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Eric the Clown

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Everything posted by Eric the Clown

  1. September 22 The Expendables 4: I know I got dogged for saying this about Gran Turismo. But honestly, who the hell cares about The Expendables in the year of our lord 2023? It doesn't even seem like the few fans who are out there will get much out of this. The cast has been cut back considerably, what names remain aren't all that exciting, and Stallone was given the "And" credit on the poster, which implies the star will barely even be in this movie. What a waste of time. 11/25 (2.27x) Next Goal Wins: Not a nostalgic toy commercial. And while part of the delays is because of casting Armie Hammer, the tea seems to be that this movie sucks anyways. Next! 4/11 (2.75x)
  2. September 15 A Haunting in Venice: I’m generally not a “who asked for this” kind of guy. There’s almost always an understandable reason a film is greenlit, even if the final product doesn't actually turn out well. But really...who actually asked for this? Even without Omicron and Armie Hammer's allegations, Death on the Nile was always going to drop like a rock from Orient Express. Plus these Poirot films are considered passable at best, and I doubt this movie will be much better. This isn't even based on a popular Christie story anways. Are they just trying to bank on Michelle Yeoh’s potential Oscar win to get people invested? That’s the only reason this film's existence makes any sense. Anyhoo, bombs away, but Branagh will probably get a boring Poirot Hulu show to compensate for all this. 10/35 (3.5x)
  3. September 8 The Nun 2: The first Nun was complete doo-doo and there’s nothing that suggests this sequel will be all that much better, even with Akela Cooper being a credited writer. It’ll drop more than half from the last film and nobody will care. Conjuring 4 can't come soon enough. 25/50 (2x)
  4. September 1 The Equalizer 3: Well, we have...a release for Labor Day. That’s something. It’s no Shang-Chi, but I can see this doing well. A fall from the last two should happen, but it will only be slight. Denzel’s character is a popular one and the Queen Latifah show has kept the popularity of the franchise afloat over the past couple years. Plus September and even October are barren wastelands this year. It's baffling why these studios put in so many heavy-hitters in the summer, cannibalizing each other, but are piss-scared putting big movies in the fall. Still, this will do well and we’ll probably get a fourth one down the road. 25/30/90 (3.6x)
  5. Quorum Updates Women Talking T-4: 12.1% Awareness, 4.44 Interest A Man Called Otto T-11: 34.57%, 5.49 A Good Person T-81: 16.3%, 5.24 Elemental T-165: 29.26%, 5.34 Barbie T-200: 35.8%, 4.65 M3GAN T-4: 48.33% Awareness, 5.98 Interest Final Awareness: 90% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 20M, 40% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M Final Interest: 74% chance of 10M, 52% chance of 20M, 35% chance of 30M, 26% chance of 40M Horror Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 40% chance of 40M Horror Interest: 83% chance of 10M, 67% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M and 40M 80 for Brady T-32: 20.03% Awareness, 4.57 Interest T-30 Awareness: 58% chance of 10M T-30 Interest: 33% chance of 10M Original - Low Awareness: 71% chance of 5M, 29% chance of 10M Original - Low Interest: 33% chance of 5M, 17% chance of 10M Knock at the Cabin T-32: 26.45% Awareness, 5.75 Interest T-30 Awareness: 58% chance of 10M, 25% chance of 20M T-30 Interest: 78% chance of 10M, 72% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M Horror Interest: 100% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M Creed III T-60: 46.5% Awareness, 6.09 Interest T-60 Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 62% chance of 50M T-60 Interest: 100% chance of 50M
  6. I mean as others have said, New Year's and Christmas have distracted people from buying advanced tickets, at least for something that's coming in the new year. And horror movies aren't even pre-sales driven in the first place, which was shown in my Philly numbers last night. And even if we want to complain about how it's not "breaking out", a 20M+ opening is still really, really, really good for a totally original Blumhouse horror production and will make the film super profitable no matter what. Like The Black Phone and Smile opened in the 20s and they turned out just fine (yes, I know M3GAN won't leg out the same way as those movies did)
  7. M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 36 194 6237 3.11% Total Seats Sold Today: 70 Comp 0.193x of The Conjuring 3 T-3 (1.89M) 0.182x of Halloween Kills T-3 (882K) 0.243x of Scream T-3 (850K) 0.521x of The Black Phone T-3 (1.56M) 0.610x of Smile T-3 (1.22M) 0.151x of Halloween Ends T-3 (816K)
  8. This is the funniest thing ever lol. These studios really do not care anymore.
  9. August 25 They Listen: This sounds like some corny horror movie, so...The Invitation numbers? Yeah, let’s go with that. 6/22 (3.67x)
  10. August 18 Blue Beetle: I’ve seen so many people around here throwing 200M+ predictions and I am just completely lost and confused. Blue Beetle’s a B-list character at best, and unlike Black Adam, isn’t played by the world’s biggest movie star. And while Marvel can pull off B-listers, even Z-listers making big bucks, DC still doesn’t have the cultural cache to pull this off. A Harley Quinn movie bombed, but we're expecting this to make big bucks, no sweat? And again, this has the same problem as Shazam and The Flash where the universe is getting rebooted, so who cares anymore? But at least those have a previous movie or big superheroes behind them. Just throwing it out there that when this does moderate numbers that I told you so. 28/85 (3.04x) Untitled Please Don’t Destroy Project: I have no clue who these people are, and I live with boomer parents who watch SNL unironically. And if I don’t know them, I don’t think Joe Schmoe from Idaho will either. 3/8 (2.67x)
  11. August 11 Challengers: These mid-size films don’t make money anymore and I doubt Luca made a crowdpleaser. I would say Logan Lucky numbers, but even that’s probably too generous in this day and age. 6/18 (3x) Gran Turismo: Who the hell cares about Gran Turismo in 2023? Sorry Neill, but you’ll always be a one-hit wonder. 12/34 (2.83x) Haunted Mansion: Still not entirely sure that an August date works for an obvious Halloween movie (yes I know it's here because it’ll be on Disney+ in time for Halloween), but the cast is fun sans the problematic figures, and the original ride has a very dedicated fanbase. It won’t rock the boat, but it will still find moderate numbers for Disney at around Jungle Cruise’s numbers. And this is likely way cheaper than Jungle Cruise, so it’ll be a solid success at the box office and become the big Halloween option on Disney+. A win-win. 35/115 (3.29x) Last Voyage of the Demeter: Andre Ovredal’s a decent horror director and there’s probably some fun horror elements that will be in the trailer that will make this an...okay success. Nothing grand, but a good way to end the summer horror season like Ovredal's Scary Stories did back in 2019. 25/60 (2.4x)
  12. August 4 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem: This movie feels like it was made just for me. A property I love reimagined by Seth Rogen with the director working on stuff like Gravity Falls and Mitchells vs. Machines? It’s the coolest thing ever! Still, I’m not really sure if TMNT is that hot a property at the moment. Out of the Shadows crashed and burned, the 2012 series was banished to early Sunday mornings at the end of its run, the new Rise of the TMNT series flopped with only two seasons. I feel like kids today don’t really care and the 80s nostalgia novelty won't boost it as strong as the 2014 movie did. Super Pets numbers sound about right. 25/90 (3.6x) The Meg 2: The Trench: Like Shazam, The Meg feels like one of those big hits that nobody talks about anymore. But at least Shazam is attached to a big franchise with a dedicated fandom. There’s not much mileage you can really do with this concept after the first movie, and I doubt there’s any real exciting money shots in the trailer, so expect a big fall from this one. Probably about half of the last film. 27/70 (2.59x)
  13. M3GAN Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 36 124 6237 1.99% Total Seats Sold Today: 13 Comp 0.176x of The Conjuring 3 T-4 (1.73M) 0.144x of Halloween Kills T-4 (701K) 0.186x of Scream T-4 (650K) 0.109x of Halloween Ends T-4 (589K)
  14. Non-existent. Even if M3GAN doesn't do it, Knock at the Cabin has a good shot and Magic Mike is damn near certain.
  15. I really want to push my WB/Disney countdowns coming in the new year, so might as well use this thread to push some of the films on those lists and recommend some to y'all. December 2022 Warner Bros I Am Legend - 6/10 The Bodyguard - 4/10 The Jazz Singer - 5/10 - Was largely into the basic barebones of the story and Al Jolson is great in the part...but the blackface. 😬 Made even worse that it's an integral part of the story and it condones that Jakie's blackface performance is a good thing. That the only way he can find success is to perform as a Black man. That the only way to assimilate and fit into this world is to hide your Jewish lifestyle and perform and mock the Black man. It's just vile, even with the "it was a different time" excuse. Little Caesar - 7/10 - Very bare-bones and rudimentary direction-wise, but it's still a solid plot and Edward G. Robinson works well in the lead role The Public Enemy - 8/10 - Better than Little Caesar in every possible way, and much of it is because of James Cagney's Tom Powers, who is a fascinating epitome of all things greedy and cruel, with incredible sunken eyes that are haunting to look at. The ending's an all-timer too. Christmas Vacation - 6/10 Gremlins - 9/10 Christmas in Connecticut - 7/10 - Follows the Hallmark Christmas movie format to a tee. Not a bad thing, because it's a pretty sweet romance and witty with its screwball humor. Eyes Wide Shut - 9/10 I Am a Fugitive From a Chain Gang - 10/10 - I honestly had no idea I would love this as much as I did. Despite its Great Depression release, it's a film that is highly critical of the prison system, the abuse given towards war veterans, and is largely anti-authority in a way that is shocking to see from a 1932 film. It really shows what we lost when the Hays Code was enforced. 42nd Street - 7/10 - Not a masterpiece, but a witty and fun look at the entertainment biz with some Busby Berkeley magic at the end. Not a fan of all the Philadelphia slamming however 😕 Gold Diggers of 1933 - 10/10 - You got screwball laughs, hard-hitting commentary about the Great Depression and the faults of the government at that time, and some incredible moments of splendor from Busby. And unlike most Busby features where the plot isn't all that great, but it's only a means to an end for some incredible visuals at the end, the story here is really strong and fun and all the "talky" bits are frequently hilarious. It's fantastic stuff. Footlight Parade - 8/10 - Plot's not the best, and the "Shanghai Lil" segment is pure cringe, but it's pretty funny, very engaging, has that amazing Human Waterfall sequence, and it's all carried by James Cagney's excellent performance. He really could do everything. Disney The Santa Clause - 5/10 The Preacher's Wife - 7/10 - I miss Whitney. Pocahontas - 3/10 Black Panther: Wakanda Forever - 7/10 The Vanishing Prairie - 5/10 - Pretty basic and overlong, but I guess still adequate enough as a 50s nature documentary 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea - 9/10 - It's absolutely gorgeous, with tons of cool underwater footage and special effects, and it features a murder's row of great performers, with James Mason in particular as the standout as the cold and calculated Captain Nemo. Really loved this one. Atlantis: The Lost Empire - 6/10 - This really should not have been sub-90 minutes. Just adding in a half-hour probably could have made this awesome, but now everything is undercooked and lukewarm, with only the ensemble cast standing out. Princess Mononoke - 10/10 Avatar: The Way of Water - 8/10 The Muppet Christmas Carol - 9/10 - Watched the extended edition, which...yeah, it really does make the whole piece better. Beauty and the Beast: The Enchanted Christmas - 2/10 Belle's Magical World - 1/10 - I watched both of these sequels with my best friend as part of "Bad Movie Night". And um...yeah, these were rough. Belle's Magical World is up there as WOAT material tbh Disenchanted - 4/10 Davy Crockett: King of the Wild Frontier - 6/10 - It's super cheesy and aged super poorly for all the obvious reasons (though not as bad as you might think), so it's not for everybody. But I liked the corniness, the pretty wilderness landscapes and even the guy playing Davy. He plays Davy as being so laid-back despite all his insane and crazy accomplishments that it's actually kind of funny. Don't know if that was the intention, but I got a smile out of it. Lady and the Tramp - 10/10 - Saw it earlier in 2022, but it really clicked with me way more on this rewatch in terms of the characters and themes and plot details. It's also soooooooooooooooo cute! The Nightmare Before Christmas - 8/10 - People have to stop gaslighting people into saying this is a Halloween movie lol
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