that it won’t do that bad. But I feel like at this point, a lot of people’s interest and excitement for the Minions have died down due to the last couple movies just not really landing, and I think people are getting tired of them. The common consensus with people on BOT is about 200M, but I’m gonna go lower. Way lower. Hey, it is the controversial predictions thread. Get ready for an epic drop this summer, because this movie’s going to go low. Yes, even below Pets 2. 40/135 (3.37x)

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-17 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 25 32 5,566 0.57% Total Shows Added Today: 1 Total Seats Added Today: 86 Total Seats Sold Today: 0 Comp 0.278x of Maleficent 17 days before release (640K) 0.076x of Frozen II 17 days before release (651K) I mean...there's a new comp.

The Grudge Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 15 33 3,087 1.07% Comp 0.500x of Crawl 3 days before release (500K) 0.268x of Scary Stories (625K) 0.733x of 47 Meters Down (378K) 0.333x of Doctor Sleep (500K) 1.064x of Black Christmas (245K) Eh, I guess this is alright? We'll see how ticket sales the next couple days and walk-ups affect the movie

@CoolioD1 Before you ask, yes you can make fun of me when my Soul prediction doesn't pan out. I don't know about Han tho Oh and happy birthday

I want to have a very Chalamet Christmas next year, so eff that idea

June 26 In the Heights: Lin-Manuel Miranda had already graced his artistic excellence on Broadway and at Disney. But now, he’s here with the redeemed Jon Chu with the film adaptation of the show that got his name on the map. Lin’s name is still big, and the trailer promises plenty of amazing music and dancing that will excite a lot of people. In fact, exciting a lot of people. There already seems to be a huge amount of excitement going off the trailer, and this hype seems like something that could continue. The rest of the film honestly looks like an effective crowdpleaser too. And with this basically being the only major non-superhero release this summer that’s really targeting adult women, this should be another notch in both Lin and Chu’s film careers. And you know what, let's just say this is gonna have legs for days too. I'll be controversial I guess. 50/190 (3.8x) Top Gun: Maverick: Admittedly, I don’t think it was the best idea to do a year-long marketing campaign for this, and this probably would have been a bigger deal a few years ago. But while there are a lot who are pessimistic on the film, I think this could surprise. Top Gun is still an iconic film that was a box office monster back in the day (adjusts to over 433M today), and I’d argue has a lot of nostalgia towards Gen Xers and boomers. And unlike, say, Terminator or Charlie’s Angels, this is the first time we’re seeing anything Top Gun related since the original film, so it’s not like the property is oversaturated or full of mediocre sequels or remakes. If the Cruise Missile really delivers on the flight scenes, even better. In a way, the only real drawback is just coming out on the heels of Wonder Woman and Soul. I mean I’m being very optimistic towards both, especially Soul. But if you took out one of the two, I would be more confident in something like 180M, especially with how mediocre the first half of July looks (again, we’ll get to that tomorrow). But at this point, I'm sure Paramount will take anything. 45/140 (3.11x)

June 19 Pete Davidson Comedy: After breaking up with Ariana, Pete Davidson’s celebrity status has gone down quite a bit. But Apatow’s still a savvy director who knows how to boost an actor’s career. Considering comedies are dead, I doubt this will even get close to Trainwreck. But I guess as long as the laughs deliver, this should do okay and maybe help Davidson get another acting gig before 2icide Squad drops next year. 20/70 (3.5x) Soul: Pete Docter is back with a new existential adventure that will make grown adults cry, and it’s going to be a real stunner next year. Viewership for the teaser is on par with the recent trailer for Trolls and Spongebob, which is great for a completely original film like this. And outside of that, this looks to have all the Pixar goods Fun visuals, a creative world, mature themes, the whole kibosh. And with the great Pete Docter on board, we should hopefully expect amazing WOM to boot. Minions will be a bit of a bump (though not that much. More on that tomorrow), but I think it should still at least be in the top three of the summer. And while what I’m saying seems very unrealistic...well, this is the controversial predictions thread. 107/400 (3.74x)

June 12 Candyman: This is one of the more interesting films this year box office wise. Jordan Peele’s already had great success as a director, but this is his first major role as a producer on a film he didn’t make. (I know he produced BlacKkKlansman, but his name wasn't really a focal point in the advertising) I’ll admit I know very little about Candyman, and I don’t really see it being discussed outside of the horror community, so I have doubts on any GA appeal. But it’ll probably be cheap enough and get enough conversation amongst horror fan communities to help put Monkeypaw on the right track when it comes to their productions. 13/32 (2.46x)

June 5 Wonder Woman 1984: Cue that one guitar sample (Fuck WB for not putting it in the trailer btw)! Wonder Woman was a smash success when it first came out, with a great opening and legs for days. The trailer looks to continue with all the great stuff that the first movie had, while also bringing in a fun ‘80s setting and wild action setpieces. With how much people loved the first film, this already has a large established audience, and reruns on TV have helped keep the movie alive. I feel confident Patty Jenkins has something special up her sleeve that will make people love this one just as much, if not more. And just to spoil things early, I think this will be the #1 movie of the year. So to all the people who do nothing but complain about Disney, at least you’re getting something. Ride that lightning baby! 155/475 (3.06x)

lol

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 24 32 5,480 0.58% Total Seats Sold Today: 0 Comp 0.283x of Maleficent 18 days before release (651K) ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

So in case you're wondering, yeah I decided to throw out all my May ones early. Bit busy today, and I knew my Fast 9 prediction is bound to make some heads turn, so have fun and discuss away.

May 29 Artemis Fowl: Even Disney doesn’t care about this movie. It was ignored back at D23, people were unimpressed by the initial trailer, there’s been zero marketing since then. It being left to die amongst the summer offerings was not a coincidence. Sorry @Morieris 15/40 (2.67x)

May 22 Fast & Furious 9: When I was writing this up, I was planning to put this over Hobbs & Shaw, but the more I thought about it, I realized I couldn’t think of any good reason why. Like...at all. Of course, I say this at a time where we have zero marketing to go off of. But with that said, there’s nothing here that makes me confident in this. Fate of the Furious got mediocre reactions from fans and audiences, and Hobbs & Shaw didn’t fare much better. And while I like John Cena and Cardi B, I don’t really think those are exciting cast members that will make people excited for this. And yeah, the rumors of a CGI Paul Walker makes me really uncomfortable, and I think that will be the case for a lot of others. Maybe the story here is really off the wall and fun and will make people excited, but for now...yeah, under Hobbs & Shaw. At least the Dwayne-Tyrese beef will be funny. 65/74/150 (2.31x, 2.03x) The Spongebob Movie: Sponge on the Run: Like Scooby-Doo, Spongebob’s still a popular property to kids, and is nostalgic towards adults. And yeah, the trailer’s got some great laughs (Keanu!). But there doesn’t seem to be that much of a hook. CGI Spongebob was used in Sponge Out of Water already, and when you take out the CGI, it just feels like an extended episode of the show to me. And with Wonder Woman and Soul taking family audiences, and Scoob still making money, this has to really stand out, which doesn’t seem like the case so far. But it should still get across the century mark, if only because of the brand and holiday. 30/40/100 (3.33x, 2.5x)

May 15 Scoob!: After Detective Pikachu, I’ve been much more wary about trailer views. But with almost 30M views on WB’s channel, I’d argue it at least shows there is a decent amount of interest here. Scooby-Doo is a property that still seems relevant to kids, although maybe not as much as in 2002, and is nostalgic to adults. I also think being the first time these characters are put in CGI might not be a major help, but it definitely won’t hurt. This won’t rock the boat, but it should be one of Warner’s better-performing animated movies, especially since Black Widow will be way weaker than Endgame. 40/135 (3.37x) Untitled Saw Film: Ah yes, a reboot of a property that just had its last film three years ago. That always turns out well. The inclusion of Chris Rock and SLJ might turn some heads, and should definitely get a lot trailer views, but this seems like Child’s Play where most people will just kind of shrug and move on. 10/20 (2x) The Woman in the Window: Amy Adams in what’s basically a remake of the iconic classic thriller Disturbia sounds entertaining. If only the delay and especially the third act retool weren’t so concerning. Maybe it'll get good enough reviews, but we’ll see if people are really that interested. I predicted 30/105 last year, so let’s just cut things down for size. 20/65 (3.25x)

May 8 Covers: I never even heard of this movie until I had to look it up for this thread. Doing a quick look, it’s about the music industry, it’s from the director of Late Night, and it stars Dakota Johnson. Sounds fine. Should do fine? I dunno. There’s not much else to say with this one. 5/20 (4x) Greyhound: Tom Hanks’ recent movies, like Bridge of Spies, The Post, and A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, are starting to follow a specific pattern. Teens opening, strong legs. This one will probably do the same. Nothing amazing, but will be a good pick for geriatrics and will hold well throughout the weeks. 14/60 (4.28x) Legally Blonde 3: Adjusted, the first Legally Blonde gets to 155.3M, while Legally Blonde 2 gets to 136.9M. And I think there’s been enough time between 2 and 3 that fans will be curious to check it out. It also helps that Reese has been having great success on TV in the last couple years to help keep her in the news. Obviously adjusted there's a big decline, but unadjusted it's only slightly less than the mid-90s of the previous two. 25/85 (3.4x)

May 1 Black Widow: Natasha Romanoff is back with her long overdue solo adventure. Trailer views are great, as expected, and the hype is definitely there. You could argue that unlike some prior MCU films, there’s not a real sense of urgency that makes this a must-see compared to, say, Captain Marvel or even Far From Home. But honestly, I’m just not gonna doubt Marvel. They know what people like, they know how to get people excited, they know they still got people underwhelmed by their teasers, and there’s probably many who will see it as a sort of a swan song to Nat and ScarJo, which can boost it even further. Should do about average MCU numbers, which...yeah, is still really good. 130/365 (2.81x)