So I'm gonna be bold here, and say that Solo will miss $100M on its OW. The buzz feels pretty non-existent at this point, and reaction towards the trailer has been meh across the board. It just screams Justice League opening, but with better legs. Sorry @Porthos
55. Captain Marvel: $103M
56. Avengers 4: $187M
57. Aladdin: $115M
58. Spider-Man: Homecoming 2: $128M
59. The Lion King: $180M
60. It: Chapter 2: $111M
For the ones missing, Ant-Man will be coming out right after the $100M OW onslaught, and I don't see people getting that excited for another Ant-Man flick. Should still be set for an opening around the $70M range, and maybe it gets to Dr. Strange/Thor 2 levels. Grinch seems like something that will be more of a leggy hit, as it doesn't seem like a movie that will generate that kind of buzz and hype, especially since there doesn't seem to be as much of a hook as the previous Grinch movie or even SLOP. Fantastic Beasts could maybe do it, but there's a lot of competition in November and December, and I don't think the previous movie got people that excited to see the next movie. But I won't add much more than that, because I know dcasey is going to give me a long-winded rant about how I'm the worst human being alive for daring to say anything remotely negative about a series where a dumb kid wearing dopey glasses plays around with a stick.
Aquaman's coming off of Justice League, he wasn't really considered a fan-favorite from what I can tell, and apparently Atlantis looks like complete shit, so it doesn't really have much going for it. Poppins won't be that big, and its Christmas Day release will hurt its 3-Day. Godzilla 2 is following up a feature the GA didn't like, so I can't see it exceeding or even matching its predecessor's OW, especially with Captain Marvel still playing. It should still do around $70M though. Shazam is a B-tier character who hasn't been in any other DC film, there's no star power, and Captain Marvel will still be around, and families will also have Dragon 3, Dumbo, and Doctor Dolittle. Secret Life of Pets 2 seems like something that will slightly decrease, as it doesn't seem to have stuck in the general consciousness like Despicable Me or Shrek. Nobody asked for a Toy Story 4, and the whole "Woody tries to find Bo Peep" plot sounds like a huge downgrade from the previous films. It'll still make $300M, but it'll open to around Inside Out numbers than reach the heights of TS3, Dory, or Incredibles 2.