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titanic2187

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Everything posted by titanic2187

  1. Mar 27 is a very late date. Is there any justification given by AMPAS? This is going to be very hard for those film that like capitalize on Oscar bump until Oscar night.
  2. Too bad. Emily went on Jimmy show last year to promote AQP2 just before the shutdown. Now she has to do it all over again. Haven't really see other in the cast like Murphy or Hounsou or even Simmonds appear in big scale event to promote AQP2. John has been doing this alone until now he finally got some help from Emily
  3. Actually what he said is not that crazy at all, the 1st AQP did 188m, that is arguably within same range as F8 and H&S. So I won't be surprised if both come close with their follow-ups , regardless in pre or post covid world.
  4. May I know why you are comparing presale today to IT2's wednesday? Shouldn't it be Tuesday to have number more comparable?
  5. Actually I have it at 50m 3days including preview. I mean, there are too many improvements since GvK that I cannot ignore such as higher capacity , higher theater count, higher vaccination rate, lower cases and death. And not to mention AQP2 is an theater exclusive with more positive review than GvK, And before pandemic shutdown, AQP2 was tracking 55m-70m. Those were not blind forecast months before the debut. They were based on buzz created by real marketing push and pre-sale. So this is the goal that people should aim for. Although no way 55m-70m is attainable given current circumstances,, it is still crucial to see how close we can up against the pre-covid tracking.
  6. I saw John Kra went to few screening across USA to surprise moviegoers during AQP2 preview. He did this in Miami, NY and more to come. Although this make me wonder just how many previews out there, before AQP2 have its official preview on 27 Apr.
  7. If current trend continues, mid-July reopening is way too slow and unnecessarily strict. California (with similar population size as Canada) reopened their cinema back in mid-Mar where number of cases were at 4000. They should allow cinema to operate at 25% at least by mid-June, provided the improvement and vaccination continue to show progress. Canada vaccination progress mirror those of UK , where they emphasize on first dose coverage before going full force on 2nd.
  8. The way to describe AQP2's marketing this far is more closer to a continuation from last year's halt than an actual buzz rejuvenation.
  9. Most of them hold well for an obvious reason. Even MK is posting some solid hold. As for GvK, with that small drop, I don't think it will need to crawl past 100m, probably finish at 102m-103m if WW84 is any guide. Raya is having its 6th weekend of 1m+, it was previously drop to 1.38m but Mother Day's expansion mean it have to redo its decline. 1.) Spiral (LG) 2,991 theaters (+180) Fri $1.4M/Sat $1.9M/Sun $1.2M/3-day $4.55M (-48%)/Total: $15.8M/ Wk 2 2.) Wrath of Man (UAR) 3,007 theaters /Fri $818K/Sat $1.28M/Sun $834K/3-day $2.9M (-21%)/Total: $18.8M Wk 3 3.) Those Who Wish Me Dead (WB) 3,379 theaters (+191)/3-day $1.8M (-35%)/ Total: $5.5M/Wk 2 4.) Raya and the Last Dragon (Dis) 2,375 theaters (+90), Fri $414K/Sat $725K/Sun $523k/ 3-day: $1.66M (-2%), Total: $48.3M/Wk 12 5.) Godzilla vs. Kong (WB/Leg) 2,552 theaters (+68),/3-day: $1.43M (-6%)/Total: $96.9M/Wk 8 6.) Demon Slayer (Fun/Ani) 1,800 theaters (-130)/Fri $368K/Sat $558,5K/Sun $403,5K/3-day $1.33M (-32%)/Total: $44.9M/Wk 5 7.) Mortal Kombat (New Line/WB), 2,386 locations (-79) / 3-day $935K (-30%)/Total: $41.2M/Wk 5 8.) Scoob! (WB, re) 2,500 locations, 3-day $850K/Wk 1 9.) Dream Horse (BST) 1,254 theaters, Fri $260,7K/Sat $330,2K/Sun $253,2K/3-day: $844,2K/Wk 1 10.) Finding You (RSA) 1,447 theaters (+135) Fri $215K/Sat $285K/Sun $171K/3-day: $670K (-27%)/Total: $1.9M/Wk 2
  10. That's more like it and how the things are supposed to be. So all major west coast states like NY, NJ, Illinois and Penn have their capacity limit increase to at least 50% or above starting not too long ago. This is another step of improvement towards normalcy
  11. Still, with this quiet market, there is hardly any surprise hit. In any given year, a less crowded season would bring us some random surprise hit but it has been months since cinema reopen, there is hardly any surprise hit. I can only think of DS. With this pace of recovery, I truly doubt USA or NA can reclaim back its former biggest grosser in the world which they had keep it for nearly a century. Interesting enough, GDP rank by countries tend to correlate highly with box office market ranking. Below are comparison between GDP ranking and box office ranking by countries in 2010. Except for brazil that ranked number 7 GDP in 2010 but miss out the top 10 of box office market (replaced by SK), the rest top economics all make it into top box office market. So seeing USA or NA losing the top spot, it is kind of like a prelude foretelling USA's decline as the world superpower or hegemony.
  12. looking at how recovery of across different subsectors' , theatrical business seem to have the worst recovery. The business is still down by 80%+ from respective week in 2019 and the gap still haven't show any sign of closing up as the week progress .
  13. But too bad, HBO max will spoil all the fun. I do not object day-to date strategy but come on, with some paywall between them!
  14. Friday gain is a bit meh, so about 8.0m full opening weekend. Was thinking 9m is possible after seeing its opening day gross
  15. Actually the number of cases and death in USA is still not low enough, especially compared to other nation with high vaccination rate like UK and Israel. The numbers are just lower. Low and lower are two different concept. That is why there are still people worried.
  16. It is not about if AQP2 in 2020 could open at that range if nothing goes wrong. It is about how close AQP2 can do against pre-covid forecast. If AQP2 managed, somehow, to open above 45m-50m 3 days, that is sign of normalcy is possible because even AQP2 may failed to hit forecast range before covid.
  17. Do you all have amentia or something? All media outlets peg the opening at 50m-70m (most of them had it at 60m) and the presale confirm this range is possible.
  18. Looks like John is singlely manage the marketing campaign.
  19. IndieWire prediction AQP2: 40m 4 days Cruella: 20m-30m 4 days
  20. Hope french case can go down further and allow cinema to operate at the higher capacity level.
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