Eric Quinn

@WrathOfHan you sleep?

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 24 32 5,480 0.58% Total Seats Sold Today: 2 Comp 0.302x of Maleficent (694K)

I'd clean up for him.

April 24 Bad Trip: So this is Bad Grandpa, only without the Jackass brand attached to it. Keanu numbers sound about right. 8/20 (2.5x)

April 17 Monster Problems: Looking through the IMDB and Wikipedia summary, this just looks like a ripoff of Zombieland, but with Dylan O’Brien as the discount Eisenberg and Michael Rooker as the discount Harrelson. LOL 8/20 (2.5x) Trolls World Tour: This is anecdotal, but my sister works at a daycare, and their playroom has a TV that plays pretty much every animated movie that's come out the last 10 years. And out of a wide variety of movies, my sister mentioned Trolls is the biggest non-Disney option kids there absolutely love and can’t get enough of. Even if the film wasn’t that big in the box office at first, it’s still a moneymaker years later, with a decent amount of merch on the shelves, and it still seems relevant to kids and families, and I think this will translate to the sequel. Admittedly, its release date isn’t the best, but I think the trailers are fun enough for its audience, and the first movie’s growing popularity should still lead to a good jump in the OW, and at least a gross on par with the previous movie. 55/165 (3x)

@Arendelle Legion I fixed it...maybe...hopefully...please don't mock me 🙁 Oh yeah and April Round 2 is coming up very soon.

Would you believe I’m very dense when it comes to 5-Day extrapolation?

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-brahms-the-boy-2-and-call-of-the-wild/ 8-Week Tracking & Forecasts Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor 1/3/2020 The Grudge (2020) $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000 $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $25,000,000 Sony / Columbia 1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $20,000,000 – $25,000,000 $24,000,000 $75,000,000 – $100,000,000 $94,000,000 Universal / DreamWorks 1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $14,000,000 $50,000,000 – $70,000,000 $59,000,000 Warner Bros. 1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $17,000,000 $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 $51,000,000 Paramount 1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000 $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 $18,000,000 Fox 1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $25,000,000 $55,000,000 – $75,000,000 $64,000,000 Sony / Columbia 1/17/2020 Dolittle $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $40,000,000 $120,000,000 – $170,000,000 $145,000,000 Universal 1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000 STX 1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure n/a n/a Roadside Attractions 1/24/2020 Run n/a n/a Lionsgate / Summit 1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $14,000,000 $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $38,000,000 Universal 1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000 $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000 United Artists Releasing 1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000 Paramount 2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000 $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000 Warner Bros. 2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $17,000,000 $44,000,000 – $57,000,000 $44,000,000 Sony / Columbia 2/14/2020 The Photograph $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $15,000,000 $30,000,000 – $42,000,000 $35,000,000 Universal 2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $26,000,000 $65,000,000 – $100,000,000 $86,000,000 Paramount 2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000 NEW $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000 NEW STX 2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000 NEW $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000 NEW Fox

April 10 No Time to Die: I don’t know if this is still set for April 8. The Numbers and IMDb say it’s now the 10th, while Wikipedia still says the 8th. Let’s just do the 8th for now. The first trailer was a touch underwhelming, but I’m still optimistic here. The new cast members have definitely sparked interest, and there could be a finale bump with this being Craig’s swan song as the famed spy. Should at least do close to what Spectre did, but I’m going to say it does better, as it has arguably the whole month to itself until Black Widow, and that will go a long way. 70/87/220 (3.14x, 2.53x)

April 3 Fatherhood: Kevin Hart saw great success in dramatic work with The Upside, depsite having a wave of bad press behind it. A drama about parenthood and being a single dad seems like one that’s easy to sell, especially with Hart as the star. It’ll open okay, and play well throughout April. 22/85 (3.86x) The Lovebirds: Judging by the cast and crew, I’m looking forward to this one. The director of The Big Sick, and Issa Rae and Kumail Nanjiani star, so this should be quality. The premise also seems fun enough, reading off the IMDB page. So long as the trailer and reviews deliver, this should be a minor little success. Maybe even in the vicinity of Blockers or Game Night, but let's just be a little pessimistic for now. 17/55 (3.23x) The New Mutants: I was going to make a funny joke that was just “this is never coming out lol”, but some people have heard through the grapevine a trailer will drop in January, so I guess this is for reals happening. Regardless, this is still gonna be a dud. Even with the Marvel connections, nobody cares about this X-Men nonsense anymore (y’know, until Papa Feige saves the day), and Disney’s been fumbling lately with the Fox movies that got dumped in their hands. And with all the competition, with Mulan the week before and Black Widow after...yeah, Disney’s leaving this to die. Sorry Anya. 15/35 (2.33x) Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway: The first movie was a surprise critical and commercial hit, and had amazing legs in spite of Black Panther’s monster success. But I don’t really see the same success here. Not only is it being sandwiched between buzzier kids movies like Onward, Mulan and Trolls, this feels like SLOP, where people liked but didn’t love the first movie, and weren’t super interested in the sequel. It should still have good enough legs, even with Trolls the following two weeks, but expect this to go down a peg. 22/68 (3.09x)

MODERATION EPISODE II: THE MOD SQUAD STRIKE BACK As our valiant Asgardians jump via hyperspeed to deliver the vital numbers to the Box Office Theorists a Dark Force looms over the Weekend Thread: The Second Weekend Drop. A Weekend Thread Killing Machine it is known to send Weekend Threads into total panic causing outbreaks of personal attacks, trolling and overall doom and gloom. There is still Hope! If one remembers the Rules of the Jedi: NO SPOILERS NO PERSONAL ATTACKS NO TROLLING OR BAITING NO CONSPIRACIES THEORIES NO POLITICS OR PERSONAL AGENDAS One can defeat the Dark Forces and save the Weekend Thread.

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 24 30 5,480 0.55% Total Seats Sold Today: 1 Comp 0.294x of Maleficent (676K)

I agree with the first couple, but Knives Out is doing fine? It's about to do, what, 130M? Probably more? That would make it the biggest live-action Thanksgiving opener since Enchanted. That'll give Rian Johnson one or two more non-Lucasfilm projects. And while I'm being nice to Quiet Place 2, definitely expect some carnage towards a good chunk of movies. Not spoiling anything, but let's just say things aren't going to be pretty in the second half.

Here I was thinking I was being pessimistic this year.

My brain hurts

March 27 Mulan: If you talked to me in July after the teaser broke records, I would have said this was going to be #1 for the year. But since the Hong Kong stuff, and views for the second trailer went pretty sharply down, I’ve been a touch more pessimistic. Key word here being “a touch”, because it’s still gonna be big. 1998’s Mulan wasn’t as popular as some of the other Renaissance films when it first came out, but it’s garnered a huge, nostalgic following over the years, and I definitely think those fans would be excited to see a new adaptation. And despite the drop-off, it’s obvious that interest is still there and kicking. And while plenty of 90s kids are whining about the lack of Mushu and songs, I feel like people won’t care so long as the movie’s good. If anything, deviating from the 1998 film might actually make some people who are tired of these Disney remakes get a little more on board with this film. Definitely expect this to be among the upper end of the Disney remakes. 115/330 (2.87x)

March 20 A Quiet Place Part II: The full trailer will drop on New Year’s, so I don’t have much to work with right now. But either way, I feel confident in this prediction here. This is obviously not gonna be the big lightning in a bottle hit the first one was financially, and possibly even critically. But it should still do okay enough. The first film is still popular, and I think there are plenty who are interested in how the story continues and what Emily Blunt and her kids are up to. The return of the creative team might also help too. It 2 dropped about 35% from its predecessor, and I think that sounds about right here. 40/120 (3x)

https://www.thewrap.com/female-led-blockbusters-wonder-woman-1984-and-black-widow-top-2020-fandango-poll-of-most-anticipated-movies/ Hit Fandango's list too #TheHypeisReal

I talked about this stuff with @Spidey Freak yesterday, where obviously this stuff is never perfect, but I feel like Fandango's list is a good indicator of what people are feeling, and what they're excited for. And, at least for last year, you can see where the discrepancy in these lists come from, in both placement and rankings. Glass got hit hard by bad reviews, and Dumbo was boring as sin to kids. Lion King had an empty August to make its money, which helped it jump over the other movies ahead of it, while Star Wars had December to boost its legs (though granted it didn't even have a subtitle yet, but I digress). Oh yeah, also from Fandango Judging the people who didn't put Timmy in for Most Anticipated Actor by the by

March 13 Bloodshot: Sony, I get that comic book movies are all the rage, but even I have never heard of Valiant Comics until this movie was announced. What makes you think the GA will? Anyways, looking at the trailer, this will probably play like most non-Fast Vin Diesel offerings, doing somewhere between Xander Cage and Last Witch Hunter. Make its money, then quietly come and go from theaters. 14/35 (2.5x) I Still Believe: The I Can Only Imagine boys are back with another Christian joint. And while Easter is a lot later compared to 2018, it should do on par, if not better than their last film. These movies have their audience, and the Erwins did a great job selling their last film that I’m sure they can do it to this guy’s fanbase too. Bigger opening, smaller legs, about the same results. 20/85 (4.25x) My Spy: It’s never a good sign for any movie when it’s delayed twice. And kids, both boys and girls, already have or will have better options once this comes out, which means this will basically get the table scraps. Sorry Bautista. 7/20 (2.86x)

March 6 Onward: John Lasseter’s evil is no more. After nothing but sequels, Pixar is finally back with an original slate, and this kickoff seems promising. Trailer views for the first and second trailer, fickle as trailer views may be, are already outpacing most of Coco’s trailers, while the premise and trailers are fun enough with some good laughs. A starry cast full of A-listers, arguably somewhat a rarity for Pixar movies, also doesn’t hurt. I don’t think the premise nor the ads have been as effective or memorable as Inside Out’s or Zootopia’s, so I don’t see a breakout compared to those two. But it should definitely be a great start for Disney and Pixar, especially if the emotional “dead Dad” stuff lands, and it’ll be a good appetizer for Pixar’s true moneymaker this June. 68/245 (3.6x) The Way Back: The Way Back is a bit of a throwback to the good ol’ days of inspirational sports movies we don’t see much of anymore, like Glory Road and Miracle, which shares a director. But with that said, the movie isn’t really catching on, as the trailer on WB’s YouTube page hasn’t even crossed 2 million, and with audiences being allergic to midbudget stuff like this nowadays...well, at least it’ll do well on HBO Max. 8/30 (3.75x)

Ayyy those increases rock. Gems' number not so much, but maybe potential Oscar noms could diminish the bad WOM somewhat.