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Jake Gittes

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Everything posted by Jake Gittes

  1. I think Hell or High Water and Arrival are the only non-tech, non-animated contenders I've already seen. And of all of them I think Elle, Nocturnal Animals, The Red Turtle, Your Name and some docs are the only ones I'll get to see before January. I guess there's Sully but my interest in it came and went.
  2. I want a Greta Gerwig nomination. I mean I'm sure she's gonna rule over us all one day, but why not start with this Academy recognition thing now
  3. I'm just saying. No one saw Zeitlin or Abrahamson, not many would have called Haneke or Bennett Miller either. In the light of them I think Washington is certainly possible. Could be Berg or Eastwood, could be someone like Mike Mills for all we know.
  4. That's a bit premature to say considering Benh Zeitlin and Lenny Abrahamson.
  5. You think Frozen 2 might drop 40% from the first one?
  6. It dropped 50%, and then 46% the following weekend when Pets was still at #1.
  7. 1 N Moana BV $56,631,401 - 3,875 - $14,615 $82,080,274 - 1 2 1 Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them WB $45,084,763 -39.4% 4,144 - $10,880 $156,012,316 $180 2 3 2 Doctor Strange BV $13,737,945 -22.7% 3,008 -686 $4,567 $205,778,872 $165 4 4 N Allied Par. $12,701,743 - 3,160 - $4,020 $17,726,047 $85 1 5 4 Arrival Par. $11,454,422 -5.6% 2,442 +107 $4,691 $62,561,985 $47 3 6 3 Trolls Fox $10,642,141 -39.0% 3,322 -623 $3,204 $135,400,583 $125 4 7 N Bad Santa 2 BG $6,176,680 - 2,920 - $2,115 $9,101,213 $26 1 8 5 Almost Christmas Uni. $5,694,620 -21.5% 1,769 -610 $3,219 $34,693,880 $17 3 9 6 Hacksaw Ridge LGF $5,519,615 -17.2% 2,332 -551 $2,367 $52,234,465 - 4 10 7 The Edge of Seventeen STX $2,965,421 -37.6% 1,945 - $1,525 $10,272,453 $9 2 11 15 Loving Focus $1,695,328 +95.0% 421 +284 $4,027 $4,072,055 - 4 12 N Rules Don't Apply Fox $1,589,625 - 2,382 - $667 $2,176,694 $25 1 13 21 Manchester by the Sea RAtt. $1,225,990 +378.0% 48 +44 $25,541 $1,627,629 - 2 14 11 Moonlight (2016) A24 $1,219,213 -18.1% 618 -32 $1,973 $8,544,110 - 6 15 9 The Accountant WB $1,042,519 -51.7% 556 -867 $1,875 $83,208,893 $44 7 16 N Dear Zindagi Relbig. $977,928 - 153 - $6,392 $1,397,133 - 1 17 8 Bleed for This ORF $920,559 -61.1% 1,549 - $594 $4,224,263 $6 2 18 18 Nocturnal Animals Focus $836,238 +69.7% 126 +89 $6,637 $1,689,808 - 2 19 13 Jack Reacher: Never Go Back Par. $361,555 -63.4% 345 -765 $1,048 $57,418,255 $60 6 20 12 Boo! A Madea Halloween LGF $325,676 -71.5% 339 -832 $961 $72,820,708 $20 6 21 26 The Eagle Huntress SPC $262,963 +44.4% 64 +25 $4,109 $908,314 - 4 22 19 Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children Fox $234,445 -37.6% 215 -249 $1,090 $86,155,842 $110 9 23 23 The Secret Life of Pets Uni. $224,260 -3.5% 209 -5 $1,073 $367,872,510 $75 21 24 10 Shut In EC $222,655 -86.1% 277 -1,729 $804 $6,694,817 - 3 25 17 The Girl on the Train (2016) Uni. $219,850 -62.6% 187 -305 $1,176 $74,881,425 $45 8 26 29 Sully WB $212,210 +32.5% 253 +50 $839 $124,425,027 $60 12 27 14 Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk TriS $204,551 -77.3% 1,176 - $174 $1,587,116 - 3 28 31 Deepwater Horizon LG/S $185,750 +32.8% 187 -14 $993 $61,114,699 $110 9 29 16 Inferno Sony $158,594 -76.1% 165 -605 $961 $33,789,947 $75 5 30 25 Storks WB $137,533 -28.3% 174 -48 $790 $71,239,902 $70 10 31 24 The Magnificent Seven (2016) Sony $137,159 -28.8% 195 -40 $703 $93,145,387 $90 10 32 N Lion Wein. $123,360 - 4 - $30,840 $123,360 - 1 33 22 A Man Called Ove MBox $123,023 -49.5% 88 -77 $1,398 $3,030,049 - 9 34 33 Elle SPC $117,732 -6.9% 36 +12 $3,270 $399,232 - 3 35 30 Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life LGF $106,167 -30.9% 132 -75 $804 $19,985,196 $8.5 8 36 34 Pete's Dragon (2016) BV $101,497 -18.4% 127 -35 $799 $76,153,649 $65 16 37 32 The Handmaiden Magn. $79,338 -41.8% 61 -42 $1,301 $1,616,334 - 6 38 27 I Am Not Madame Bovary WGUSA $69,495 -61.7% 27 -11 $2,574 $356,620 - 2 39 28 Keeping Up with the Joneses Fox $60,150 -65.9% 110 -106 $547 $14,745,078 $40 6 40 N Miss Sloane EC $59,797 - 3 - $19,932 $59,797 - 1 41 36 Finding Dory BV $43,261 -42.4% 78 -43 $555 $486,276,316 - 24 42 N Seasons MBox $27,134 - 13 - $2,087 $27,134 - 1 43 40 Queen of Katwe BV $26,175 -45.3% 30 -51 $873 $8,744,259 $15 10 44 39 Kubo and the Two Strings Focus $23,717 -52.6% 46 -42 $516 $48,019,281 $60 15 45 37 Denial BST $20,929 -71.7% 29 -55 $722 $4,019,823 - 9 46 42 The Love Witch Osci. $19,484 -48.2% 15 -7 $1,299 $103,918 - 3
  8. I see La La Land being the first movie to win five Globes since Midnight Express 38 years ago (Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Original Song). If they don't disqualify it from Original Score, it could be the third winner of six Globes in history. Drama could be crazy, Fences, Silence, Manchester and Moonlight all stand a chance of winning. But if both Fences and Silence aren't screened early enough I'd say that more or less clears the path for Manchester to take Best Drama, Best Actor - Drama and Best Screenplay.
  9. I'm not crazy about Kubo (I am if we are talking about its visuals), but if only two American movies were to be nominated they'd clearly be Kubo and Zootopia. I could see a scenario where the entire Zucchini/Turtle/Your Name trio gets in, I could see one where only one of them does. Red Turtle has the best chance, Your Name is the least likely but with a last-minute surge it could yet overtake Zucchini.
  10. Annies http://deadline.com/2016/11/annie-awards-2016-nominations-zootopia-kubo-and-the-two-strings-1201860477/ Zucchini, Red Turtle and Your Name made some waves.
  11. THG was way out of reach, but I agree that 404, give or take a million, was doable if it had continued the steady sub-30% drops it had been having previously. But really Disney was lucky that it was already close enough to 400 that it didn't require any distracting fudging to get there. (Well, Winter Soldier was right around the corner and gave it a small nudge).
  12. It could have gotten there beautifully without an obvious fudge too, if they released it on home video a few weeks later than before the April 1-3 weekend. It was holding on like a champ before then.
  13. Audition's lyrics remind me a whole lot of Life Is A Cabaret. Not that there's anything bad about that. Would be tough to match the power of that number in the movie though.
  14. I'm partial to Tangled May 13–15 82 $6,351 +18.9% 9 -8 $706 $199,714,630 25 May 20–22 12 $910,502 +14,236% 191 +182 $4,767 $200,627,301 26 May 27–29 32 $131,938 -85.5% 34 -157 $3,881 $200,803,309 27
  15. If Paramount still wants to give Arrival a few hundred more theaters now is the time. Nocturnal Animals would be smart to go into 600+ theaters, Loving too. In previous years stuff like Nightcrawler, The Butler, Moneyball, The Ides of March went back into 1,000+ theaters so we may see something similar with the September/October holdovers. Maybe Sony gives all the Billy Lynn theaters to Magnificent Seven and turns it into Sausage Party Failed $100m Fudge 2.0
  16. Arrival should get to 85 before the Oscar nominations. If it were a Picture/Director frontrunner maybe it could crawl to 100 from there but the chances of that are highly unlikely so I'm guessing a low 90s finish. Very solid run, but it's entirely Paramount's fault it's not gonna end up higher. Exact same situation as Flight with those idiotic theater counts.
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