Jake Gittes

Jenkins is probably #2 right now (with Lonergan and Scorsese right behind) but I don't think he's gonna be able to beat Chazelle when he has a less technically showy film AND he's a non-veteran who's only now getting introduced to 99% of the industry.

Unfortunately.

O.J.: Made in America wins Editing, with La La Land as runner-up once again.

It's weird suddenly seeing David Wasco's name so much because all this time he's been a name I knew entirely from Tarantino's pre-Django work. Great for him that he landed the La La Land gig.

Inspired.

The only movie with a better hold this century is Hugo, and that had a much more significant theater increase (+44% vs +19%). Well done.

Nocturnal Animals is holding on surprisingly well considering its supposed divisiveness. If it does go even semi-wide next weekend it might at least reach $10m.

1 1 Moana BV $28,373,000 -49.9% 3,875 - $7,322 $119,888,330 - 2 2 2 Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them WB $18,545,000 -58.9% 3,988 -156 $4,650 $183,507,403 $180 3 3 5 Arrival Par. $7,300,000 -36.3% 2,915 +473 $2,504 $73,078,514 $47 4 4 4 Allied Par. $7,050,000 -44.5% 3,160 - $2,231 $28,927,432 $85 2 5 3 Doctor Strange BV $6,486,000 -52.8% 2,935 -73 $2,210 $215,309,177 $165 5 6 6 Trolls Fox $4,600,000 -56.8% 3,156 -166 $1,458 $141,371,445 $125 5 7 9 Hacksaw Ridge LGF $3,400,000 -38.4% 2,494 +162 $1,363 $57,264,956 - 5 8 7 Bad Santa 2 BG $3,288,699 -46.8% 2,945 +25 $1,117 $14,289,743 $26 2 9 N Incarnate HTR $2,659,000 - 1,737 - $1,531 $2,659,000 $5 1 10 8 Almost Christmas Uni. $2,500,350 -56.1% 1,556 -213 $1,607 $38,147,500 $17 4 11 13 Manchester by the Sea RAtt. $2,363,500 +92.8% 156 +108 $15,151 $4,423,443 - 3 12 10 The Edge of Seventeen STX $1,660,000 -44.0% 1,608 -337 $1,032 $12,768,490 $9 3 13 11 Loving Focus $997,000 -41.2% 446 +25 $2,235 $5,592,166 - 5 14 14 Moonlight (2016) A24 $915,750 -24.9% 574 -44 $1,595 $9,896,107 - 7 15 15 The Accountant WB $765,000 -26.6% 608 +52 $1,258 $84,260,470 $44 8 16 18 Nocturnal Animals Focus $686,095 -18.0% 127 - $5,402 $2,705,383 - 3 17 N Believe (2016) Free $602,519 - 639 - $943 $602,519 - 1 18 12 Rules Don't Apply Fox $555,000 -65.1% 2,386 +4 $233 $3,322,655 $25 2 19 17 Bleed for This ORF $289,287 -68.6% 649 -900 $446 $4,841,477 $6 3 20 N Jackie FoxS $275,000 - 5 - $55,000 $275,000 - 1 21 19 Jack Reacher: Never Go Back Par. $225,000 -37.8% 298 -47 $755 $57,759,104 $60 7 22 21 The Eagle Huntress SPC $213,442 -18.8% 81 +17 $2,635 $1,198,956 - 5 23 20 Boo! A Madea Halloween LGF $136,000 -58.2% 235 -104 $579 $73,000,754 $20 7 24 25 The Girl on the Train (2016) Uni. $127,280 -42.1% 177 -10 $719 $75,081,395 $45 9 25 32 Lion Wein. $120,234 -2.5% 7 +3 $17,176 $279,382 - 2 26 28 Deepwater Horizon LG/S $115,000 -38.1% 166 -21 $693 $61,288,034 $110 10 27 23 The Secret Life of Pets Uni. $108,320 -51.7% 189 -20 $573 $368,015,345 $75 22 28 34 Elle SPC $93,795 -20.3% 32 -4 $2,931 $548,604 - 4 29 24 Shut In EC $65,000 -70.8% 121 -156 $537 $6,803,233 - 4 30 33 A Man Called Ove MBox $57,819 -53.0% 73 -15 $792 $3,141,717 - 10 31 41 Miss Sloane EC $44,000 -26.4% 4 +1 $11,000 $123,036 - 2 32 36 Pete's Dragon (2016) BV $34,000 -66.5% 86 -41 $395 $76,204,393 $65 17 33 N Things To Come IFC $33,090 - 3 - $11,030 $33,090 - 1

Manchester has a good grip on this. If anything's gonna pull an upset, it'll be Moonlight not LLL.

The Witch in Production Design is exactly the kind of shout-out that would seem obvious if only more than a couple of people in the Academy had cared. Go Foster and Gerwig. And yeah I thought The Lobster could dark horse it into the Screenplay category ever since I saw it, nice to see it might still happen.

Incidentally I'll be watching all three LOTR Extended Editions on the big screen next weekend. More hyped for that than for any actual upcoming blockbusters.

Schumer and The Rock would be good. And I say this every year but Hugh Jackman needs to do it again sometime. Timberlake, alone or with someone (Anna Kendrick?) would seem like a no-brainer too.

When The Grand Budapest Hotel and Boyhood became 2 of the 3 biggest award players of 2014 I thought maybe that would teach them a lesson. Silly me. This November-December, there's no reason Loving, Elle, Manchester, A Monster Calls, Nocturnal Animals, Paterson, Julieta and Toni Erdmann couldn't have been released weeks or months earlier in the year.

The movie sounds like a rare biopic that's actually ambitious and interesting, which ironically makes it more likely to be divisive especially in the industry. Stone has basically every advantage except that she's playing an original character... but I don't think that'll be enough to stop her from winning.

Yeah I think Jackie would be lucky to make it to 25-30m. And all of that makes me a bit more convinced that Stone will win Best Actress.

Manchester shouldn't wait until the 16th. Strike while the iron is hot and go 800+ theaters next weekend.

I wouldn't want to be in their position, it doesn't sound like an easy film to sell (not The Tree of Life or anything, but not your typical crowdpleasing biopic either), the Oscar noms aren't until late January, and it's insane how many prestige films will be competing for attention before then. This year is worse than ever in that regard, it's crazy that there weren't any big platform openings for two full months between Hell or High Water and Moonlight. Jackie isn't at fault here considering it was hardly on anyone's radar before Venice, but over a dozen hyped well-reviewed films for adults all playing during the holidays and January is straight-up unhealthy. Café Society and HOHW were smart - if you were ready for Cannes, don't wait another six months to get released. And as HOHW's awards traction shows once again, if a movie is good enough it won't be forgotten by the year's end.