Eh Frozen 2 still had massive opening and ended up with $120m+ USD. I think when you have reached uber-blockbuster status and clearly had good reception / audience interest the first time around... barring some severe extraneous circumstance with something that demands to be seen in theaters (so screw the idea of everyone waiting for Disney+... seriously?) there should at least be a base level of interest expected. Even something like $60-70m total would be explicable given the circumstances, but not this.