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XXR vs XXR

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Everything posted by XXR vs XXR

  1. XXR vs XXR
    The answer is yes it will hurt the audience score (but who cares?) and no it won't hurt the box office.
  2. XXR vs XXR
    If that's the case then it should show today. Lots of big college football games (including #1 Tennessee vs defending champ Georgia going on right now) and of course Game 6 of the WS (possibly the final game) is tonight.
  3. XXR vs XXR
    There have been a couple. A few weeks ago it was something like 184-530-475 and when the teaser initially dropped I was thinking 230-590-550.
  4. XXR vs XXR
    Idk if I'm in the $500M camp, but even Crystal Skull made an inflation adjusting $440M and it was poorly received. I doubt Indy 5 can pull off a TGM but it can definitely hit $500M if it has good WOM.
  5. XXR vs XXR
    Revised Expectations OW = $193M DOM = $528M OS = $447M
  6. XXR vs XXR
    Would IMAX really chose Nolan over the MCU if they had to make a choice? Seems unlikely.
  7. XXR vs XXR
    What the hell happened to Lyle, Lyle where it's actually up over last Friday?
  8. XXR vs XXR
    The first Aquaman had Christmas and no major competition. I see absolutely zero reason why the sequel would jump up by 65%. As for The Marvels they will definitely drop but you're talking about an MCU sequel dropping over 55%. To date, the biggest direct sequel drop in the MCU was AOU from TA1 @ 27%. I think a 25-35% drop is more likely for The Marvels.
  9. XXR vs XXR
    I basically agree with 8 of these (+/- 10% maybe?) but I think Dune 2 and Barbie are each $100M too high.
  10. XXR vs XXR
    So the Aquaman is going to go up by $200M and the Captain Marvel sequel is going to go down by $200M....
  11. XXR vs XXR
    Vs Friday Comps.... JJK = $9.9M OW DBSH = $9.3M OW MHA: WHM = $10.3M OW
  12. XXR vs XXR
    @Blankments Is that a running tab for the year?
  13. XXR vs XXR
    It'll be the best of the year but I don't think it'll have better reviews than No Way Home or Shang-Chi.
  14. XXR vs XXR
    2.6-2.9x
  15. XXR vs XXR
    Edit: I was rude.
  16. XXR vs XXR
    BA opened in 4402. I'm betting BPWF is closer to 4500 than 4300.
  17. XXR vs XXR
    If that’s where previews end up, then yea something in the $170-180M range is probable. I’m of the belief that it will do about 6.5x previews.
  18. XXR vs XXR
    $85-120M USD for those curious.
  19. XXR vs XXR
  20. XXR vs XXR
    Good. We don't need any of y'all to enjoy it
  21. XXR vs XXR
  22. XXR vs XXR
    I wasn't really adjusting so much as just restating my general thoughts. The trailer didn't change my opinions in any tangible way.
  23. XXR vs XXR
    Finally got to see the trailer. It’s visually stunning but I am leaning further towards what I said a few months ago that it’s going to be closer to $500M DOM than $1B DOM. As far as OS is concerned, I’m going with $1.2-1.5B OS-C-R. This won’t get a release in Russia and until China is confirmed it’s best to just assume it’s not happening. If it does, that’s another $650-900M (assuming no restrictions).
  24. XXR vs XXR
    29 for Titanic with its 2012 re-release. 19 for Spider-Man: NWH including its 2022 re-release. 17 for Avatar including its 2022 re-release
  25. XXR vs XXR
    10 Points No Country for Old Men 9 Points O Brother, Where Are Thou? 8 Points True Grit The Ballad of Buster Scruggs 7 Points The Tragedy of Macbeth Inside Llewyn Davis Fargo 6 Points The Big Lebowski Burn After Reading Hail, Caesar!
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