POTUS 2020

Sat NZ 110.5m -39% WoW 3999m/$571m Total AB2 23.6m +20% DoD Will fall short of 70m/$10m OW

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12PLNyaSw7jsw7X3QpSQ6OE3cTPl9V1-X204hKwDZXJM/edit?usp=sharing

Sounds great, got to see it. Thanks for the review! Not going up much. The weekend numbers are in line with Wed projections

Hobbs & Shaw (6 days out) Midnight - 3.36m OD - 11.4m (22.5%) (75800 shows) Sat - 4.16m Sun - 2.70m Holding a tight line in 20s for % gain I still think over 70m for PS. The PSm will be the tricky part. 2.75-3.75

That looks like a Trump tweet NZ Fri 68m -40% WoW as expected. Tot 3887m/$555m The week will also be down 40%. Expect 4284m/$612m on Thur The 4 new releases took 58% of shows and made 118m. FFHS will take about 50% of shows and make 200m~ on OD. I think NZ should hold 40% next week also. In that case 500m more will be made, 4800m/$685m likely 4650m/$665m locked - 4900m/$700m still alive AB2 just 21m as PS suggested. Just over 70m/$10m OW incoming. Down 60% from AB1. Around $20m total(just 2x OW) likely with FFHS taking shows next week.

$250m is possible with good WoM but @firedeep said it may be boring for the Chinese fans AB1 did OD 53m OW 197m Tot 512m/$78m with an 8.7 but PS suggest just a 20-25m OD. May cut in half

Hobbs & Shaw (10 days out) OD - 6.35m (22%) (65000 shows) Keeping a steady pace at 20%+, Stlll on same target

2-2.2x due to summer weekday help FTFY. You skipped a day Its pacing for 6.5m, another 25% gain FF8 was 14.5m at the end of Tuesday with the same amount of PS days. FFHS is 55% behind in PS but will have larger increases next week and a larger PSm. Safe to say $90-110M OW as long as the rating doesn't bomb. $180-240m total

25% OD increase again. Staying in line for 75m~ PS

If it holds at 25% daily gains now as it appears I get 75m PS. That'll get it close to 705m/$100m

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1e8dyGt1En6PqRtuQkAIITmmXQdfMNXdD-2W1Cg1MY0A/edit?usp=sharing

Now you're getting personal. He will call you salty I like it. Im using that term now ))

JttW2 WC FF8 IW PS 1am OD %gain MN %gain PS % gain MN %gain OD gain % gain MN %gain OD gain %gain Shows Sa 12.7 9.2 8.8 2.5 9.0 14.0% 18.5 3.1 26.5% 59.2 Su 16.9 32.7% 11.0 19.6% 12.0 37.1% 5.4 2.9 116.0% 10.1 13.2% 22.3 3.8 20.7% 63.0 Mo 19.4 14.9% 13.0 18.2% 14.8 23.3% 8.3 2.9 53.7% 11.0 8.5% 25.6 3.3 14.6% 66.0 Tu 22.1 14.2% 14.9 14.6% 17.0 14.9% 11.4 3.1 37.3% 11.9 8.2% 29.0 3.4 13.5% 69.7 We 25.5 15.3% 16.0 7.4% 20.0 17.6% 5.0 14.5 3.1 27.2% 12.8 7.6% 33.7 4.7 16.2% 72.8 Th 29.1 14.1% 18.1 13.1% 23.0 15.0% 6.4 28.0% 19.5 5.0 34.5% 15.0 17.2% 43.1 9.4 27.9% 79.7 Fr 33.3 14.4% 19.6 8.3% 27.0 17.4% 8.0 25.0% 24.6 5.1 26.2% 16.6 10.7% 50.4 7.3 16.9% 86.9 Sa 38.4 15.3% 21.8 11.2% 31.5 16.7% 9.8 22.5% 33.0 8.4 34.1% 17.9 7.8% 58.2 7.8 15.5% 93.1 Su 44.0 14.6% 22.5 3.2% 35.9 14.0% 11.3 15.3% 39.6 6.6 20.0% 19.3 7.8% 65.8 7.6 13.1% 97.0 Mo 51.0 15.9% 23.4 4.0% 40.8 13.6% 13.6 20.4% 48.0 8.4 21.2% 20.9 8.3% 75.3 9.5 14.4% 100.5 Tu 57.0 11.8% 25.7 9.8% 44.8 9.8% 17.4 27.9% 63.0 15.0 31.3% 23.5 12.4% 89.3 14.0 18.6% 110.0 proj We 72.0 26.3% 27.1 5.4% 50.7 13.2% 22.0 26.4% 84.0 21.0 33.3% 25.4 8.0% 103.4 14.1 15.8% 122.0 proj Th 88.8 23.3% 30.0 10.7% 64.8 27.8% 27.0 22.7% 106.0 22.0 26.2% 27.9 10.0% 121.0 17.6 17.0% 140.0 proj Fr(OD) 140.0 57.7% 50.1 67.0% 96.0 48.1% 62.0 129.6% 165.0 59.0 55.7% 64.2 130.0% 188.4 67.4 55.7% 190.0 proj OD BO 356.0 154.3% 251.5 162.0% 62.0 417.0 152.7% 64.2 471.0 150.0% Multi 2.54 2.62 2.52 2.50 OD OW Total OD $ OW $ Total $ JttW2 356 777 1656 52 113 240 WC 251 819 1472 36 125 225 FF8 417 1352 2671 60 196 387 IW 471 1526 2899 75 241 459

Yup. It picked up. I updated in the PS thread. It edged out FF8's first day of PS. But it had 6 hours more time, plus a little last night, and twice the shows posted. At 2.08m with 40k shows. Its a good start

Didnt say it wasnt going to well. Just pointing out that its lagging as many of us expected. Doing half, $200m or more is a good CBO number. But im sure the studio is hoping for $300-400m with the most other markets pointing to a significant drop. Its a spin off, a drop is expected from FF8 but its budget is higher than FF7. Its going to need $700m+ WW to breakeven at the BO. It needs China to get it comfortably over that number.

500k at 1630 w 22k shows. 6 hours into PS. (Not counting last night) FF8 6 hours into PS. 17k shows 1.58m. They are not as excited. Edit PS jumping now 1800 936k 28k shows 1900 1.35m 34k 2000 1.57m 36k 2100 1.75m 37k 2300 2.08m 40k 0000 2.15m 40k It passed FF8, but with twice the time(all day vs half day) and twice the shows. we need to wait til Monday to see if the daily RR is 10% or 20%+

Half way into day 2 of PS with 22k shows. PS at 500k. It may reach 900k today. Its not flying over 1m in a few hours like FF8.

Ah, with a name like Shanghai Fortress I didnt realize it was a frontloaded girl flick. SF has a 7 rating. Dailies will crumble. NZ shows will increase by 25%+ tomorrow , last Sat they increase by 20%. Perhaps a 70% bump instead of last weeks 66%. Today tracking to 120m Sat 205m Sun 205m M-th 350m week 3- 880m -40% WoW Th Tot 3925m/$560m Total after 3 more weeks with WoW drops of- -60% 4475m/$639m. Baseline-Locked -50% 4700m/$671m likely -40% 4955m/$707m possible. MH1 held -40% for several weeks into Sept. Will they run out of people? We'll see. 5b could happen

Shanghai Sat PS 92% less than Fri. What up with the frontload? NZ will get a lot of shows back and bump big. Could be F115m S 200m S 200m 325m midweek. 4400m/$629m locked 4700m/$671m feasible with 50% drops after this weekend

NZ wed- 247m. I wonder if the projection rose because of todays performance. It could drop back down when tomorrow comes in at 120-130m. Either way 4500m/$642m looking even better. If Friday is above 120m, 4400m/628.5m will be locked 4900m/$700m still possible if Friday beats 140m LW2 170m TB 124m

NZ PS up 110% to 39m with 34% of shows. The PSm will drop, 225m-250m VD Wed Line Walker 2 PS at 42m with 36%. NZ will win the day The Bravest will also bump 50%+ with 18% All other movies have less than 3% of shows With Shanghai Fortress opening on Friday, The big 4 will take 90% of shows. I think NZ will lose Friday but win the weekend

Nice to see a proper update. You dont need Mojo when you have @Charlie Jatinder and me tracking CBO

where is official. I didn't think we had official in dollars, mojo, the numbers and others have the f'd up $ total

In yuan, 4240m, most likely which is $605m in current XR. I have EG at $628m, mojo at $614m It will have to clear 4400m to beat it. Good chance it does and makes it to 4500m/$638m. We'll know better on friday

Nz 150.5m -9% A VD bump tomorrow and I expect thur to be down 25% from today at 113m Still on target to drop just 30-40% this weekend and $600m+ looking good