Eric the Clown

lol

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 24 32 5,480 0.58% Total Seats Sold Today: 0 Comp 0.283x of Maleficent 18 days before release (651K) ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

So in case you're wondering, yeah I decided to throw out all my May ones early. Bit busy today, and I knew my Fast 9 prediction is bound to make some heads turn, so have fun and discuss away.

May 29 Artemis Fowl: Even Disney doesn’t care about this movie. It was ignored back at D23, people were unimpressed by the initial trailer, there’s been zero marketing since then. It being left to die amongst the summer offerings was not a coincidence. Sorry @Morieris 15/40 (2.67x)

May 22 Fast & Furious 9: When I was writing this up, I was planning to put this over Hobbs & Shaw, but the more I thought about it, I realized I couldn’t think of any good reason why. Like...at all. Of course, I say this at a time where we have zero marketing to go off of. But with that said, there’s nothing here that makes me confident in this. Fate of the Furious got mediocre reactions from fans and audiences, and Hobbs & Shaw didn’t fare much better. And while I like John Cena and Cardi B, I don’t really think those are exciting cast members that will make people excited for this. And yeah, the rumors of a CGI Paul Walker makes me really uncomfortable, and I think that will be the case for a lot of others. Maybe the story here is really off the wall and fun and will make people excited, but for now...yeah, under Hobbs & Shaw. At least the Dwayne-Tyrese beef will be funny. 65/74/150 (2.31x, 2.03x) The Spongebob Movie: Sponge on the Run: Like Scooby-Doo, Spongebob’s still a popular property to kids, and is nostalgic towards adults. And yeah, the trailer’s got some great laughs (Keanu!). But there doesn’t seem to be that much of a hook. CGI Spongebob was used in Sponge Out of Water already, and when you take out the CGI, it just feels like an extended episode of the show to me. And with Wonder Woman and Soul taking family audiences, and Scoob still making money, this has to really stand out, which doesn’t seem like the case so far. But it should still get across the century mark, if only because of the brand and holiday. 30/40/100 (3.33x, 2.5x)

May 15 Scoob!: After Detective Pikachu, I’ve been much more wary about trailer views. But with almost 30M views on WB’s channel, I’d argue it at least shows there is a decent amount of interest here. Scooby-Doo is a property that still seems relevant to kids, although maybe not as much as in 2002, and is nostalgic to adults. I also think being the first time these characters are put in CGI might not be a major help, but it definitely won’t hurt. This won’t rock the boat, but it should be one of Warner’s better-performing animated movies, especially since Black Widow will be way weaker than Endgame. 40/135 (3.37x) Untitled Saw Film: Ah yes, a reboot of a property that just had its last film three years ago. That always turns out well. The inclusion of Chris Rock and SLJ might turn some heads, and should definitely get a lot trailer views, but this seems like Child’s Play where most people will just kind of shrug and move on. 10/20 (2x) The Woman in the Window: Amy Adams in what’s basically a remake of the iconic classic thriller Disturbia sounds entertaining. If only the delay and especially the third act retool weren’t so concerning. Maybe it'll get good enough reviews, but we’ll see if people are really that interested. I predicted 30/105 last year, so let’s just cut things down for size. 20/65 (3.25x)

May 8 Covers: I never even heard of this movie until I had to look it up for this thread. Doing a quick look, it’s about the music industry, it’s from the director of Late Night, and it stars Dakota Johnson. Sounds fine. Should do fine? I dunno. There’s not much else to say with this one. 5/20 (4x) Greyhound: Tom Hanks’ recent movies, like Bridge of Spies, The Post, and A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, are starting to follow a specific pattern. Teens opening, strong legs. This one will probably do the same. Nothing amazing, but will be a good pick for geriatrics and will hold well throughout the weeks. 14/60 (4.28x) Legally Blonde 3: Adjusted, the first Legally Blonde gets to 155.3M, while Legally Blonde 2 gets to 136.9M. And I think there’s been enough time between 2 and 3 that fans will be curious to check it out. It also helps that Reese has been having great success on TV in the last couple years to help keep her in the news. Obviously adjusted there's a big decline, but unadjusted it's only slightly less than the mid-90s of the previous two. 25/85 (3.4x)

May 1 Black Widow: Natasha Romanoff is back with her long overdue solo adventure. Trailer views are great, as expected, and the hype is definitely there. You could argue that unlike some prior MCU films, there’s not a real sense of urgency that makes this a must-see compared to, say, Captain Marvel or even Far From Home. But honestly, I’m just not gonna doubt Marvel. They know what people like, they know how to get people excited, they know they still got people underwhelmed by their teasers, and there’s probably many who will see it as a sort of a swan song to Nat and ScarJo, which can boost it even further. Should do about average MCU numbers, which...yeah, is still really good. 130/365 (2.81x)

@WrathOfHan you sleep?

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 24 32 5,480 0.58% Total Seats Sold Today: 2 Comp 0.302x of Maleficent (694K)

I'd clean up for him.

April 24 Bad Trip: So this is Bad Grandpa, only without the Jackass brand attached to it. Keanu numbers sound about right. 8/20 (2.5x)

April 17 Monster Problems: Looking through the IMDB and Wikipedia summary, this just looks like a ripoff of Zombieland, but with Dylan O’Brien as the discount Eisenberg and Michael Rooker as the discount Harrelson. LOL 8/20 (2.5x) Trolls World Tour: This is anecdotal, but my sister works at a daycare, and their playroom has a TV that plays pretty much every animated movie that's come out the last 10 years. And out of a wide variety of movies, my sister mentioned Trolls is the biggest non-Disney option kids there absolutely love and can’t get enough of. Even if the film wasn’t that big in the box office at first, it’s still a moneymaker years later, with a decent amount of merch on the shelves, and it still seems relevant to kids and families, and I think this will translate to the sequel. Admittedly, its release date isn’t the best, but I think the trailers are fun enough for its audience, and the first movie’s growing popularity should still lead to a good jump in the OW, and at least a gross on par with the previous movie. 55/165 (3x)

@Arendelle Legion I fixed it...maybe...hopefully...please don't mock me 🙁 Oh yeah and April Round 2 is coming up very soon.

Would you believe I’m very dense when it comes to 5-Day extrapolation?

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-brahms-the-boy-2-and-call-of-the-wild/ 8-Week Tracking & Forecasts Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor 1/3/2020 The Grudge (2020) $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000 $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $25,000,000 Sony / Columbia 1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $20,000,000 – $25,000,000 $24,000,000 $75,000,000 – $100,000,000 $94,000,000 Universal / DreamWorks 1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $14,000,000 $50,000,000 – $70,000,000 $59,000,000 Warner Bros. 1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $17,000,000 $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 $51,000,000 Paramount 1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000 $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 $18,000,000 Fox 1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $25,000,000 $55,000,000 – $75,000,000 $64,000,000 Sony / Columbia 1/17/2020 Dolittle $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $40,000,000 $120,000,000 – $170,000,000 $145,000,000 Universal 1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000 STX 1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure n/a n/a Roadside Attractions 1/24/2020 Run n/a n/a Lionsgate / Summit 1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $14,000,000 $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $38,000,000 Universal 1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000 $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000 United Artists Releasing 1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000 Paramount 2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000 $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000 Warner Bros. 2/14/2020 Fantasy Island $17,000,000 – $22,000,000 $17,000,000 $44,000,000 – $57,000,000 $44,000,000 Sony / Columbia 2/14/2020 The Photograph $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $15,000,000 $30,000,000 – $42,000,000 $35,000,000 Universal 2/14/2020 Sonic the Hedgehog $20,000,000 – $30,000,000 $26,000,000 $65,000,000 – $100,000,000 $86,000,000 Paramount 2/21/2020 Brahms: The Boy 2 $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $8,000,000 NEW $15,000,000 – $28,000,000 $17,800,000 NEW STX 2/21/2020 Call of the Wild $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $15,000,000 NEW $50,000,000 – $65,000,000 $50,000,000 NEW Fox

April 10 No Time to Die: I don’t know if this is still set for April 8. The Numbers and IMDb say it’s now the 10th, while Wikipedia still says the 8th. Let’s just do the 8th for now. The first trailer was a touch underwhelming, but I’m still optimistic here. The new cast members have definitely sparked interest, and there could be a finale bump with this being Craig’s swan song as the famed spy. Should at least do close to what Spectre did, but I’m going to say it does better, as it has arguably the whole month to itself until Black Widow, and that will go a long way. 70/87/220 (3.14x, 2.53x)

April 3 Fatherhood: Kevin Hart saw great success in dramatic work with The Upside, depsite having a wave of bad press behind it. A drama about parenthood and being a single dad seems like one that’s easy to sell, especially with Hart as the star. It’ll open okay, and play well throughout April. 22/85 (3.86x) The Lovebirds: Judging by the cast and crew, I’m looking forward to this one. The director of The Big Sick, and Issa Rae and Kumail Nanjiani star, so this should be quality. The premise also seems fun enough, reading off the IMDB page. So long as the trailer and reviews deliver, this should be a minor little success. Maybe even in the vicinity of Blockers or Game Night, but let's just be a little pessimistic for now. 17/55 (3.23x) The New Mutants: I was going to make a funny joke that was just “this is never coming out lol”, but some people have heard through the grapevine a trailer will drop in January, so I guess this is for reals happening. Regardless, this is still gonna be a dud. Even with the Marvel connections, nobody cares about this X-Men nonsense anymore (y’know, until Papa Feige saves the day), and Disney’s been fumbling lately with the Fox movies that got dumped in their hands. And with all the competition, with Mulan the week before and Black Widow after...yeah, Disney’s leaving this to die. Sorry Anya. 15/35 (2.33x) Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway: The first movie was a surprise critical and commercial hit, and had amazing legs in spite of Black Panther’s monster success. But I don’t really see the same success here. Not only is it being sandwiched between buzzier kids movies like Onward, Mulan and Trolls, this feels like SLOP, where people liked but didn’t love the first movie, and weren’t super interested in the sequel. It should still have good enough legs, even with Trolls the following two weeks, but expect this to go down a peg. 22/68 (3.09x)

MODERATION EPISODE II: THE MOD SQUAD STRIKE BACK As our valiant Asgardians jump via hyperspeed to deliver the vital numbers to the Box Office Theorists a Dark Force looms over the Weekend Thread: The Second Weekend Drop. A Weekend Thread Killing Machine it is known to send Weekend Threads into total panic causing outbreaks of personal attacks, trolling and overall doom and gloom. There is still Hope! If one remembers the Rules of the Jedi: NO SPOILERS NO PERSONAL ATTACKS NO TROLLING OR BAITING NO CONSPIRACIES THEORIES NO POLITICS OR PERSONAL AGENDAS One can defeat the Dark Forces and save the Weekend Thread.

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-20 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 24 30 5,480 0.55% Total Seats Sold Today: 1 Comp 0.294x of Maleficent (676K)

I agree with the first couple, but Knives Out is doing fine? It's about to do, what, 130M? Probably more? That would make it the biggest live-action Thanksgiving opener since Enchanted. That'll give Rian Johnson one or two more non-Lucasfilm projects. And while I'm being nice to Quiet Place 2, definitely expect some carnage towards a good chunk of movies. Not spoiling anything, but let's just say things aren't going to be pretty in the second half.