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Porthos

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Everything posted by Porthos

  1. If I had used 72m as R1's Fri number to calculate the True Friday a very slightly higher percentage would have appeared for the True Friday comparison. There might be a reason why I then decided to use 71m as the baseline instead.
  2. Alright, let's say 71 as a nice ballpark in the middle of the range. That means a True Friday of around 42m. TFA's True Friday was approx 62m. If this number is right R1's True Friday is 68% of TFA's True Friday. R1's preview was about 51% of TFA's preview number. That's a pretty nice recovery, all things considered.
  3. NO SPOILERS HERE FOLKS!!!! edit OK, I guess Ozy's respons was fair enough. (hadn't popped up yet when I was typing). But just wanted to remind one and all that there is a strict NO SPOILERS policy in this thread. Don't want to make Old Man Tele grumpy as he is about to head to a 15/70mm showing after all.
  4. I think there's little chance of this happening, as I like to be conservative (hah! One of the few times that can be said about me! ) about things like this and if I had to guess, I'd say it's going to come on the low end of the Asgardian's range. But... That's CA:CW's first Friday. Just sayin'.
  5. That's exactly the argument. Folks who are on the fence about seeing a movie but don't have the time and decide to go and see it on Blu Ray/Streaming/Cable later now have the time off in the holidays to catch a movie. Mind, I'm not completely convinced by the argument myself. But that's more or less it in a nutshell. --- The analogy I made is that if there is a theoretical celling to a movie, releasing it in March you might get 50 to 70 percent of the total, in summer 70 to 80 percent and in the holidays 80 to 90. Maybe. Possibly. That's the theory anyway and is one way to explain why some movies tend to do better than others at various point in the year. As to why movie studios hadn't released blockbusters here? Perhaps it's because Hollywood can be EXTREMELY conservative at times. They refused to release blockbusters outside the traditional summer months until other films proved you could get massive bucks elsewhere in the calendar. February was once seen as a dump month, but Deadpool (and to a degree 50 Shades) shattered that notion. So too for other months. A different way to put it is: No one likes to be the first to stick their head out of the trenches. Well, TFA did it by necessity and while it didn't get a multiplier many holiday movies got, it still cleaned up in the weekdays FAR more than it would have done in any period, including the Summer. ==== As I said, I'm actually something of a multiplier skeptic when it comes to the holidays, so I know where your coming from. But it's undeniable that there is more time off to see movies in this compressed frame, and movies have historically taken advantage of it. Just not blockbusters for whatever reason.
  6. Week Month Year All Time 1 Grand Moff Tele 29,006 2 Christmas Baumer 16,673 3 grim22 12,624 4 CJohn 12,601 5 WrathOfHan 12,412
  7. Just imagine how many pages it would hit if we were talking about an event movie.
  8. At all the roller coaster reactions in the last few hours Just wouldn't be a BOT MOVIE EVENT WEEKEND THREAD without all of the wild over reactions to all ups and downs.
  9. From Fandango: ARE YOUR KIDS READY FOR 'ROGUE ONE: A STAR WARS STORY'? (slightly slightly SLIGHTLY spoilery article) Their conclusion: Take that from what it's worth. But considering this is on the R1 page on Fandango, I suspect more than a few parents will be reading it.
  10. What? Rallax said that he thinks that his numbers are showing that R1 is backloaded compared to BvS and CW.
  11. Not saying you're wrong, and I know how unreliable Flixster is, but: TFA: R1 has identical score and ratings right now. Of course it is far far far too early to say anything about it all (given that R1 is just shy of 43,000 ratings and TFA has nearly a quarter million). Still as I just said in the Mothership Thread, I found the similiarity in score striking.
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