Brainiac5
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Posts posted by Brainiac5
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13 minutes ago, raegr said:
Brainiac just let it go, jesus christ, just accept defeat.
Defeat is accepted ,I’m trying to see where it’s going.
Will it be sub 600/225/375 or 700/250/450.
700mil is respectable 600mil
is not.
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7 minutes ago, Diana Prince said:
From your numbers FB dropped more. I have no faith that JL will drop less than 70%. Thor:R had a great weekend and an excellent Sunday drop and still dropped over 70% on its first Monday. JL is a CBM and those two films you quoted aren’t. But if you’re wish comes true, I will be very very happy.
Even with the lower actuals JL still held better than MJ2 ,15% sat drop only 1.0% or so on Sunday .
MJ2 Sat drop was 25.8% ,31% sun drop.
Im comparing the films that it has opened close to around the same time instead of a Superhero film.
Thor didn’t have Schools out on its first Monday as JL will have all of them for the next 7 days so it should lighten the drops.
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3 minutes ago, Diana Prince said:
This confirms what I saw over the weekend. JL went gangbusters in NY. Too bad same cannot be said for most other places in NA.
I honestly can’t wait to see what it’s Monday drop is gonna be.
MJ2 dropped 63.3%
FB dropped 63.5%
If JL drop is better than there’s some glimmer of hope but if it’s bigger ,Panick.
I hope to God That it follows closer to FB than MJ2 as the difference between the two are 2.77x & 3.13x.
So Far the film is doing slightly better than MJ2 but only time will tell what JL faith is gonna be.
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2 minutes ago, grey ghost said:
But what about the weeks after?
That post holiday drop is gonna be something vicious.
Even with a 60 drop in Weekend 3 JL can be very close to a 2.5-2.6x after its 17 days.
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Just now, ZeeSoh said:
I was talking about worldwide multiplier not domestic.
Which also usually reflects its Domestic Multiplier for this time of the year.
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1 minute ago, Sam said:
The Harry Potter franchise is a completely different beast OS.
Comparison between it and a superhero movie in the OS markets have little value.
DomesticallyI feel JL might come close to FB Multiplier.
Foreign is just something we are Gonna have to wait and see for as JL did open on par with FB.
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4 minutes ago, grey ghost said:
Less impressive when you consider the Holiday weekend.
Remember BVS had nothing going against it the weekend after and still fell 69%.
If JL can fall in the middle of MJ2 And FB and earn a 45%drop Then it’s 10day total will
alreay get it close or right at a 2x.
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2 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:
Assuming Thor finishes at 850 then its WW multiplier will be around 2.64
With the same multi JL gets to around 735. Whether it gets that multi however remains the question as it has already shown weaker internal weekend multiplier than Thor in many countries already.
SS internal Multiplier 5.32x / dom Multiplier
2.4x
BVS internal Multiplier 6.14x
1.99x
MJ2 internal multiplier 6.37x
2.75x
FB internal multipier 9.25x
3.13x
JL internal Multiplier 7.23
???
If it performs like a Thanksgiving Film then a 2.8-2.9x is certainly possible.
Keep in mind that both MJ2 and FB faced a Starwars film and animated film (FB faced the weaker of the films).
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If JL drops 45% next week then it’s second Weekend can edge out BVS Second Weekend.
Thats crazy give the fact that BVS opened to 70mil more.
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2 hours ago, Christmas baumer said:
RTH already said it fell about 30% on Sunday.
1 hour ago, RamblinRed said:Actually RTH said more than 30%. If that is correct than sub 95 is where it ends up.
Great weekend for Wonder. Have to think it will hold really well.
If the drop holds up then it’s on par with FB.
The film still didn’t fall bigger than Mocking Jay part 2.
That film finished with a 2.77x and it faced Star Wars ep.7.
Same Multiplier gives JL 265dom.
Since it held better than MJ2 I’m certain it gets closer to a 3x.
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22 minutes ago, MattW said:
Justice league should be in the 40-43 range next weekend, and even good Dino did 39m its first FSS, Coco shouldn't have any trouble topping that. I'm thinking 48-50 for Coco right now, and the trades should be giving their week/weekend previews tomorrow since it starts Wednesday.
I don’t see JL dropping that much at all of its Sunday estimate holds.
W.O.M seem much better than BVS this go around.
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3 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:
^^ It seems a few thousand screens should be knocked off in the subtraction column for theater count losses for next weekend. But then we would be under 30,000 screens for the top 20 which would just be impossible due to the shedding of alot of showtimes. I see alot of showtimes adding for Wonder. I also see Coco being made available for all matinees everywhere and Justice League going above BVS weekend #2.
I see JL holding similar to Fantastic Beast this weekend coming and also seeing it above BVS Second Weekend.
If it holds (If) Like Fantastic Beast (3.13x)From here on out and 96x3.13=300dom.
The last two films to compare JL to Are MJ2 And FB as Both faced Star Wars films But FB faced the weaker of the two.
If we compare it’s weekend drops to Fantastic Beast it will actully hold better on Sunday.
Its day to day drops so far also have been Better than MJ2and that film has a 2.72x.
Fantastic Beast has a 3.16x,Not saying it’s gonna do that but if it does then the Big Negative will have a positive side to it.
FB has a combined 41% drop from its Friday -Saturday-Sunday
JL has a combined 41.8% drop form it’s fri-Sat-Sun
MJ2 Has a combined 57.1%drop From it’s Fri-Sat-Sun.
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18 minutes ago, a2knet said:
2.4-2.6x with 96 gives 230-250 dom for JL.
Wouldn't think 250 is dead yet. The reception seems fair imo. The trend over the weekend has been good.
Seeing it hold that 86% audience score throughout the weekend gives me hope for a better multiplier I’m the coming weeks .
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1 minute ago, Christmas baumer said:
I love your optimism but there's about a 0.0001 chance it hits a 3X. While the wom on this will undoubtedly be better than BvS, there's still too many people who hated it. I don't share that opinion of course, but imho, the best this can hope for is a 2.6X. Hopefully it does really well internationally and can somehow hit 600M.
On time will tell,I have noticed the reception is much better than BVS and SS but I do understand about the competition as well.
Im just giving A scenario on if JL just have better holds than MJ2 it can no better.
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Just now, Krissykins said:
That won’t happen. I’m thinking more $225m.
The 266m will be a 2.77x for JL which is what I’m thinking as well giving the fact that sa far it has held better than MJ which finished with a 2.75x.
If you really think about it if JL can hold even better in th me coming weeks it can get closer to a 3x.
MJ
-25.8 On Sat
-31 On Sun
JL
-15% On sat
-26% On sun
It can very well catch up to MJ Dailies in the coming weeks.
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23 minutes ago, a2knet said:
If Sat is 33 they are using a 26.7% Sunday drop for 24.2
38.8 + 33 + 24.2 = 96
So Far the film has had better drops then MJ it will be interesting to see if it can catch of with it’s Dailies.
Dont know If TLJ will kill it completely but if it doesn’t then JL can still have a decent outcome from this as MJ ended up 281 domestic.
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21 minutes ago, Matrix4You said:
I am still going to project for this to reach 300M. There has to be alot of kids that want to see this.
Well here's a few comparisons for big movies that opened the weekend before Thanksgiving in the last few years:
2016: Fantastic Beasts: . . . 2nd weekend drop: -39.4% 3rd weekend drop: -59.8%. 3.15x multiplier.
2015: Hunger Games: MJ2: 2nd weekend drop: -49.3% 3rd weekend drop: -63.7%. 2.74x multiplier.
2014: Hunger Games: MJ1: 2nd weekend drop: -53.3% 3rd weekend drop: -61.3%. 2.77x multiplier.
2013: Hunger Games: CF: . 2nd weekend drop: -53.1% 3rd weekend drop: -64.7%. 2.69x multiplier.
They did all have solid to great legs though... Verdict is still out on JL's legs.-
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Just now, TwoMisfits said:
So, my local cleared the deck tonight and gave 6 screens to JL for 9:30pm and later...in a change, it also gave 2 screens to Wonder, so it seems that movie will even sell at night (needless to say most other movies showings ended between 8-9pm)...
What’s the typical World Wide Multiplier Of November openings for this time of the year ?
Things are looking bad but it seems only the WW multiplier can make it look good.
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6 minutes ago, Bishop54 said:
You were talking pretty huge about JL, I figured you'd make an appearance and say you were wrong.
You missed it yesterday.
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3 hours ago, Bishop54 said:
Why aren't you participating in the weekend thread?
Where have you been?Ive been all over this forum.Plus there’s not much to say.
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5 minutes ago, DAJK said:
Fair yea, Wonder is gonna be more of an issue than anyone was expecting for sure.
For the 3-day next weekend I could see
Coco - $55M
JL - $40M
Wonder - $22M
So where would that put JL 10day?
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2 minutes ago, Sam said:
Well, it started off so low that the chance for “decent” legs of 2.4-2.5x might be possible?
I would say this ,At least it’s twitter Ratio is 8:1.
I remember BVS being something like a 2:1.
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9 minutes ago, somebody85 said:
The only place it's doing really good is I think in Brazil and India.China is also doing well.
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1 minute ago, UserHN said:
JL seems to be picking up in many overseas markets now. I think it now has a chance to outgross Thor 3. Maybe $550 OS + $270 domestic.
Domestically I don’t know about 250+ if the recent 93mil(230-250/2.7Max!) Weekend estimate happens as I have come to terms with the domestic market for this film.
The W.O.M may not be there as I hoped for However ,Foreign is looking pretty good as W.O.M In China is extremely better. JL Saturday just had a bigger increase than Thor and it doesn’t have Competition (from my understanding ) For two weeks.
235 mil o.s debut is pretty damn good.
THE JUSTICE LEAGUE (and The Star and Wonder) WEEKEND THREAD | PREMIUM ACCOUNT SALE NOW LIVE | Weekend Actuals ~ JL 93.84M, W 27.54M, T:R 21.66M, DH2 14.43M, MOTOE 13.80M, TS 9.81M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
I’m trying to see where it’s going.
Will it be sub700and go 600/225/375 or 700/250/450.
700mil is respectable 600mil
is not.