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The Wild Eric

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Everything posted by The Wild Eric

  1. Better than 2016. We got nothing until November when Doctor Strange/Beasts/Moana did it back-to-back-to-back
  2. btw to add into the Joker legs debate, feel like SS/JL legs are a certainty IMHO. There will be fans, but I feel like a lot of the darker/controversial stuff should still cause at least some divisiveness. If Zombieland or Gemini Man also manage to land, that also cuts into the film's main audience.
  3. https://deadline.com/2019/09/it-chapter-two-opening-weekend-box-office-birds-of-prey-teaser-1202713529/ They're on to us.
  4. With a 33 True Friday, if the movie follows the first IT, that would be at about 106.4M. I don't expect it to hold as well, but 100M is much more likely than I thought earlier this morning.
  5. Nah but for real, for those who are curious, these are my current plans when it comes to long-form tracking: Jokah Maleficent Terminator Doctor Sleep Charlie's Angels Frozen II Jumanji TROS The bolded ones are in my "doing them no matter what" camp, for kind of obvious reasons. The stuff between Maleficent and Charlie's Angels I'm 75% sure I'm gonna do. My cutoff is whether the film is tracking for, or BOP's range indicates, a 40M+ debut is possible. But there might be a point where I'll be tracking too many movies at once, so I could scrap one of the two (oh how I miss Pulse). And if BOP's range for Sleep or Charlie isn't to my liking in two weeks (which isn't impossible), then I'll just scrap it. I know that may seem like a lot, but I like doing this kind of work. Keeps the brain active. And we need somebody to track the B-tier blockbusters
  6. https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-terminator-dark-fate-plus-a-big-joker-update/ 8-Week Forecast Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Estimated Location Count Distributor 9/13/2019 The Goldfinch $6,000,000 – $11,000,000 $8,000,000 -11% $25,000,000 -14% 2,500 Warner Bros. 9/13/2019 Hustlers $23,000,000 – $33,000,000 $28,500,000 6% $77,000,000 6% 3,100 STX 9/20/2019 Ad Astra $16,000,000 – $21,000,000 $18,000,000 -10% $58,500,000 -10% 3,500 Fox 9/20/2019 Downton Abbey $16,000,000 – $21,000,000 $18,000,000 20% n/a 3,000 Universal 9/20/2019 Rambo: Last Blood $20,000,000 – $25,000,000 $22,000,000 16% $53,000,000 16% 3,300 Lionsgate 9/27/2019 Abominable $20,000,000 – $25,000,000 $22,500,000 $80,000,000 7% Universal 10/4/2019 Joker $85,000,000 – $105,000,000 $103,000,000 27% $210,000,000 17% Warner Bros. 10/11/2019 The Addams Family (2019) $16,000,000 – $21,000,000 $18,000,000 $70,000,000 United Artists Releasing 10/11/2019 The Current War (Expansion) n/a n/a n/a 101 Studios 10/11/2019 Gemini Man $25,000,000 – $30,000,000 $28,000,000 $90,000,000 Paramount 10/11/2019 Jexi $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 $9,000,000 $29,000,000 Lionsgate / CBS Films / Entertainment One 10/18/2019 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $37,000,000 $110,000,000 Disney 10/18/2019 Zombieland 2: Double Tap $24,000,000 – $34,000,000 $30,000,000 $77,000,000 Sony / Columbia 10/25/2019 Black and Blue $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $35,000,000 Sony / Screen Gems 10/25/2019 Countdown n/a n/a n/a STX 10/25/2019 The Last Full Measure n/a n/a n/a Roadside Attractions 11/1/2019 Motherless Brooklyn $7,000,000 – $12,000,000 n/a n/a Warner Bros. 11/1/2019 Terminator: Dark Fate $35,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000 NEW $85,000,000 NEW Paramount
  7. I'm not sure if that automatically means It 2 would have done 54M if it came out in 2009.
  8. Is it? I just put Aladdin and FFH in BOM's adjusting machine, and that translated to about 75M for the both of them.
  9. Looking Glass is still one of the funniest box office grosses ever. Its final gross was lower than the first film's first two days. It took a whole week for Looking Glass to go over the first film's opening day. Mia Wasikazoo is a legend
  10. It's actually a guy named mredman lol. He got banned ages ago, but he's still around for some reason
  11. @Kenny Your Winona-ing confuses me. First you give it to me for saying 90M is the likely number here, then you're giving it to filmlover for saying the film will be more backloaded, therefore giving this film a chance at 100M. So you're wtfing over me saying it will be more frontloaded than the first movie, but you're also wtfing over someone else saying it will be more backloaded than the first movie. At least try to be consistent dude.
  12. I have no idea what this is, but that sounds like the greatest movie ever made.
  13. I get people are busy and all, but I don't think the runtime will be that big of a deal to people, especially since, at least in my area, there are plenty of showtimes for people to choose from.
  14. Not a bad start so far. When Hobbs & Shaw got its early report, it was at about 4.5-5M, then exploded to 5.8M in the morning, due to the West Coast overindexing due to Hispanic demographics. Horror movies are huge with that demo, so we should see an increase, though probably not as big tomorrow
  15. Alright, might as well make things official official. For Top 30 (or 25, but probably 30) of 2010, the process will go as follows: Submissions and FYC goes from May 7, 2020 (day Iron Man 2 came out) and ends on June 18, 2020 (day Toy Story 3 came out). Don't know when exactly I will start the countdown, but I plan on ending it on July 16 (day Inception, what will probably be #1, came out), so expect it to start a couple days beforehand.
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