Gavin Feng

TROS to Solo(or any SW title to the previous one)

If this is a B-level production/franchise, it might be one of the most fun movie with these kind of epic scenes, fast-paced story though frivolous details. But it's from Star Wars.

https://deadline.com/2019/12/star-wars-rise-of-skywalker-global-opening-box-office-1202810995/

If Ip Man 4 is handled by other studio, it could make ¥700-1,000M. But now it may not even reach 400-500M, which means potential $30M loss.

I already know what the trailer would show in its second half warning:

A bad news after good one - The Eight Hundred have half the chance of debuting on this weekend.

Stupid decision for Bona Film Group. Ip Man 4 already got nearly 90k showtimes on opening weekend. They just changed the date and pissed theaters off because it means they might cancel those tickets and pay back money. Theater managers will definitely be directed against Ip Man 4.

Eight Hundred is coming.

Ip Man 4 will definitely win in terms of total box office. But it might not make as much as the third one. The distributor of Ip Man 4 is pretty weak. They always do nothing when their new movies are coming.

IMDb Most-Anticipated Movies of 2020*“Birds of Prey: And the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn” – Feb. 7“Sonic the Hedgehog” – Feb. 14“Top Gun: Maverick” – June 26“No Time to Die” – April 10“Black Widow” – May 1“Mulan” – Mar. 27“Wonder Woman 1984” – June 5“Dune” – Dec. 18“The King’s Man” – Sept. 18“Fast & Furious 9” – May 22

1% possibility Eight Hundred will come in this year.

years later when film market die...Disney go bankrupt...

Most people in most countries might think independence is a good thing. But Chinese think that is going to destroy their home and country.

edit is little strange. It feels like the trailer is telling too much?

boycott Mulan because Disney still don't give us the 2nd trailer.

rest of 2020 after CNY is dead. We should just expect something in 2021, like Shang-Chi.

https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/star-wars-rise-skywalker-tracking-175m-200m-us-bow-1258240

Detective Chinatown 3, biggest title of 2020 CNY.

The power of Disney's marketing: lower than Pikachu, Kung Fu Panda 3 on opening day

so this thread is dead in three hours with two pages.

Many similar situations happened in China. I heard some executives from local studios could get rewards as long as a project have greenlight. I guess that's why so many bad movies come out even though they know they would lose money.

26 markets = $19.3M all markets = $19.3M*3+$8.6M = $66.5M total = $66.5M*3.0 ≈ $200M ＞ 4*$48M budget = huge profits

I know many people here think $80-100M total is a big win for Frozen 2 and would argue that any other higher expectation is unreasonable. And I understand it. But I think there is a factor that people outside China don't know but cannot be ignored. The first Frozen movie didn't make huge in China, but the movie and its characters have been really popular since then. It is no exaggeration to say that many people especially those little girls believe any other princess is not real princess compared to Elsa. They may not know what Disney is, but they recognize Elsa. In their heart, Elsa is everything. Those piratical products of Frozen can even be sold to towns / countrysides. So in some ways, Elsa is the supreme princess. And Frozen 2 represent the biggest Hollywood animation(which it is around the world). If Frozen 2 couldn't make a very great number here, the movie and itself wouldn't get any hurt but release a signal that Disney brand and their princess and other Hollywood animations still have a very very long way to go in China. It just feels like that Endgame didn't even hit $400M in China, which means that Hollywood titles still can't attract more local audience. But still, I'm happy with any number over 0 considering how weak Disney's marketing is.