Brainiac5
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Posts posted by Brainiac5
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1 hour ago, Olive Skywalker said:
maoyan numbers are behind real numbers
alreadly 3.33M now
What’s a good comp?
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20 minutes ago, fmpro said:
Midnights?
So that will put it ahead of Thor right ?
and a possible 57-60mil o.w ?
I don’t really follow China B.O so correct me if I’m am wrong.
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46 minutes ago, fmpro said:
Looks like numbers have been corrected so ballpark
13,7 for TR
11,2 for Orient
When will we get some solids for JL?
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22 minutes ago, fmpro said:
So around the same ballpark.. But is much harder to predict than Thor was. We will know sometime friday
BVS has no legs so of JL can do 57mil then I think JL will have the legs to be the Fveu first 100mil grosser In China.
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1 minute ago, ZeeSoh said:
Neither you nor I know how the film will open or behave. You believe JL will open higher and have better legs. I don't think it will have better legs than FB though I think it will out open FB. Btw I am not even comparing to BvS.
As long as it can manage to open bigger than its projected 230 and do something like 270 or 290 then FB Number is going down with plenty over.
BVS was projected to open to about 350-375 ww.
JL May do 375 imho.
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4 minutes ago, The Fast and the Furiosa said:
It could very well open lower, and have better legs, getting to BvS internationally. We simply don’t know yet
Precisely what I’m trying to tell everyone.
BVS has a opening on par with a 1.4bil dollar film but couldn’t survive much with poor wom.
JL can very well open lower but end way higher than BVS.
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1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said:
Adding China and Japan to FB gross gives it a 233 opening (same as the one deadline is predicting for JL). the potter brand is very strong in Europe and Japan. Even if JL manages to match its 580 OS gross it will need 420+ from domestic to break the billion barrier. Given the reviews and tracking that seems unlikely
Less opening than BVS dies not equate to lower outcome.
Remember BVS opened to 422 and had a 2x world wide Multiplier.
JL can open to 350 and get a 2.8 World wide multiplier.
That all the film have to is have better legs than BVS.Im thinking it opens 375-400ww.
afyer that the film will only need a 2.66-2.5.
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1 minute ago, fmpro said:
Cant remember BvS wich had terrible legs. But 360 mill yuan is my best guess atm
BVS was 56-57mil
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1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said:
Adding China and Japan to FB gross gives it a 233 opening (same as the one deadline is predicting for JL). the potter brand is very strong in Europe and Japan. Even if JL manages to match its 580 OS gross it will need 420+ from domestic to break the billion barrier. Given the reviews and tracking that seems unlikely
JL will open bigger than expectations trust me in that.
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By the Way JL is looking to at least match BVS China opening.
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6 minutes ago, Brainbug said:
But Harry Potter has a much bigger OS Fanbase than DC. And FB only grossed that much because the GA was happy with the final product. Whether or not JL also gets a good audience reception we dont know till OW at the earliest.
Though i will say that OS moviegoers seem to not care as much about reviews. But JL must be better received than BvS, that one fall of a cliff just like it did DOM.
It will be better received
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3 hours ago, fmpro said:
Took a huge jump an hour ago. Maybe 13 mill will happen.
26-28 mill tomorrow.
100-110 mill OD.
360 mill OW
So JL is looking to Match BVS opening Weekend there or higher ?
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7 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:
235 Overseas Debut is gonna be awesome for this film.
As I said in the JL thread Fantastic Beast grosses 580 off a 185 opening and it also opened in all its markets except China.
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27 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:
I'm stanning all 3 this weekend - long live weekends without sequels and remakes:)...(yes, yes, JL is a kinda sequel, but 1st time for the JL onscreen is priceless:)...hurray for trying new stuff!
I haven't had a great weekend to stan since Happy Death Day:)...
I’m thinking JL will not preform like a sequel at all.
I sense massive legs coming.
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1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:
It would be great if it could steal the top spot by the end of the night:)...
It just did
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1 hour ago, Ash Skywalker said:
That JL pulse...
Selling 25-32 Tickets per minute for now!It’s only gonna increase as the day goes on.
Tomorrow it will be selling even more tickets fee minute.
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7 minutes ago, YourMother said:
Not really. An example of walk up driven at my theater would be IT. IT started at pacing above Apes and finished at above Homecoming.
JL May do the same.
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1 minute ago, YourMother said:
I should have a better idea Tuesday as a Thor comparison will be there as well along with an comparison to IT which also exploded Tuesday before release.
Yeah,we have no ideal how things are gonna look Tuesday evening.
JL seems like the film that will have Incredible wall ups.
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4 minutes ago, YourMother said:
Justice League
North Shore Cinema
11/16/17 (11 days before previews, 12 before release)
Mequon, WI
8:00 - 7/139
10:00 - 10/146
11:00 - 1/139
12:00 - 9/301
Running 36.5% ahead of Homecoming at the same time which translates into a $160M OW but it also has way more showtimes. If we use just Ultrascreen since only Ultrascreen was available for Homecoming, JL is looking at $122M. Using the an average, it’d be a $141M OW.
And walk ups can easily push it over 160.
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11 minutes ago, RRA said:
It’s almost like the reviews don’t matter....
Why I haven’t seen you in the JL thread?
Where have you been buddy?
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7 minutes ago, RRA said:
Does that arbitrary mark really matter if this delivers overseas like it should?
The Dceu was the first to have two 300mil grossers in one year so it’s a personal goal for me to see it be the first to have two 400mil Domestic grossers in one year as well.
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3 minutes ago, Subzero said:
With 4 Films, it managed to conquer 3 levels--> 200s, 300s, 400s .....now hopefully JL can conquer the 500s ....
Hopefully, I’m more concerned with it crossing the 400domestic mark more than anything.
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Just now, Subzero said:
Yeah the trends continues ... MOS-291, SS-325, BvS-330, WW-413, JL-430+ .....
The Dceu does a good Job at retaining its Fanbase from film to film so I will not be shock if both JL and wW both have 400mil Domestic totals.
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9 minutes ago, Subzero said:
Yeah, WB picked a good slot for this I think (kids are out of schools)....hopefully with good WOM, these extended 10 days JL will make most of it's money.
IMO if JL makes 160mil then 400 Domestic should be a done deal.In fact 430 Should be around its final number.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
in Numbers and Data
Posted
It’s all laughable but I have a feeling when JL Thursday preview Number comes in then we will
go from there.