Jake Gittes

I would agree with you about Amour if it wasn't a foreign film. If such emotional and wide-pleasing films as A Separation and The Lives of Others hadn't received more than one or two nominations, what makes you think Amour will? It's not even a crowd-pleaser like Amelie or The Artist. It's supposed to be dark, somber and uncompromising. I could easily see the Academy awarding it Best Foreign Film, but in what other categories can it really be a contender? Especially as this year looks incredibly strong for American films already.

Anxious to receive your 20,000 points Iceroll? (I understand - I am, too)

Nah.

I'd say Bourne has a decent chance to finish with around $120 million.

Not sure about Amour, it seems like a film that's relying much more on direction and performances to achieve greatness, not necessarily plot and dialogue. Moonrise, The Master and Django are almost certainly in contention though. Other possibilities - Looper, Beasts of the Southern Wild, The Sessions, Seven Psychopaths...

So, The Bourne Legacy got pushed back a week to August 10.It will likely still make a run for the Top 12 if it debuts to over $50m (Rush Hour 3 opened to $49m on August 10 and made $123m by September 3, and it didn't have very good WOM), but many who put it in their Top 12 will lose or get less points now because its gross won't be as high as it would've been with an August 3 release.

1) Will Seeking a Friend have a Saturday increase of more than 7.5%? Yes 2) Will Seeking a Friend have an opening weekend of more than 6.95 mill? Yes 3) Will any film playing in more than 1000 theaters have a weekend drop of less than 30%? Yes 4) Will Brave open to more than 64.5 mill? Yes 5) Will Brave decrease on Saturday? No 6) Will ROA make at least a million more than That's My Boy? Yes 7) Will Seeking a Friend make more than both ROA and TMB? No 8) Will Abe Lincoln Vampire Hunter open to more than 10 mill? Yes 9) Will Abe Lincoln Vampire Hunter open to more than 14.5 mill? Yes 10) Will Brave's Sunday be bigger than be Lincoln Vampire Hunter and Seeking a Friend's 3 day total combined? No 11) Will The Avengers have a Friday increase of more than 55%? Yes 12) Will Prometheus drop less than 43%? No 13) Will Moonrise make at least 300K more than Marigold? Yes 14) Will film finishes higher? Battleship, Expecting or Dictator? Battleship 15) Will Madagascar fall less than 46.7%? No 11/15 3000 12/15 5000 13/15 6000 14/15 7000 15/15 10,000 Bonus 1: What will the combined gross be of Brave, Abe Lincoln and Madagascar3? 4000 $97,568,201 Bonus 2: What will Prometheus WW total be after Sunday estimates? 4000 $265m Bonus 2.5: What will Madagascar's Thursday gross be? 4000 $4,418,239 Bonus 3: What finishes is slots: 7 Snow White and the Huntsman 9 That's My Boy 13 Safety Not Guaranteed 15 Battleship 2000 for each one right 5000 bonus if all 4 correct Bonus 4: ***Internationally*** what finishes in slots: 3 Brave 4 Prometheus 6 MIB 3

You have to consider that NATM lost all its IMAX screens to TF2, also the main blockbuster of the summer anyway, and suffered quite a big drop as a result. MIB 3, on the other hand, has two more strong weekends to come until serious competition hits.

MIB3 has stronger WOM and legs than First Class and it doesn't have a movie like TF3 opening against it less than two weekends from now.

I think this weekend will almost certainly have resulted in over $175m for MIB 3 and over $150m for SWATH by mid-July. For me Prometheus is the wildcard here. Will it keep freefalling like GL (remember their second weekend Friday drop was identical, although Prom had a much better second Sat increase and a strong hold on Father's Day, thus a better 2nd weekend) or stabilize somewhat, like Wanted, Matrix Reloaded, I Robot, SWATH and many other films that dropped around 60% in their second weekend?

SOTM 5MIB 3 - $178,825,329Snow White and the Huntsman - $157,766,675Prometheus - $126,426,788

CJohn and Michael Scott both predicted exactly $1,420b in Bonus 1... and they are both the closest.

Well I didn't completely crash and burn this week. Got 10/12, that'll hold unless The Intouchables increases with actuals or Chernobyl gets fudged with ROA's money, could happen, but I doubt it. Was insanely happy when I saw Battleship decreasing less than 50% - it had a severe theater loss but I counted on it receiving a bit of help on Father's Day just like MIB3 and Avengers.I almost totally blew the bonuses though - TA Sunday estimate is close to my prediction ($1,419.8b vs $1,421b) and maybe M3 will make exactly $55m foreign this weekend, but as far as spots go, I missed 5 (like most people, probably; SW and TMB could swap positions with actuals, but it seems unlikely), 9 and 11 (unless BS and Dictator change places). I put Dark Shadows in #14, and it could end up right there, but it's small consolation

Having just ROA in your Top 11 is still much better than also having Battleship or Dark Shadows... or even all three.

ROA is my GL of this year. I put it in the last spot and it's not going to make it even there.I wonder what's going to be #11 now - Ted? Watch? Campaign? Expendables? Ted probably has the most chance, Watch and Campaign don't look like $100m grossers (and they are coming out pretty late) and TE2 would need a monster opening, like $45m at the very least. But I'm not Baumer so I'm not predicting that kind of numbers for it.

Hopefully a day is not far off when Sandler finally decides that he's got enough money and begins acting regularly in comedic/dramatic movies by respected directors. He was great in PDL and Reign Over Me and after the failure of Funny People (in which he was great as well) it was painful to see the guy becoming someone he himself just parodied. He's a smart and talented actor, I understand he wants to make money but how much more money does he need to make starring in these turds?

1) Will Moonrise Kingdom stay in the top 10? Yes 2) Will The Intouchables increase? No 3) Will Chernobyl Diaries drop less than 60%? No 4) Will The Hunger Games increase more than 40% on Saturday? No 5) Will Battleship decrease by less than 50%? Yes 6) Will MIB3 finish within at least 7 mill of SWATH? Yes 7) Will The Avengers have a Friday increase of more than 60%? No 8) Will Rock of Ages make more than 26.5 mill? Yes 9) Will That's My Boy make more than 32.5 mill? No 10) Will Rock of Ages and TMB combine to make more than 60 mill? No 11) Will That's My Boy decrease by less than 8% on Sunday? No 12) Will Prometheus decrease by more than 25% on Sunday? No 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 Bonus 1: What will Avengers WW total be after the Sunday estimates come out? 4000 $1,421b Bonus 2: What will MAD3's WW total be after the Sunday estimates come out? 4000 $285m Bonus 3: What films finish is spots: 5 Snow White and the Huntsman 9 What to Expect 11 The Dictator 14 Dark Shadows 2000 each 7000 bonus if all 4 are right.

Well any chance there is is very slim. Mad3 has opened too well and will have made too much money prior to June 22 to fail to achieve $170+m after Brave opens. In the worst case scenario it will drop around 60% in its third weekend, and even then it won't just fall off the face of the Earth. Summer weekdays and lack of competition on, for example, June 29 will keep it from disappearing for a while. TASM won't destroy its run either.

Madagascar 3 would need to have horrible legs and Ice Age would need to go under $165m.

HugoBabelNetworkSerenityThe FighterBridesmaidsTouch of EvilThe Third ManPan's LabyrinthGangs of New YorkThe White RibbonThe Hunger GamesThe Color of MoneySlumdog MillionaireTinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spyall Harry Potter films except Prisoner of Azkaban and DH1def. several others I can't remember off the top of my head. Of those listed, I'll definitely rewatch Touch of Evil and The Third Man at least once again, but have no desire to return to all the others.Also, I didn't like Fight Club one bit on the first viewing. I was 16, not very familiar with Fincher's work (only had seen Zodiac and Button by that point, loved both, but in many ways they couldn't be further from FC) and I just totally didn't connect with it - didn't get the point, hardly laughed at all, basically just stared at the screen for two hours trying to understand what the hell I was watching. Flash forward a couple of years and two more viewings, it got to be one of my favourite films of all time.

dafuq? gotta enjoy this while it lasts. (wouldn't mind getting higher, too)

I overestimated Chernobyl too. Thought it would do like $1.1m, comfortably over THG. Silly me.

19k for me if I'm correct. 10/12 plus 6, 7 and 9 in bonus 4.Was insanely close on Bonus 2 with estimates (predicted 134.709, estimated combined gross was like 134.66, although Junkshop was even closer with 134.695) but now congrats to acsc1312 who put in 136.546m... the actual combined gross is 136,512,297

Very cool one. Gonna be fun (I'll go for all 3, of course).

Glad for my $170m Madagascar prediction (highly doubt it'll go over 200 because of Brave), but SW and Prometheus might just make exactly $40m less than I predicted for them. Really need RoA to break out.