Spectre

Boooooo, where is your conviction?

I feel a little like a fish with a hook in my mouth putting this much on Mike and Dave but I'll take it. EDIT: Beaten by a second... wanna extend it to 3 people?

Pets is just a speedbump in Dory's path to your wallet.

I'll take these (why do I keep betting on Mike and Dave? I think it looks like garbage).

I'll take these two as well.

Not really a breakout given the budget but definitely outperforming forecasts. I knew that BO.com projection was junk from the moment I saw it but it seems like everything trended that way. Glad to see it outperforming those expectations even though WB is still going to lose money on it.

Anarchy previewed a full $1M less with worse reviews on its way to a $29.8M weekend yet they're projecting Election Year to fall over $2M short of that number. Makes no sense (unless I'm missing something about when previews started). It should easily beat a $32M 4-day. Heck, it could beat that in 3.

Seriously, when did box office projecting go down the shitter? How does Purge 3 do more previews than the first two and more than Conjuring 2 yet get projected underneath all of them? And using matinees to predict its total too... get out of here with this garbage Deadline

Pretty insane. I guess more than a few people picking trailers are asleep at the wheel... but you know Sony has to be loving the free pub that Sausage Party is getting from this.

Relative to expectations. Everyone knows they're screwed in terms of overall budget but people were pegging it in the teens for a 3-day and it's clearly going to be higher than that.

I think it'll be close but I'll take this. Let your Dory hatred flow through you.

Dat fish.

Bumping my Tarzan bet up to $>60M DOM (100pts, 2 people)

Total DOM. If it was OW, I would've phrased it "Quote this post for a free 100 points"

I'll bet 100 points to 2 people that The Legend of Tarzan beats the BO prediction (>$50M)

I'm in for the good of the site... but just so you know, doubling down against Dory after your initial bets imploded is only going to make her angry.

Apparently not having a drop over 50% until Week 13 doesn't cut it these days.

$9.2M on a Thursday? Say goodbye to Shrek the Turd and maybe even Shrek 2... records are going down fellas.

I'll take these two... all in on the fish.

And I'll take this too.

I'll take this.

It's not because of its reviews, it never should've been projected at $50M+ to begin with. Over $100M DOM just isn't a natural place for a horror movie to fall and definitely not natural for a sequel... even if this only makes $100M it should be considered a success. Look at some of the more recent $100M+ breakout hits and then the direct follow-up. The Blair Witch Project (1999): $140M Blair Witch 2 (2000): $26M The Ring (2002): $129M The Ring 2 (2005): $76M The Grudge (2004): $110M The Grudge 2 (2006) $39M Paranormal Activity (2009): $107M Paranormal Activity 2 (2010): $84M The Conjuring: $137M Annabelle: $84M The Conjuring 2: ??? Obviously The Conjuring 2 is going to be better than some of these sequel turds but beating out the original with a $50M+ opening would've made it the only horror sequel EVER to beat out an original that grossed over $100M. It should've always been predicted to drop.

The problem with that comp is that Monsters Inc.'s popularity wasn't at all comparable to Finding Nemo's. Nemo is Pixar's most popular IP... even more popular than Toy Story. Unless the movie stinks, Dory is going to be much closer to Toy Story 3 than it is Monsters U.

Everyone in this thread underestimating Nemo's popularity among kid's today is in for a big surprise in a couple weeks.

It is but I feel like it'll be a bad bet for one side or the other by the time initial tracking comes out so I wanted to get it out there.