The Greatest Showman technically did not go below its opening 3-day weekend until Week 7 but that was with Wednesday opening and Christmas Eve deflation... both of which I suppose apply to Puss as well.
I think A2 probably needed 20% drop this weekend to keep TGM hope alive, but maybe it can eke out $700m still (I am not betting on it, though, without a re-release).
I think we are taking for granted a bit how impressive it is to still nab the 2nd biggest 5th weekend / become third film to have five weekends above $30m. TGM comes on hard next weekend, though. Probably if this stays above $20m next week that's a win.
I think the market had shrunk since 2009 hadn't it? Still I would have thought it would at least be good for $60m or so.
I think it would take a sub-20% drop next week for me to believe TGM is still on the table, and since it is having a heavier drop on a holiday weekend that seems quite unlikely.
$650m will be great at the end of the day.