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Everything posted by Wrath
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Highest opening Weekend PAST Highest Opening Day ABSTAIN Lowest Opening Weekend ABSTAIN Lowest Opening Day ABSTAIN Highest 2nd weekend Drop ABSTAIN Biggest Multiplier ABSTAIN Lowest Multiplier ABSTAIN Highest Worldwide total PAST I've decided that while I haven't exactly been swinging for the fences, I was at least trying to double into the gap. After seeing the results of the first couple weeks (#10 or #11 on virtually every one!), I'm going to try to just make good contact and then leg out some infield singles, or possibly lean into a pitch of two.
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Wow, Addicted tore it up. And it was surprisingly front-loaded. I'm guessing it was *way* more anticipated than I realized (I'm probably not in its target demographic), but I'm also going to guess that it'll both hold poorly and fail to respond very well to significantly increasing its number of screens. Then again, since I'm not in its target demographic, I probably have no idea what I'm talking about.
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I'm a little appalled Citizen Kane isnt higher, but given the forum folks and how old the movie is and whatnot I actually get it. But Trainspotting... If you havent seen it, drop what you're doing and go watch it right now. Its smart, its hilarious, its moving, its disgusting and its almost sociopathic at times. It is right up the alley of the folks here and is a great, great movie. Im actually more offended at this being this low than I am over Citizen Kane.
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I suppose that's true, but personally I'm more appreciative that chasmmi is doing it at all. You know the answers are going to be due Thursday night, so I'd just check for questions Thursday morning and handle it then. My problem tends to be the opposite. As soon as the questions come up, I feel bad for having not answered them. Which is dumb, because you really want to answer them as late as possible so you can incorporate the least inaccurate projections.
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TUESDAY NUMBERS (10.07.2014) 4.16 M GONE GIRL | 2.67 M ANNABELLE
Wrath replied to kayumanggi's topic in Numbers and Data
If it can stick with 20% declines, GotG projects to almost exactly tie SM3. Gonna be tough to hold to that, though. Its per screen numbers aren't all that special anymore and its probably going to start bleeding screens a little faster. -
TUESDAY NUMBERS (10.07.2014) 4.16 M GONE GIRL | 2.67 M ANNABELLE
Wrath replied to kayumanggi's topic in Numbers and Data
That's better than I expected for Left Behind. -
1. Which new release will have the highest grossing weekend? 4000 *Alexander* 2. Will Gone Girl hold on to number 1 spot? *NO* 3. Will Annabelle finish within 6M of Gone Girl for the weekend? 3000 *NO* 4. Will the Judge gross more than 5M on Sunday? *NO* 5. Will Addicted gross more than The Equalizer? *NO* 6. Will Left behind stay in the top 10? *YES* 7. Will Ninja Turtles finish above Skeleton Twins? *YES* 8. Will any film increase more than 300% on Friday? *YES* 9. Will Meet the Mormons gross more than The Life of Yogananda? *YES* 10. Will any film in the top 12 have a PTA below $1000? *YES* 11. Will Boxtrolls increase more than 108% on Saturday? *No* 12. How many films will have a higher Sunday gross than Friday gross? *2* 13. Will This is Where I Leave you finish Above DOlphin Tale? *YES* 14. Will any film drop more than 51% on Sunday? *YES* 15. Will Bang Bang drop more than 55%? *YES* 12/15 2000 bonus 13/15 3000 bonus 14/15 5000 bonus 15/15 7000 bonus Bonus Questions (The closest prediction for each bonus wins the bonus stated): 1. What will be the combined OW of the 4 main new releases? 5000 *$64M* 2. What will be the difference in gross between Gone Girl and Annabelles Weekend? 5000 *$7.5M* 3. What will be the combined weekend gross of Guardians, Boxtrolls and No Good Deed? 5000 *$12.4M* Placements - Predict which film finishes in the following positions: 2. Gone Girl 3. Annabelle 6. Equalizer 7. Boxtrolls 17. Bang Bang 19. Skeleton Twins 2000 points per correct answer, 6000 bonus if all 5 are correct. Any questions, please just ask and good luck
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SOTM 2 - Classic with a twist
Wrath replied to chasmmi's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
You're friggin evil. I was pretty confident on SOTM 1 and managed to botch it up badly so I think I'm going to be a little more conservative this time. Path B - 12! No, I'm kidding, I'm kidding. *Path A - 2* -
Is it just me, or was that scene a huge, out of nowhere tonal shift to the freaky in Chitty Chitty Bang Bang? Its like "Yea for the happy cheerful kids movie... Who then all get kidnapped by scary strangers, are taken away and are never seen again". Like the scene in "Different Strokes" where the kids almost get molested and its partially played for laughs. Its like "WTF just happened?" Back on topic, albeit mean-spiritedly, I'll admit to being rooting slightly against Annabelle since I bet the under in Chasmmi's competition. Viewing the BO numbers in a different light is going to take some getting used to.
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Also, looking at Affleck's prior body of work, Argo did rather poorly overseas (OS was about 2/3 of DOM) despite most of the action taking place in Iran. The Town, which is probably a better comparison to Gone Girl (although it lacked the best-selling book tie-in), also brought in OS only equal to about 2/3 of DOM. Gone Girl isn't really a sequel to anything and Affleck isn't an international star the way, say, Robert Downey Jr has become, so there's no reason to think it will do any better than those previous movies internationally.
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Really? Do enough places give Rosh Hashana off to move the meter?