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Everything posted by Eric the Clown
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-barbie-and-oppenheimer/ Long Range Box Office Forecast & 2023’s Upcoming Calendar (as of 6/23/23) Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Low/High Range Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Low/High Range Pinpoint % Chg from Last Week Distributor 6/30/2023 Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny $68,000,000 – $95,000,000 -9% $211,000,000 – $325,000,000 Disney / Lucasfilm 6/30/2023 Ruby Gillman, Teenage Kraken $12,000,000 – $17,000,000 -10% $35,000,000 – $62,000,000 -10% Universal / DreamWorks Animation 7/7/2023 Insidious: The Red Door $24,000,000 – $29,000,000 -7% $54,000,000 – $66,000,000 -7% Sony Pictures / Screen Gems 7/7/2023 Joy Ride $11,000,000 – $16,000,000 -10% $35,000,000 – $60,000,000 -10% Lionsgate 7/12/2023 Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One $65,000,000 – $80,000,000 $250,000,000 – $320,000,000 Paramount Pictures 7/14/2023 PSYCHO-PASS: Providence (Limited) Sony / Crunchyroll 7/14/2023 Theater Camp (Limited) Disney / Searchlight Pictures 7/21/2023 Barbie $55,000,000 – $85,000,000 $120,000,000 – $226,000,000 Warner Bros. Pictures 7/21/2023 Oppenheimer $40,000,000 – $55,000,000 $137,000,000 – $187,000,000 Universal Pictures -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
So like...is No Hard Feelings gunning for 20M+ now? Like I'm seeing stuff around 1.7M from people here, and there's no reason for this not to be frontloaded. Would be fun to see this be the #1 victor after all. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates Asteroid City T-2: 28.69% Awareness Last Voyage of the Demeter T-51: 16.83% Awareness A Haunting in Venice T-86: 16.54% Awareness Saw X T-128: 34.17% Awareness No Hard Feelings T-2: 40.24% Awareness Final Awareness: 88% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 20M Original - Low Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 33% chance of 20M Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny T-9: 59% Awareness Final Awareness: 47% chance of 40M, 35% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 18% chance of 90M, 12% chance of 100M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 50% chance of 50M Barbie T-30: 54.36% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 92% chance of 50M, 69% chance of 60M, 61% chance of 70M, 38% chance of 100M Strays T-58: 27.99% Awareness T-60 Awareness: 56% chance of 10M, 27% chance of 20M Original - Low Awareness: 36% chance of 10M -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Eric the Clown replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Quorum Updates Asteroid City T-4: 25.76% Awareness Insidious: The Red Door T-18: 45.26% Awareness Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part 1 T-23: 50.24% Awareness The Creator T-102: 12.91% Awareness Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom T-184: 49.66% Awareness No Hard Feelings T-4: 38.83% Awareness Final Awareness: 35% chance of 10M Original - Low Awareness: 25% chance of 10M Oppenheimer T-32: 29.29% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 51% chance of 10M, 19% chance of 20M, 2% chance of 40M Original - High Awareness: 50% chance of 10M Haunted Mansion T-39: 36.95% Awareness T-30 Awareness: 86% chance of 10M, 57% chance of 20M, 38% chance of 30M, 14% chance of 40M Known IP Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 30M Blue Beetle T-60: 24.68% Awareness T-60 Awareness: 56% chance of 10M, 27% chance of 20M, 12% chance of 30M DC/MCU Awareness: 100% chance of 70M Still combing through the Interest section and reconfiguing stuff with that category, so we will have to use awareness for the time being. -
Moderation @thedude11 @Torontofan Yeah we're not doing this. None of this "people are trying to say I'm racistj because I don't like Disney" strawmanning, nor any of this transphobic "Trans people having beer is bad for business" rhetoric. You're both trying to derail the thread and make up a bunch of garbage that I'm not letting slide. Anybody who continues these idiotic conversations are getting threadbanned. That is all.
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The whole “these movies are unappealing” stuff doesn’t track IMO. The Lion King remake is the lamest, most shameful “we only made this to make money” movie ever, and it still opened higher than the first Spider-Verse’s entire run. If anything, the only movies that breakout are almost all of the same action spectacle ilk and audiences have the least diverse taste and interest in movies ever.
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Not gonna lie, that Apple Vision Pro has been making me a bit too anxious when it comes to entertainment. I was scoffing at it earlier, and thought it looked too geeky and gimmicky. But then I was thinking to myself...people would probably really like having it as a way to watch movies. And Apple is good at selling unconventional stuff. And I'm already picturing a Toy Story sequel with Hanks and Allen's voices recreated through AI entirely done in VR headsets or some crap like that. Ready Player One was a documentary.
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Largely agree with this sentiment, though it's important to remember that 18-34 year olds are the biggest moviegoing demographic right now. If anything, people like my parents are the audience that's never going to come back to the theater, especially when they recently got a 4K TV set with a soundbar. Although I can see a good argument for kids younger than that seeing this as obsolete and weird, especially since taking kids to the movies has always been an annoying hassle. Which can definitely lead to bad repercussions down the road. I mean that demographic never goes to the movies? Moviegoing has generally skewed towards urban and metropolitan, and post-COVID, it's been skewing younger and more nonwhite than ever. The last few big movies have had it where Black or Hispanic viewers were the biggest demo. And obviously they aren't monoliths, but younger, minority groups generally don't skew conservative wackjob. I do think we are in a bad state with this "anti-woke" shit, and it has scary repercussions, but not really for box office IMO.