mikeymichael
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Everything posted by mikeymichael
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Weekend Thread (8/11-13) | Demeter 750K Previews
mikeymichael replied to Eric the Ape's topic in Numbers and Data
What was TFA's admissions? And is there a list somewhere that displays accurate(ish) admissions totals for new movies? -
Weekend Thread (8/11-13) | Demeter 750K Previews
mikeymichael replied to Eric the Ape's topic in Numbers and Data
Can Talk to Me reach 55m-60m? -
Barbie - $87.5m Oppenheimer - $48.3m
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contest Barbenheimer — Domestic Opening Weekend Contest!!
mikeymichael replied to XXR vs XXR's topic in Box Office Discussion
Barbie - $176,200,200 Oppenheimer - $73,456,789 -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
mikeymichael replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Curious to see if Oppenheimer gets a bump from today's reviews and review-related discussion. I feel like today is the first day that the volume of chatter around Oppenheimer has been even louder than Barbie (granted, it's still freaking loud for Barbie)—but maybe that's because my Twitter feed is over-indexed with respect to Nolan-obsessive types. -
80m 5-day is probably the ceiling at this point. CinemaScore does bode well for legs (even beyond Barbenheimer) and I think this can leg out to JW4-type numbers domestically.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
mikeymichael replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
After Top Gun 2's runaway success last year, I thought there might be a big Cruise-related boost—I thought perhaps it could approach 300m domestic or something—but it just doesn't seem like it's gonna happen at this point. Thing is, if a really established franchise wants to make a huge leap from installment to installment, you need the presence of a special x-factor (Dark Knight, Skyfall, Furious 7, etc. all had one) that unlocks a new segment of the moviegoing audience, and I think the hype surrounding Barbie & Oppenheimer has basically precluded any shot that DR had of doing so, even with amazing reviews and (I'm guessing) great WOM. Looks like 250m is the ceiling at this point and that's totally fine. -
Been following DR's tracking numbers and there really does seem to be a consistent ceiling for this franchise. After Top Gun 2's runaway success last year, I thought there might be a big Cruise-related boost—I thought perhaps it could approach 300m domestic or something—but it just doesn't seem like it's gonna happen at this point. Thing is, if a really established franchise wants to make a huge leap from installment to installment, you need the presence of a special x-factor (Dark Knight, Skyfall, Furious 7, etc. all had one) that unlocks a new segment of the moviegoing audience, and I think the hype surrounding Barbie & Oppenheimer has basically precluded any shot that DR had of doing so, even with amazing reviews and (I'm guessing) great WOM. Looks like 200-220m is the ceiling at this point and that's totally fine.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
mikeymichael replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Awesome, thanks guys. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
mikeymichael replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Is there a guide that helps explain how to understand how the tracking and comps in this thread work? It's super cool stuff but I always have to wait until somebody follows up with "well, looks like it's heading towards $6M." -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
mikeymichael replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Ha! I live a 7 minute walk from this theater. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
mikeymichael replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Pleasant Hill, California? -
I see that BOT forum activity has returned to pre-A2 levels. Did everybody lose interest in A2 trying to reach 700M?