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titanic2187

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Everything posted by titanic2187

  1. Ohhh, there are dozens of projection using pre-pandemic movie like IT2 or IM to project AQP2's preview number in buzz tracking thread, and I can tell you, they worked pretty well at +-5%. So if the momentum of presale can match pre-pandemic level, it is not too crazy then to compare them in term of overall gross then right? Again, zero contradiction to analyse number against pre-pandemic level without losing the perception of we are still in pandemic world. Most importantly, there are not many pandemic releases for reasonable sample size, let alone something open as big as AQP2. So how are we suppose to compare? Of course we look for pre-pandemic players.
  2. Why we shouldn't be comparing number against pre-pandemic level? If you read every Federal reserve report or bureau number, they are comparing unemployment rate and a lot of other metrics against pre-pandemic number. That is called gap analysis, and see how far we close to where things supposed to be. Nothing wrong comparing number against pre-pandemic level if we are genuinely preparing ourselves for recovery stage, instead of being self-content. No matter how it is impossible to achieve at the moment
  3. With that meh Sunday, we aren't hitting 80m for overall box office. About 37% higher than DS+MK weekend but still 56% down from MW 2019
  4. I hope WB can eventually realise their day-to-date strategy without any PA is basically killing the hens for eggs.
  5. I don't remember they were that bad before pandemic, their box office number is quite on spot with other major studios. Maybe they laid off too many during pandemic until now they are understaffed, or maybe they are still trying to understand what is 45m++
  6. So this week likely will hit 80m+ in total, breaking the pandemic record of 57m set by MK+DS, or about 55% lower from 2019's aladdin week. 1 N A Quiet Place: Part II Paramount… $48,380,000 3,726 $12,984 $48,380,000 1 2 N Cruella Walt Disney $21,300,000 3,892 $5,473 $21,300,000 1 - (4) Raya and the Last Dragon Walt Disney $1,990,000 +19% 2,015 -360 $988 $50,855,365 13 - (5) Godzilla vs. Kong Warner Bros. $852,000 -39% 1,815 -737 $469 $98,302,000 9 - (9) Dream Horse Bleecker … $652,373 -18% 1,283 +29 $508 $1,737,991 2 - (3) Those Who Wish Me Dead Warner Bros. $545,000 -72% 1,805 -1,574 $302 $6,821,000 3 - (7) Mortal Kombat Warner Bros. $260,000 -72% 960 -1,426 $271 $41,851,000 6 - (15) Nobody Universal $106,000 -66% 666 -798 $159 $25,971,130 10 - (-) The Dry IFC Films $65,000 -46% 126 -60 $516 $227,809 2 - (-) Final Account Focus Fea… $63,000 -55% 308 n/c $205 $258,930 2 - (-) The Croods: A New Age Universal $61,000 -58% 926 -128 $66 $58,296,960 27
  7. That Saturday's number from AQP2 suggest it play more like a horror thriller than a more family friendly- monster flick like Meg or JW. The actual PTA minus preview is at about $11,562 which isn't really much higher than GvK's 10.3k, suggest that all the additional headroom benefit in term of capacity go to Cruella.
  8. Paramount’s A Quiet Place Part II is crushing it, having grossed $19.3M on Friday, including $4.8M Thursday night previews. Saturday eased 23% to $14.9M, and the revised 3-day is now at $48.3M 3-day, $58.5M 4-day opening at 3,726 theaters for a $15,7K theater average.
  9. Data is scientific but not necessarily equate accurate or reflective. If it is really so, Trump wouldn't win 2016 presidential election because no sufficient data support that but people on the ground may sense there is a solid chance. Data without a real world experience is merely a channel of echo chamber. I am not korean I can't "feel" if GoT is really that big compared to Marvel.
  10. Again, those are just online number which box office number can equally do the same. Most importantly, I can see a everyday non-english speaking housewives recognize Iron Man, HP figure or Titanic ship or The lion king in the mall when they see an action figure on display. I can feel people talking about Hollywood movies in their native language whenever they met. I can see working class people casually sharing some movie trailer from Hollywood on their social media. I can see a girl score F in her english exam but somehow going nut for Twilight or Hunger Game. But none of this observation happened to english series even for GoT. Their buzz are passionate but limited to a small group of english speaking community. Again, I am not disputing the fact english series do have presence in overseas countries but their advantage or domination disappear right away. They are no longer that special compared to the local language content.
  11. Mandalorian is a SW related universe. You think people would give a damn if it wasn't for SW movies to pave the way?? Second, Netflix do provide local language content to each different countries. So owning a Netflix isn't really correlate to American show. Also, if you check through every box office market, hollywood production always made up 90% or more for imported movie. That alone explain the overwhelming advantage.
  12. Those buzz pretty much confined within english speaking community just like Game of throne. They hardly have any awareness beyond that. I can never see my friends talking about a english series but when it come to movie, even 40 years old non-english speaking uncle can name a few franchise. Talking from someone like me living in a country where english isn't first language. If you think they do well simply because of some internet reading, remember that you never heard of demon slayer until it debut big at the box office.
  13. Omg, the session is so crowded and I can't barely notice any different from 2019.
  14. If streaming is future, then USA has no future. In the past 30 years, there are tons of cultural phenomenon extended beyond english-speaking world through big screen like Jurassic, ID, Titanic, LOTR, HP, Twilight, transformer, Marvel vs DC, FF etc, yet little to none tv series have made such impact like their movie counterpart even after streaming taking over. Letting go theater is basically letting go an national advantage that US have been possessing for decades.
  15. US Senate is still unable to realise how important the theater is for USA soft power. Much of the US soft power is exported through cinema to the point that even the country are in tension with USA like Russia or China, they watch Hollywood movies there in their theater but not so much of streaming a series from US.
  16. Is weather really that cinema-friendly at east coast? I don't know that will be such a force for weather to influence box office business. Also, checking across regal cinema, I realised the last show of the day is actually quite early. A lot of them have their last show before 10pm or 11pm while in the place I live , midnight show selling out is very common. Is new yorker hate night life?
  17. That is because people think theater exclusivity is unnecessary and that hurt consumer choice without realising they actually got to stream a movie forever after the theater exclusive window.
  18. This is the most ridiculous reaction if it happened. If a film debut in theater and PA access concurrently , I can choose either going to cinema or PA but once the movie is gone from theater, I am left with only streaming option! How can people complain they have to wait for 45 days or 60 days for their turn to stream but I may have to wait a lifetime to be able to see a film on big screen again once they left theater
  19. Totally understandable given current situation but I don't hope or want this to be a permeant change. And speaking of choice, unless I got to see a movie that I love in theater easily for many many years to come just like streaming them, there is no choice given in the strict sense because by the time movie leave the big screen, I have no choice but to stream them.
  20. But there is a clear unfairness in term of consumer choice for this. People got to see their movies anytime at anywhere on streaming until end of the world but for those who like to see it in theater, once 45 days are gone, we may never be able to see a film in theater, or have to wait some anniversary limited run. How is it 45 days, 60 days or even 90 days theater exclusivity a too much thing to ask when we can stream a movie until god know when? If we want to see a movie in theater, we need large demand in order to keep a fair share of showtime. Moving demand to streaming is just killing our chance to see it on big screen.
  21. Poor holdovers except that never go away Raya, 20% up from last week! - N A Quiet Place: Part II Paramount Pi… $19,300,000 3,726 $5,180 $19,300,000 1 - N Cruella Walt Disney $7,700,000 3,892 $1,978 $7,700,000 1 - (-) Raya and the Last Dragon Walt Disney $495,000 +261% +20% 2,015 $246 $49,360,365 85 - (-) Nobody Universal $26,000 +31% -70% 666 $39 $25,891,130 64 - (-) Final Account Focus Features $15,000 +51% -68% 308 $49 $210,930 8 - (-) The Croods: A New Age Universal $14,000 +88% -61% 926 $15 $58,249,960 185 - (-) The Girl Who Believes In … Atlas Distri… $1,850 -37% -83% 75 $25 $3,135,715 57
  22. Assuming 50m 3 days for AQP2, this mean AQP2 is not that far off from the pre-pandemic tracking of 55m-70m. Which mean, whatever Paramount have done for AQP2 in term of marketing before pandemic, their buzz still works after 15months, especially given Paramount has done almost nothing during this 2nd go. Good to know that marketing buzz created 15 months ago is still working, hope the vaccine can last this long too in the body.
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