POTUS 2020

https://deadline.com/2019/05/aladdin-memorial-day-box-office-1202621906/ Disney’s Live-Action ‘Aladdin’ Looking At $95M+ In Memorial Day Riches – Midday Box Office Update UPDATED, 1:17 PM: At this time we can tell you that Disney’s Aladdin is off to a healthy start at the domestic box office with a $28 million-$30 million Friday (including $7 million in Thursday’s previews). It is now expected to hit $80 million over three days and $95 million over the full four-day Memorial Day holiday weekend frame.

That would be my guestimate based on kong. Maoyan PS/PSm projections are impossible lately

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v1uvztq8cw7aC1PqBBCals4duQbDbROyD6wrzrWdmH8/edit?usp=sharing

Mojo is at $608m. It will post a finish of $613m EG made 90% of its money at 6.73. I have the average rate of the run at 6.745 to $1. $628.5m EG XR 6.745 IW XR 6.35 Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Wed 536 726 108 Thur 316 -41.0% 1042 155 Fri 424 34.2% 1466 218 387 447 70 Sat 552 30.2% 2018 300 493 27.5% 940 148 Sun 209 -62.1% 2227 331 332 -32.8% 1272 200 Mon 125 -40.2% 2352 349 109 -67.1% 1381 217 Tues 256 104.8% 2608 388 81 -25.7% 1462 230 Wed 501 95.7% 3109 462 65 -20.0% 1526 240 Thur 340 -32.1% 3449 512 53 -19.0% 1579 249 Fri 241 -29.1% -43.1% 3690 548 72 36.4% -81.5% 1650 260 Sat 141 -41.4% -74.4% 3831 569 142 98.2% -71.2% 1792 282 Sun 51 -63.7% -75.5% 3883 577 132 -7.0% -60.2% 1924 303 Mon 33.8 -34.1% -73.0% 3917 582 31.6 -76.1% -71.0% 1956 308 Tue 28.2 -16.6% -89.0% 3945 586 25.2 -20.3% -68.9% 1981 312 Wed 24.3 -14.0% -95.2% 3969 590 21.1 -16.3% -67.4% 2002 315 Thu 20.9 -13.8% -93.9% 3990 593 18.6 -11.8% -64.6% 2021 318 Fri 28.1 34.4% -88.3% 4018 597 23.1 24.2% -67.7% 2044 322 Sat 55.7 98.2% -60.6% 4074 605 50.8 119.9% -64.2% 2095 330 Sun 39.9 -28.4% -22.2% 4114 610 39.9 -21.5% -69.8% 2135 336 Mon 12.3 -69.2% -63.6% 4126 612 12.0 -69.9% -62.0% 2147 338 Tue 10.9 -11.4% -61.3% 4137 614 11.1 -7.5% -56.0% 2158 340 Wed 9.9 -9.2% -59.2% 4147 615 10.5 -5.9% -50.5% 2168 341 Thu 9.1 -8.1% -56.5% 4156 617 12.1 15.8% -34.9% 2180 343 Fri 11.5 26.4% -59.1% 4167 618 35.2 190.9% 52.4% 2215 349 Sat 23.7 106.1% -57.5% 4191 621 31.6 -10.2% -37.8% 2247 354 Sun 19.5 -17.7% -51.1% 4210 624 23.2 -26.6% -41.9% 2270 358 Mon 12.2 -37.4% -0.8% 4223 626 7.8 -66.4% -35.0% 2278 359 Tue 6.4 -47.5% -41.3% 4229 627 8.5 9.0% -23.4% 2287 360 Wed 5.4 -15.6% -45.5% 4234 627.8 8.9 4.1% -15.3% 2295 361 Thu 5.0 -7.4% -45.1% 4239 628.5 7.8 -11.9% -35.5% 2303 363 8.5 9.5% -75.7% 2312 364 18.4 115.5% -41.8% 2330 367 15.5 -15.8% -33.2% 2346 369 4239 628.5 2390 376

This just in: Avatar 2 delayed again to 2024 Cameron is now working on an Avatar 1 reboot well, a reboot was over due in this day and age they did 3 spidey 1s in 15 years Is there a deadpool for cameron finishing the sequels? he'll be older than Eastwood by the time they are out

Kong rolled out a few days later, it averaged 25% daily increases. It appears that GZL will increase 15% daily starting monday. Kong will pass it at these % rates. Kong had a 4.2 PSm DP only had a 2.5 PSm indicating Maoyan's estimates have changed. GZL PS looks like it will get into the 30s but I have no idea where the PSm will land. 2.5-4x 75m-150m OD $40-80m OW

Yes. They've been extending a lot of movies with lesser dailies. Not sure why. Its not close to TWE. It has nothing to do with the trade war, they are giving July releases this year to fill the theaters, admissions are down this year.

Try Kong for a comp. Kong 13 0.90 12 1.38 53.3% 11 1.60 15.9% 10 1.95 21.9% 9 2.45 25.6% 8 2.95 20.4% 7 3.80 28.8% 6 4.90 28.9% 5 6.00 22.4% 4 7.15 19.2% 3 9.20 28.7% 2 12.15 32.1% 1 18.60 53.1% 0 35.70 91.9% OD 150 320.2% PSm 4.2 OD 150m OW 501m Total 1.158/$176m Maoyan 8.3 OWm 2.3 Pretty good considering the low rating

Holding well for an 8.5 rating. -60% 2nd weekend hold It'll hit $75m on Thur. It will take a big hit on Friday with 3 releases including ALDN. -75% hold next week clears $80m. -80%+ drop misses it. 50/50 on $80m

I was thinking friday open where they let it play thru the 5th sunday. 31 days instead of the 30 its supposed to play. Maoyan does have shows and sales listed for the 27th though. If not then $626m.

630m at and average XR of 6.745 EG XR 6.745 IW XR 6.35 Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Wed 534 725 108 Thur 316 -40.8% 1041 155 Fri 424 34.2% 1465 218 387 447 70 Sat 552 30.2% 2017 300 493 27.5% 940 148 Sun 208 -62.3% 2225 331 332 -32.8% 1272 200 Mon 124 -40.3% 2350 349 109 -67.1% 1381 217 Tues 256 106.0% 2606 387 81 -25.7% 1462 230 Wed 501 95.8% 3107 462 65 -20.0% 1526 240 Thur 337 -32.8% 3444 512 53 -19.0% 1579 249 Fri 241 -28.5% -43.1% 3685 548 72 36.4% -81.5% 1650 260 Sat 141 -41.4% -74.4% 3826 569 142 98.2% -71.2% 1792 282 Sun 51 -63.7% -75.4% 3878 576 132 -7.0% -60.2% 1924 303 Mon 33.8 -34.1% -72.8% 3911 581 31.6 -76.1% -71.0% 1956 308 Tue 28.2 -16.6% -89.0% 3940 585 25.2 -20.3% -68.9% 1981 312 Wed 24.3 -14.0% -95.2% 3964 589 21.1 -16.3% -67.4% 2002 315 Thu 20.9 -13.8% -93.8% 3985 592 18.6 -11.8% -64.6% 2021 318 Fri 28.1 34.4% -88.3% 4013 596 23.1 24.2% -67.7% 2044 322 Sat 55.7 98.2% -60.6% 4068 605 50.8 119.9% -64.2% 2095 330 Sun 39.8 -28.5% -22.4% 4108 610 39.9 -21.5% -69.8% 2135 336 Mon 12.3 -69.1% -63.6% 4121 611 12.0 -69.9% -62.0% 2147 338 Tue 10.9 -11.4% -61.3% 4131 613 11.1 -7.5% -56.0% 2158 340 Wed 9.8 -10.1% -59.6% 4141 614 10.5 -5.9% -50.5% 2168 341 Thu 9.1 -7.1% -56.5% 4150 616 12.1 15.8% -34.9% 2180 343 Fri 11.5 26.4% -59.1% 4162 617 35.2 190.9% 52.4% 2215 349 Sat 23.7 106.1% -57.5% 4186 621 31.6 -10.2% -37.8% 2247 354 Sun 17.0 -28.3% -57.3% 4203 623 23.2 -26.6% -41.9% 2270 358 Mon 5.9 -65.3% -52.0% 4208 624 7.8 -66.4% -35.0% 2278 359 Tue 5.3 -10.2% -51.4% 4214 625 8.5 9.0% -23.4% 2287 360 Wed 4.8 -9.4% -51.0% 4219 625 8.9 4.1% -15.3% 2295 361 Thu 4.3 -10.4% -52.7% 4223 626 7.8 -11.9% -35.5% 2303 363 Fri 5.5 27.9% -52.2% 4228 627 8.5 9.5% -75.7% 2312 364 Sat 11.5 109.1% -51.5% 4240 629 18.4 115.5% -41.8% 2330 367 Sun 10.0 -13.0% -41.2% 4250 630 15.5 -15.8% -33.2% 2346 369 Proj 4250 630.1 2390 376

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Ii2VRYphKK2Q6sJm4C3g1FVmi0PkfeEWyqVb4JKrlyY/edit?usp=sharing

At this point 10 or 12% holds wont make much of a difference, and an extension wont add much with GZ2 and xmen to follow $631m w/o ext, $638m with it. Plus or minus $2m on either EG XR 6.74 IW XR 6.35 Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Wed 534 725 108 Thur 316 -40.8% 1041 155 Fri 424 34.2% 1465 218 387 447 70 Sat 552 30.2% 2017 300 493 27.5% 940 148 Workday Sun 208 -62.3% 2225 331 332 -32.8% 1272 200 Mon 124 -40.3% 2350 349 109 -67.1% 1381 217 Pre Holi Bump Tues 256 106.0% 2606 387 81 -25.7% 1462 230 Holiday Wed 501 95.8% 3107 462 65 -20.0% 1526 240 Holiday Thur 337 -32.8% 3444 512 53 -19.0% 1579 249 Holiday Fri 241 -28.5% -43.1% 3685 548 72 36.4% -81.5% 1650 260 Holiday Sat 141 -41.4% -74.4% 3826 569 142 98.2% -71.2% 1792 282 Workday Sun 51 -63.7% -75.4% 3878 576 132 -7.0% -60.2% 1924 303 Mon 33.8 -34.1% -72.8% 3911 581 31.6 -76.1% -71.0% 1956 308 Tue 28.2 -16.6% -89.0% 3940 585 25.2 -20.3% -68.9% 1981 312 Wed 24.3 -14.0% -95.2% 3964 589 21.1 -16.3% -67.4% 2002 315 Thu 20.9 -13.8% -93.8% 3985 592 18.6 -11.8% -64.6% 2021 318 DP Opens Fri 28.1 34.4% -88.3% 4013 596 23.1 24.2% -67.7% 2044 322 Sat 55.7 98.2% -60.6% 4068 605 50.8 119.9% -64.2% 2095 330 Sun 39.8 -28.5% -22.4% 4108 610 39.9 -21.5% -69.8% 2135 336 Mon 12.3 -69.1% -63.6% 4121 611 12.0 -69.9% -62.0% 2147 338 Tue 10.9 -11.4% -61.3% 4131 613 11.1 -7.5% -56.0% 2158 340 Wed 9.8 -10.1% -59.6% 4141 614 10.5 -5.9% -50.5% 2168 341 Thu 8.8 -10.2% -57.9% 4150 616 12.1 15.8% -34.9% 2180 343 Fri 13.2 50.0% -53.0% 4163 618 35.2 190.9% 52.4% 2215 349 Sat 26.4 100.0% -52.6% 4190 622 31.6 -10.2% -37.8% 2247 354 Sun 19.2 -27.3% -51.8% 4209 624 23.2 -26.6% -41.9% 2270 358 Mon 6.4 -66.7% -48.0% 4215 625 7.8 -66.4% -35.0% 2278 359 Tue 5.6 -12.5% -48.6% 4221 626 8.5 9.0% -23.4% 2287 360 Wed 4.9 -12.5% -50.0% 4226 627 8.9 4.1% -15.3% 2295 361 Thu 4.3 -12.2% -51.1% 4230 628 7.8 -11.9% -35.5% 2303 363 Fri 5.0 16.3% -62.1% 4235 628 8.5 9.5% -75.7% 2312 364 Sat 10.0 100.0% -62.1% 4245 630 18.4 115.5% -41.8% 2330 367 Sun 7.3 -27.0% -62.0% 4252 631 15.5 -15.8% -33.2% 2346 369 Proj 4300 638 2390 376

pretty much. bom's individual country totals will be off. Just add $25m more to OS for china from monday to track end WW gross

Mojo used 6.83 for the May 12 total of $601m XR now at 6.88. if it holds here mojo will have a final at $623m instead of $636m XR could go to 7.00 knocking it down another 2% CHINA Weekend Box Office2019 Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Gross-to-Date Week # Apr. 26–28 1 $175,961,330 - $330,528,623 1 May 3–5 1 $64,428,735 -63.4% $575,575,838 2 May 10–12 2 $18,116,509 -71.9% $601,595,201 3

Dog 1 made 24m OD and went on to an impressive 600m Dog 2 at 1m in PS. OD doesn't look to be much bigger and will rely on its own WoM to get anywhere. EG should hold well this weekend, -50% or better. DP looks like a 20%+ drop today. Dog 2 will take a lot of shows from DP EG could beat DP this weekend if Dog2 takes DP's audience

I saw that coming with PTA at a 10+ year low

71% monday drop is fine since it skews younger. Mondays reflect the demo more so than the quality Tuesday drop is more indicative of a flop. Shabaam dropped 27% on tues. 15% or better is decent

13.5m/$2m for 66% drop(the norm) Dont know about Oz

its an XR thing one is using 6.73 and the other 6.74 the dollar strengthened to 6.86 today up from 6.82. Mojo(or their source, The-Numbers.com has 359m for IW as well instead of 376m) will probably use 6.86. $599m, thru Sunday) will be Mojo's total on the next update

It goes up and down The drop last week doesn't affect it much Based on a projected total at $638m(6.74 XR) EG would be at.... IW 2018 XR: $677m April 2017 XR $624m AoU 2015 XR: $691m Avatar 2010 XR $626m

PSm is all off these days. Family films typically drop 75-80% IW should drop 67% yup. $610m it will get close to $640m. EG XR 6.74 IW XR 6.35 Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Wed 534 725 108 Thur 316 -40.8% 1041 155 Fri 424 34.2% 1465 218 387 447 70 Sat 552 30.2% 2017 300 493 27.5% 940 148 Sun 208 -62.3% 2225 331 332 -32.8% 1272 200 Mon 124 -40.3% 2350 349 109 -67.1% 1381 217 Tues 256 106.0% 2606 387 81 -25.7% 1462 230 Wed 501 95.8% 3107 462 65 -20.0% 1526 240 Thur 337 -32.8% 3444 512 53 -19.0% 1579 249 Fri 241 -28.5% -43.1% 3685 548 72 36.4% -81.5% 1650 260 Sat 141 -41.4% -74.4% 3826 569 142 98.2% -71.2% 1792 282 Sun 51 -63.7% -75.4% 3878 576 132 -7.0% -60.2% 1924 303 Mon 33.8 -34.1% -72.8% 3911 581 31.6 -76.1% -71.0% 1956 308 Tue 28.2 -16.6% -89.0% 3940 585 25.2 -20.3% -68.9% 1981 312 Wed 24.3 -14.0% -95.2% 3964 589 21.1 -16.3% -67.4% 2002 315 Thu 20.9 -13.8% -93.8% 3985 592 18.6 -11.8% -64.6% 2021 318 Fri 28.1 34.4% -88.3% 4013 596 23.1 24.2% -67.7% 2044 322 Sat 55.7 98.2% -60.6% 4068 605 50.8 119.9% -64.2% 2095 330 Sun 39.8 -28.5% -22.4% 4108 610 39.9 -21.5% -69.8% 2135 336 Mon 13.5 -66.1% -60.1% 4122 612 12.0 -69.9% -62.0% 2147 338 Tue 11.5 -14.8% -59.2% 4133 613 11.1 -7.5% -56.0% 2158 340 Wed 10.0 -13.0% -58.8% 4143 615 10.5 -5.9% -50.5% 2168 341 Thu 8.8 -12.0% -57.9% 4152 616 12.1 15.8% -34.9% 2180 343 Fri 13.0 47.7% -53.7% 4165 618 35.2 190.9% 52.4% 2215 349 Sat 26.0 100.0% -53.3% 4191 622 31.6 -10.2% -37.8% 2247 354 Sun 19.0 -26.9% -52.3% 4210 625 23.2 -26.6% -41.9% 2270 358 Mon 6.4 -66.3% -52.6% 4216 626 7.8 -66.4% -35.0% 2278 359 Tue 5.5 -14.1% -52.2% 4222 626 8.5 9.0% -23.4% 2287 360 Wed 4.8 -12.7% -52.0% 4227 627 8.9 4.1% -15.3% 2295 361 Thu 4.2 -12.5% -52.3% 4231 628 7.8 -11.9% -35.5% 2303 363 8.5 9.5% -75.7% 2312 364 18.4 115.5% -41.8% 2330 367 15.5 -15.8% -33.2% 2346 369 Proj 4290 636 2390 376

It bumped 50% after all like a family film should. The PSm has never increased 50% like that, Maoyan needs to be figured out again Since its playing younger a 20-25% sunday drop is in line 275m/$40m OW EG with a 100% bump as expected. 27% drop tomorrow 125m/18.3m 3rd weekend $610m total

Saturday PS matching OD PS is normal. The PSm normally increases 25-30% on Sat. Hence a 30% bump tomorrow. However if DP is more for families a 50% bump would have been expected. Gavin said $40m OW but with just a 30% bump it will be $33-35m

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PGv6g4m-eTLJvWhyDn8H8yzL8xchQhWxI_azU9Tgl3Q/edit?usp=sharing