POTUS 2020

Ne Zha Sun 278m +22% from Sat 703m/ $102m OW A 22% Sunday bump could lead to a flat or better 2nd weekend. Lets see if Tuesday could hold flat or better as WoM spreads. 3b/$436m probable if so

I think it stalls here. Up and down years with a slight upward trend like Domestic since 2010. It depends on GDP at this point. BO to GDP ratio is at the upper end now

Market hasnt grown much. Up 33% from 2015 to 2018, 45b to 60b. 6% or 3.6b of that is the fee they count now. This year is on track to be down 5b for a 55b total, 51.7b w/o fees. CNY releases were up 5.5b in both 2017 and 2018 vs 2015 The market is near flat outside of CNY and down when you look at the top 3 summer grossers. Like WW2 and EG taking billions more than the top 2015 grossers. As i explained in the China vs Dom thread, there is a limited amount of annual disposable imcome relative to GDP. When a few movies like EG do better than expected and charge more per ticket, its going to take a toll on other movies. I would say the market is down from 2015 (sans CNY and Top 3 summer hits), and after many people paid 50 to 200% more for 1 EG ticket, it is affecting movies for weeks after. XR is also 5% worse. TLK is close to in line with TJB with all things considered imo.

It should get close to that. At least 800m/$116m

Spidey will be close to 1.4b/$203.5m on Thursday, not much more than that w/wo extension. 1.410b/$205m

Should reach 720m on thursday. a 75% hit next week will get it to high 700s over 800m still possible if it has enough shows

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IebgTzp0h-y5ALkQhXvAGplPUjH4UQfhj2A2a-gHvJc/edit?usp=sharing

July 26th looks busy. They will 70%+ shows. TLK and Spidey7 will be done

@Olive do you have June/Mid year numbers? and screen totals

A sunday bump is impressive, i would say over 3 times OW easily but need to see how it holds up against LU.

1300. TLK at 50% of Sat already We have a decent Sunday bump incoming. Its going to clear 402m/$60 OW It can coexist with Looking Up. Is LU considered a family film or sci fi? Im wondering how much the demos overlap

sheet https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iz_zkdMZxcPy8LOpEd0_q6TGwwfjJ9yCleG5WMJVh7M/edit?usp=sharing

I was at 200-300? I usually don't do predictions a week out I thought/projected 35m PS, By default then- 120m OD, 400m OW, maybe a billion total. $145m Right around TJB as I thought GZL getting close to KK

Are you revising your $350m down a bit?))

i think it will be 100m OD 340m/$50m OW

May fall short of $200m with just 30m. 4 releases incoming, will take 70% of shows

It might have been ahead and self corrected by freezing. It doesnt have a good RR today either.

It was frozen for a long time

2 local releases with decent PS along with TLK. Spidey will take a hit Fri and the following Thur is mounting great PS for Looking Up. Still on target to clear $200m, could crawl to $210m Aq 9.3 XR 6.89 Vm 9.1 XR 6.94 SM7 9.1 XR 6.87 Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Fri 157 166 24.2 223 239 34 224 246 36 Sat 266 69.6% 432 62.8 303 35.9% 542 78 244 8.9% 490 71 Sun 220 -17.0% 652 94.9 224 -26.1% 766 110 185 -24.2% 675 98 Mon 89 -59.5% 741 107.9 90 -59.8% 856 123 84 -54.9% 759 110 Tues 74 -17.5% 815 118.6 80 -11.1% 936 135 66 -21.0% 825 120 Wed 62 -15.9% 877 127.6 69 -13.8% 1005 145 60 -8.6% 885 129 Thur 55 -11.5% 931 135.6 62 -10.1% 1067 154 55 -8.8% 940 137 Fri 87 57.8% -44.7% 1018 148.0 85 37.1% -61.9% 1152 166 54 -1.8% -75.9% 994 143 Sat 164 90.1% -38.1% 1182 171.8 162 90.6% -46.5% 1314 189 82 51.9% -66.4% 1076 157 Sun 124 -24.6% -43.7% 1306 189.9 109 -32.7% -51.3% 1423 205 70 -14.6% -62.2% 1146 167 Mon 41.4 -66.6% -53.6% 1348 195.9 35.6 -67.3% -60.4% 1459 210 38.0 -45.7% -54.5% 1184 172 Tue 36.6 -11.6% -50.3% 1384 200.9 30.5 -14.3% -61.9% 1489 215 34.0 -10.5% -48.5% 1218 177 Wed 33.1 -9.6% -46.5% 1417 205.7 26.6 -12.8% -61.4% 1516 218 30.5 -10.3% -49.4% 1248 182 Thu 30.3 -8.5% -44.7% 1448 210.1 23.7 -10.9% -61.8% 1539 222 27.7 -9.2% -49.6% 1276 186 Fri 33.4 10.2% -61.4% 1481 215.0 31.1 31.2% -63.4% 1571 226 18.0 -35.0% -66.7% 1294 186 Sat 70.2 110.2% -57.3% 1551 225.2 61.5 97.7% -62.0% 1632 235 27.0 50.0% -67.1% 1321 192 Sun 58 -17.4% -53.2% 1609 233.6 43.2 -29.8% -60.4% 1675 241 23.0 -14.8% -67.1% 1344 196 Xeve 36.1 -37.8% -12.8% 1645 238.8 14.4 -66.7% -59.6% 1690 243 12.0 -47.8% -68.4% 1356 197 Xday 35.7 -1.1% -2.5% 1681 244.0 13.0 -9.7% -57.4% 1703 245 10.8 -10.0% -68.2% 1367 199 Wed 19.5 -45.4% -41.1% 1701 246.8 12.0 -7.7% -54.9% 1715 247 9.7 -10.2% -68.2% 1377 200 Thu 17.5 -10.3% -42.2% 1718 249.4 11.3 -5.8% -52.3% 1726 249 5.0 -48.5% -81.9% 1382 201 Fri 16.7 -4.6% -50.0% 1735 251.8 18.1 60.2% -41.8% 1744 251 Sat 18.75 12.3% -73.3% 1754 254.5 40.0 121.0% -35.0% 1784 257 Sun 43.4 131.5% -25.2% 1797 260.8 27.5 -31.3% -36.3% 1812 261 NYE 53.2 22.6% 47.4% 1850 268.5 9.3 -66.2% -35.4% 1821 262 NYD 50.9 -4.3% 42.6% 1901 275.9 8.2 -11.8% -36.9% 1829 264 Wed 11.5 -77.4% -41.0% 1913 277.6 7.8 -4.9% -35.0% 1837 265 Thu 9.7 -15.7% -44.6% 1922 279.0 7.3 -6.4% -35.4% 1844 266 BB od 5.3 -45.4% -68.3% 1928 279.8 2.1 -71.2% -88.4% 1846 266 Sat 12.1 128.3% -35.5% 1940 281.5 4.7 123.8% -88.3% 1851 267 Sun 10.8 -10.7% -75.1% 1950 283.1 3.7 -21.3% -86.5% 1855 267 2012 292.0 1870 269.5 1410 205

Mid 30s sounds right 1159pm Sat 4.2 Sun 6.2 +47% Mon 9 +45% Tues 13.5 +50% Wed 20.3 +50% Thu 36.4 +80% x14 510m/$74.2m OW

The the directors and actors that win use that success to grab cash on many pictures after. oscar grabs are eventual cash grabs. see nick cage, batfleck, and brando.

Thats typical. There was propaganda against all things American in the USSR and most was banned. But when Khrushchev visited the US he said he loved disney cartoons and westerns. He wanted to visit Disneyland and meet John Wayne. Disney was a security nightmare, that was out. But Wayne met with him on the condition he would not drink vodka, he drank tequila instead! Same with Kim Jong Il. He hated the west, but loved the movies that were banned for the people.

Its looking like 60m. Staying on track for low 200s. $210-220m if it doesnt fall more than 75% against TJB. Its got $200m even it fall 80% Aq 9.3 XR 6.89 Vm 9.1 XR 6.94 SM7 9.1 XR 6.87 Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Fri 157 166 24.2 223 239 34 224 246 36 Sat 266 69.6% 432 62.8 303 35.9% 542 78 244 8.9% 490 71 Sun 220 -17.0% 652 94.9 224 -26.1% 766 110 185 -24.2% 675 98 Mon 89 -59.5% 741 107.9 90 -59.8% 856 123 84 -54.9% 759 110 Tues 74 -17.5% 815 118.6 80 -11.1% 936 135 66 -21.0% 825 120 Wed 62 -15.9% 877 127.6 69 -13.8% 1005 145 60 -8.6% 885 129 Thur 55 -11.5% 931 135.6 62 -10.1% 1067 154 55 -8.8% 940 137 Fri 87 57.8% -44.7% 1018 148.0 85 37.1% -61.9% 1152 166 60 9.1% -73.2% 1000 144 Sat 164 90.1% -38.1% 1182 171.8 162 90.6% -46.5% 1314 189 90 50.0% -63.1% 1090 159 Sun 124 -24.6% -43.7% 1306 189.9 109 -32.7% -51.3% 1423 205 77 -14.4% -58.4% 1167 170 Mon 41.4 -66.6% -53.6% 1348 195.9 35.6 -67.3% -60.4% 1459 210 38.0 -50.6% -54.5% 1205 175 Tue 36.6 -11.6% -50.3% 1384 200.9 30.5 -14.3% -61.9% 1489 215 34.0 -10.5% -48.5% 1239 180 Wed 33.1 -9.6% -46.5% 1417 205.7 26.6 -12.8% -61.4% 1516 218 30.5 -10.3% -49.4% 1269 185 Thu 30.3 -8.5% -44.7% 1448 210.1 23.7 -10.9% -61.8% 1539 222 27.7 -9.2% -49.6% 1297 189 Fri 33.4 10.2% -61.4% 1481 215.0 31.1 31.2% -63.4% 1571 226 Sat 70.2 110.2% -57.3% 1551 225.2 61.5 97.7% -62.0% 1632 235 Sun 58 -17.4% -53.2% 1609 233.6 43.2 -29.8% -60.4% 1675 241 Xeve 36.1 -37.8% -12.8% 1645 238.8 14.4 -66.7% -59.6% 1690 243 Xday 35.7 -1.1% -2.5% 1681 244.0 13.0 -9.7% -57.4% 1703 245 Wed 19.5 -45.4% -41.1% 1701 246.8 12.0 -7.7% -54.9% 1715 247 Thu 17.5 -10.3% -42.2% 1718 249.4 11.3 -5.8% -52.3% 1726 249 Fri 16.7 -4.6% -50.0% 1735 251.8 18.1 60.2% -41.8% 1744 251 Sat 18.75 12.3% -73.3% 1754 254.5 40.0 121.0% -35.0% 1784 257 Sun 43.4 131.5% -25.2% 1797 260.8 27.5 -31.3% -36.3% 1812 261 NYE 53.2 22.6% 47.4% 1850 268.5 9.3 -66.2% -35.4% 1821 262 NYD 50.9 -4.3% 42.6% 1901 275.9 8.2 -11.8% -36.9% 1829 264 Wed 11.5 -77.4% -41.0% 1913 277.6 7.8 -4.9% -35.0% 1837 265 Thu 9.7 -15.7% -44.6% 1922 279.0 7.3 -6.4% -35.4% 1844 266 BB od 5.3 -45.4% -68.3% 1928 279.8 2.1 -71.2% -88.4% 1846 266 Sat 12.1 128.3% -35.5% 1940 281.5 4.7 123.8% -88.3% 1851 267 Sun 10.8 -10.7% -75.1% 1950 283.1 3.7 -21.3% -86.5% 1855 267 2012 292.0 1870 269.5

The PS trend is about the same when comparing an 8 day run to 8 days and 14 to 14. The PSm keeps changing though With only 8 days we'll be looking for 40-50% increases thru wed after the roll out settles down tomorrow. Probably 75% but could be 100% on Thurs. Been like that for 4 years. My chart from TJB PD run is posted in the PS thread, it was stronger than normal on the last 3 days