Brainiac5
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Posts posted by Brainiac5
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Just now, MovieMan89 said:
You consider a 2.37x multi off a measly 65m OW "good legs?"
Better than another CMB with raving reviews
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8 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:
Name one comic book movie during the last five years that had reviews as bad as JL's that managed to have good legs?
X-Men apocalypse
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7 minutes ago, Brinatico said:
Don't be surprise if make 42M+ tonite, and more than 100s weekend... here in Miami is selling very well. Lots of sellouts
I won’t be as my thoughts have always been this film appeals to families.
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1 minute ago, Nova said:
This is what deflection looks like. I’m sure the WB execs are talking about Thor 3 dropping 64% in its third weekend and not about how their response to the Avengers is a disaster of epic proportions
The conversation between me and the other was about me saying all week JL was gonna cut into Thor legs and that’s what I responded to.
Theres no defense for the Domestic market from me as far as opening goes but we do have to see the legs and actuals.
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5 hours ago, KJsooner said:
Brainiac was telling us all month long JL was going to ‘destroy TR’s leg.’ Well, that’s not going to happen.
Well Thor is projected to take a 64%(20mil from 57mil) fall this weekend it just JL is underperforming.
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16 minutes ago, Krissykins said:
Nice update. Seems like it’s performing well in the majority of its markets.
China numbers are good.
I think it’s worth remembering That BVS opened around the world when all markets was getting ready for Easter Weekend.
I have come to terms with the Domestic market but I think O.S can be big.
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1 minute ago, Blaze Heatnix said:
But does that number include China?
No it doesn’t included China.
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1 minute ago, Barnack said:
When you global opening include the China opening and almost all market, big drop for a sequel are to be expected, Guardian 2 had "good" legs in china for what it was, 70% drop in China.
It could do better than the 67% drop, but 442m just from the weekend ? (So a what 600m oversea total) is way too optimistic.
This is a comic book film and we have no idea how it will play in those markets.
BVS crashed in all markets starting with its Saturday’s around the globe.
Sure its opening less but so far I haven’t read anything about crashes (so far/ yet lmao)
I also remember BVS Global Mon-Tues being a crazy number then Wendsday it fell.
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26 minutes ago, Subzero said:
Yeah at this point anything over $750m WW is a win for this I think .... the more the merrier ... hopefully legs will carry it over 850m WW.
It was a best case scenario as I just remember BVS horrible legs
GOTGv2 2.8x
Logan 2.4
SM:HC 2.6x
Wonder Woman 3.22x
Thor (Already)2.7x
If JL is a crowd pleaser then it can look like this
235x2.7=634
235x2.8=658
235x2.9=681
235x3.0=705
If it’s not then
235x2.0=470
235x2.1=493
235x2.2=517
235x2.3=540
235x2.4=564
235x2.5=587
235x2.6=611
I’m hoping for a 3.0xThen JL will hit A Billion even without hitting 300domestic .
I know the film also may end up over estimates which will sway the multipliers.
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Just now, Barnack said:
as an eventual $215M-$235M overall overseas opening weekend.
BvS made 254 with a couple more markets (BvS had a 4.5m in Japan for example), we could see more something like a 10% or less drop oversee, for an around 500m result (instead of 545m) if it start with 225.
If so, an above 750m would be locked.
Don’t forget BVS had horrible drops across the broad.
I love the film but I do at least acknowledge Its 69%drop in NA and a 68% drop (can’t remember exact number ) in the foreign market.
After the following Tuesday the film fell off in all markets .
JL just needs to hold better,Taking a 50%drop each weekend can look like this
235
117
58
32(-60%TLJ)= 442 and that’s a possibility without the Weekdays.
An “A or A- Cinema Score is a must
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1 minute ago, fmpro said:
27,3 is wed and thu
Not friday
When I originally shared the link I thought it had China as I didn’t Really read the article from 3 hours ago or so.
I feel the film is in better shape than I initially thought.
its 40% ahead of Wonder Woman in some markets and that’s good considering most say that film didn’t have a foreign appeal.
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6 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:
Wait so the 27mil didn’t include China?
27.3+15.1= 42.4 and estimates are more likely to go up.
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53 minutes ago, Rebeccas said:
You might as well say "well what if it performs like AVATAR huh??? HUH??"
It could or or cant we just don’t know at this moment.
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Just now, YourMother said:
Not getting a 3x.
I said “Im not saying it’s ginna do that”
I think we all get so caught up in o.w numbers we forget these films also have to have legs.
BVs opened to 166 but it means nothing when you look at other films that didn’t open that huge but passed it at the Boxoffice.
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Just now, TalismanRing said:
What tunnel? Julia Robert's recent career?
The only way this has anything to do with JL is that it's attracting kids and family audiences which will not help JL.
I guess you didn’t get my point.
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Just now, Rebeccas said:
Even a WW level multiplier only brings this to like $121m OW, which is just barely lower than Thor3.
121 with Fantastic Beast Multiplier with bring it to 382.
Not saying it’s gonna do that but I ask you this one question.....What’s more important ,O.w or final Gross?
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Just now, The Futurist said:
WW is the definition of outlier, especially in the US.
But did we know it was gonna be an outlier?
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Just now, Biggestgeekever said:
If Wonder is beating Thor in advance ticket sales and it’s second to JL then we may see some sun light at the end of this tunnel.
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Just now, JohnnyGossamer said:
Haven't MCU had a history of lower preview numbers than DCEU respective to OW.
Yes but that did change with WW.
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3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:
$17M for GOTG 2 Thursday night...
So it wasn’t that much of a rush for a sequel to a film with over a 3x.
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Just now, somebody85 said:
I'm not saying there is.
But looking at the preview numbers for JL, Thor, and SM: H, there doesn't seem as big a rush to see them as there once was.
13 and 14.5 isn't a huge difference. All I was saying that these numbers are a big dropoff from the first two:BvS $27.7m
SS $20.5m
The weekend could easily make up for it.What was GOTGv2 preview as I don’t think that film even hit 20mil.
Maybe CBM are gonna start to get less front
loaded?
Only time will tell for JL.
#JusticeLeague grossed $18M THU from intl mkts raising total to $27.3M ahead of wknd. Matching or beating #ThorRagnarok in many countries. China opening day FRI heading to roughly $15M today, 25% behind #BvS, but about even with latest #Thor .
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4 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:
I didn't mean that. I more so meant we may see the ceiling OW/TOTAL start to gradually dip for these MCU, DCEU, etc. Of course a lot of people will see it next weekend. That's the same case for just about any tentpole released the weekend before Thanksgiving.
I’m sorry I was in a conversation with Subzero I didn’t mean to tag you.
(About your point for next weekend) We May see an incredible hold next week and then again we may not .
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Just now, somebody85 said:
Maybe people are finally starting to get burned out. My theaters were packed for Thor and JL...but slower for Wonder Woman and Homecoming. I think there were only 2 other people in the theater for Wonder Woman when I saw it. Shame because that's by far the best one out of all of those.
Avengers: IW will see a big bump of course but I dunno about Black Panther.Another thing when comparing JL to BVS ,SS and WW we also have to look at the dates.
BVs has Good Friday the day after so much bigger preview.
SS was in Summer also WW.
It May not be saying much but I think it’s something to take into consideration.
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2 minutes ago, Subzero said:
I think opening a team up superhero movie right after THOR:R (basically another semi team up) is a mistake ...perhaps it was just too much superhero movie in a short span...so folks are not in a hurry to watch it.
I can't wait to see how it pans out next year with a full year fill with ComicBook Super movies....
1 minute ago, JohnnyGossamer said:Curious about this too.
I have also heard a number of folks saying they are gonna catch it Next weekend.
China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26
in China At The Box Office
Posted
So far what’s its total in US dollar ? And where is it more likely to end up with a better increase over Thor?.