Right now, I think Pitt is in the lead. Moneyball gave him the best reviews of his career, and the movie made some money. I'd say Tree of Life definitely helps.Clooney already has one, and Durjardin is a foreign actor in a silent film. That said, if anybody can get Durjardin a win, it's the Weinsteins. I think people feel Pitt's entering his golden age. Sometimes comes a moment when the Academy decides to reward someone, not just for one film, but their whole career.