mikeymichael

Seated for Barbie (Oppenheimer tomorrow). Man, this is just fun. So many people dressed in pink and even some dudes dressed like Oppenheimer. Huge buzz. Enjoying it while it lasts.

I woke up this AM with that "kid on Xmas morning" feeling... and now seeing these numbers come in feels just like opening two AMAZING presents.

Barbie - $176,200,200 Oppenheimer - $73,456,789

300M+ for Barbenheimer is absolutely happening...

Curious to see if Oppenheimer gets a bump from today's reviews and review-related discussion. I feel like today is the first day that the volume of chatter around Oppenheimer has been even louder than Barbie (granted, it's still freaking loud for Barbie)—but maybe that's because my Twitter feed is over-indexed with respect to Nolan-obsessive types.

80m 5-day is probably the ceiling at this point. CinemaScore does bode well for legs (even beyond Barbenheimer) and I think this can leg out to JW4-type numbers domestically.

After Top Gun 2's runaway success last year, I thought there might be a big Cruise-related boost—I thought perhaps it could approach 300m domestic or something—but it just doesn't seem like it's gonna happen at this point. Thing is, if a really established franchise wants to make a huge leap from installment to installment, you need the presence of a special x-factor (Dark Knight, Skyfall, Furious 7, etc. all had one) that unlocks a new segment of the moviegoing audience, and I think the hype surrounding Barbie & Oppenheimer has basically precluded any shot that DR had of doing so, even with amazing reviews and (I'm guessing) great WOM. Looks like 250m is the ceiling at this point and that's totally fine.

Been following DR's tracking numbers and there really does seem to be a consistent ceiling for this franchise. After Top Gun 2's runaway success last year, I thought there might be a big Cruise-related boost—I thought perhaps it could approach 300m domestic or something—but it just doesn't seem like it's gonna happen at this point. Thing is, if a really established franchise wants to make a huge leap from installment to installment, you need the presence of a special x-factor (Dark Knight, Skyfall, Furious 7, etc. all had one) that unlocks a new segment of the moviegoing audience, and I think the hype surrounding Barbie & Oppenheimer has basically precluded any shot that DR had of doing so, even with amazing reviews and (I'm guessing) great WOM. Looks like 200-220m is the ceiling at this point and that's totally fine.

Huge fan of the first. In fact, it may be my favorite of the franchise on a purely gut level.

MI:2's 57m opening weekend back in 2000 continues to look more and more impressive as the years go on. It's a shame this franchise could never back to the same level of hype that the series started off with (at least domestically).

Awesome, thanks guys.

Is there a guide that helps explain how to understand how the tracking and comps in this thread work? It's super cool stuff but I always have to wait until somebody follows up with "well, looks like it's heading towards $6M."

I'm sensing a $17M number for Mario today. It can happen.

Ha! I live a 7 minute walk from this theater.

Pleasant Hill, California?

Is this gonna be the first movie to finish in the domestic 200 million range since Venom?

Phew, I guess M. Night's second act as a BO draw is really coming to a close. Saw Knock over the weekend and was disappointed... just not a very fun or interesting experience, and I'm not surprised at all about it flopping.

I see that BOT forum activity has returned to pre-A2 levels. Did everybody lose interest in A2 trying to reach 700M?

Sub-30M 3-day coming.

TWOW could land anywhere from #2-#7.

700m is back on the menu, boys!

brother lilmac, i remember you from the BoxOfficeReport forum days! Loooooong time ago, LOL.

$38,123,456

MikeQ sure knows how to properly format a list

Man, A2's run so far has been a really interesting one. I feel like we're still kind of waiting to see how it's going to turn out, whether there's a potential for a breakout (which has seemed unlikely since OW, but not totally impossible) or whether it's going to peter out into disappointment. If it keeps tracking alongside RO, never does break out, and finishes somewhere in the 500s, it will be sort of a letdown, but for now I remain extremely curious and still a bit optimistic that there's the chance for some exciting days ahead.