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Jake Gittes

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Everything posted by Jake Gittes

  1. 1 N Moana BV $55,523,000 - 3,875 - $14,329 $81,108,000 - 1 2 1 Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them WB $45,100,000 -39.4% 4,144 - $10,883 $156,228,123 $180 2 3 2 Doctor Strange BV $13,369,000 -24.7% 3,008 -686 $4,444 $205,093,475 $165 4 4 N Allied Par. $13,000,000 - 3,160 - $4,114 $18,022,000 $85 1 5 4 Arrival Par. $11,250,000 -7.3% 2,442 +107 $4,607 $62,387,300 $47 3 6 3 Trolls Fox $10,340,000 -40.7% 3,322 -623 $3,113 $135,136,662 $125 4 7 5 Almost Christmas Uni. $7,610,000 +4.9% 1,769 -610 $4,302 $36,688,865 $17 3 8 N Bad Santa 2 BG $6,106,658 - 2,920 - $2,091 $9,031,191 $26 1 9 6 Hacksaw Ridge LGF $5,450,000 -18.3% 2,332 -551 $2,337 $52,248,382 - 4 10 7 The Edge of Seventeen STX $2,960,000 -37.7% 1,945 - $1,522 $10,273,770 $9 2 11 15 Loving Focus $1,691,000 +94.5% 421 +284 $4,017 $4,069,771 - 4 12 N Rules Don't Apply Fox $1,575,000 - 2,382 - $661 $2,175,000 $25 1 13 11 Moonlight (2016) A24 $1,300,000 -12.7% 618 -32 $2,104 $8,624,896 - 6 14 21 Manchester by the Sea RAtt. $1,250,294 +387.4% 48 +44 $26,048 $1,651,933 - 2 15 N Dear Zindagi Relbig. $1,082,894 - 153 - $7,078 $1,502,078 - 1 16 9 The Accountant WB $1,057,000 -51.0% 556 -867 $1,901 $83,240,144 $44 7 17 8 Bleed for This ORF $949,898 -59.9% 1,549 - $613 $4,253,602 $6 2 18 18 Nocturnal Animals Focus $816,000 +65.6% 126 +89 $6,476 $1,669,834 - 2 19 13 Jack Reacher: Never Go Back Par. $370,000 -62.6% 345 -765 $1,072 $57,425,613 $60 6 20 12 Boo! A Madea Halloween LGF $353,000 -69.1% 339 -832 $1,041 $72,858,654 $20 6
  2. Billy Lynn is like a faint echo of Heaven's Gate in some ways. A director's ambitious follow-up to his multiple Oscars-winning film with a strange but interesting cast is killed by critical reception to such an extent that it barely spends any time in theaters and recoups about 5% of its production budget DOM. Thankfully said budget is $40m instead of $400m, and there's China, and I'm sure the industry will still like Ang Lee.
  3. I'm too lazy to watch the trailer but a director should be able to transcend a "theatrical" feel. If Glengarry Glen Ross can feel like cinema every step of the way there's no reason this shouldn't.
  4. it's impossible to avoid that. Frozen actually had it good with a 53% drop, Tangled dropped 56% and TGD 60%. Moana will probably land somewhere in the middle.
  5. Renner should try comedy too, I dunno if it would be a Leo in Wolf or Gosling in Nice Guys type of revelation but I suspect he could play a total doofus really well.
  6. He should stick to The Town/The Immigrant type character actor stuff. He's perfectly serviceable in Arrival but the script gives him no opportunity to make a real impression.
  7. I don't get Trolls' drop. I just don't. Competition, sure, but Megamind dropped 21% against Tangled (24% on Thursday), Puss in Boots dropped 30% against three PG-rated openers that combined for $53m (3-day), Wreck-It Ralph dropped 10% against two PG openers with $46m combined, and Peanuts (which had shit legs overall) dropped 26% against TGD. Trolls is collapsing as if this was any regular weekend.
  8. 1. The Witch 2. Hell or High Water 3. Zootopia 4. The BFG 5. I Am the Pretty Thing That Lives in the House 6. Hunt for the Wilderpeople 7. Everybody Wants Some!! 8. Indignation 9. Don't Breathe 10. Microbe and Gasoline
  9. The Martian wasn't a surprising hit. If I remember right it had a Toronto premiere and immediately got strong enough reviews to be considered a part of the race.
  10. Pot A: Moana Gross Pot B: Underworld OW Pot C: (bigger drop is the winner) Fifty Shades 2nd Weekend Drop Pot D: Why Him Total Gross Pot E: Passengers Worldwide Gross Pot F: (Win or lose doesn't matter, just number of noms) La La Land Oscar Nominations
  11. 1. Will Moana open to more than $55m? Yes 2. Will Moana open to more than $65m? 3000 No 3. Will Moana open to more than $75m? No 4. Will Allied open to more than $12m? Yes 5. Will Allied open to more than $15m? 2000 No 6. Will Bad Santa Open to more than $12.5M? No 7. Will Bad Santa open to more than $15M? No 8. Will Rules don't apply open to less than $5M? 2000 Yes 9. Will Rules don't apply open to less than $3M? Yes 10. Will the four biggest new Openers combine to more than $100M? No 11. Will the four biggest new Openers have a combined total gross of more than $140M by the end of Sunday? No 12. Will Lion have a PTA above $20,000? Yes 13. Will at least 2 films in the top 10, increase by more than 10%? 3000 No 14. Will Trolls remain in the top 5? Yes 15. Will Dr. Strange cross $200m by the end of the weekend? Yes 16. Will fantastic Beasts drop less than 47.5%? 2000 Yes 17. Will Hacksaw Ridge stay in the top 8? Yes 18. Will Inferno have a weekend below $200k? 3000 Yes 19. Will Boo stay above Jack Reacher? No 20. Will the 4D showing of Moana give us the chance to smell what Maoi is cooking? Yes Bonus: 14/20 2000 15/20 3000 16/20 5000 17/20 7000 18/20 10000 19/20 14000 20/20 20000 Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000; 5% 7000; 2.5% 9000; 1% 12000) 1. Predict Moana's total gross at end of Sunday 87.986 2. Predict The accountant's percentage change (If direction is not stated, I will assume the prediction is for it to drop not increase) -34.277% 3. What will be the difference between Bad Santa's Friday gross and Almost Christmas' 3 day gross? 2.422 Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions: 3. Doctor Strange 5. Allied 8. Hacksaw Ridge 10. The Edge of Seventeen 12. Loving 16. Manchester By The Sea
  12. I really wanna see Reds and Dick Tracy, the latter if only for its visuals. Still more interested in stuff he only acted in, namely McCabe and The Parallax View.
  13. If Moana follows Frozen's drops and increases adjusted for bigger previews it gets 63m 3-day and 89m 5-day. Using Tangled as a comparison from there on out it looks good for 250m DOM. Even that's still not locked cause it might be more frontloaded and/or suffer more from the late December competition. I think 230-270m is a good range right now, it'd have to behave abnormally to land outside that. And I'm guessing around 700m WW.
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