YM!

But how old is the question are those over 25. I can see 30 somethings or adults with children or teens being a driving factor, just have a hard time seeing 50 year olds excited.

Dune would be lucky do Alita numbers.

As for biggest video game movie, worst case scenario I have Illumination’s Mario at Sing Numbers ($270M/$625M). Sonic is doing Angry Birds numbers at best and AB2 is about to have a Pets 2/LM2 decrease Mortal Kombat has to either go all the way hardcore R or try to a soft core PG-13, and either or I can’t see more than Pikachu WW. Otherwise Tomb Raider numbers are a stretch. Looking at Pets 2, as well as past sequels, the best case scenario for Pikatwo is a small drop barring a Christmas date, in that case small increase. Either way, the best case scenario for Pikatwo is flat from the original. But I honestly wouldn’t be surprised at a Pets 2 drop. Uncharted I can see breaking out as lack of action films in Christmas and Holland being a star but if GVK moves the best it can hope for is AssCreed numbers. Otherwise it’s one of the best chances. Pokemon Red/Blue could do THG numbers but that’s the best case scenario. A Smash Bros Movie can’t work for multiple reasons due to the characters.

I’m not denying Alita broke out relatively speaking but I do think saying $600M is the floor DOM is kind of silly, especially when so many sequels have crashed hard recently even though to be fair they were one trick ponies and A2 should be better than most of them. I think a respectable floor is $500M DOM/$400M China/$1.2B OS/$2.1B WW.

Not all expectations...

Yep, that’s why Alita did $1B WW.

I'd argue the two did more damage than ASM2 could. I'd introduce mutants slowly, like Storm in Black Panther 2.

Typo.

I think they should wait 7 years or so. Unlike Homecoming, I'd argue the taste of DP and Apocalyspe are too fresh in audiences mind and they should wait due to franchise fatigue.

FTFY

Considering the drops of sequels this year and these past few years, I'd argue it's best not to rush Twocide as it too could have a nasty drop.

Most colleges near me get off in mid May. WW did gangbusters in the slot, Pets 2 and X-Men simply weren’t appealing.

DP just bought in a $14M Friday, it could miss $30M OW if things don’t patch up.

I agree, a few months back I said two of the family films out of four in the May/June period would underperform due to how close they were, I just bet on the wrong horses. WB could've moved Pikachu to early November as it was barren anyways, same for Pets 2. Frozen 2 would've hurt but not as much as a stuffed May.

Just a thought has Illumination's marketing been worse recently? We thought Grinch would be a monster before the awful trailers same as DM3 and Pets 2 but the latter was more of a comedy sequel in terms that it was one note.

Well you killed/cursed most of WB movies this year..., sort of like Jaros.

Damn it. Don’t curse The Lion King into succeeding.

Nah. Also you’re forgetting a few films for November like Clifford and Ron Gone Wrong and SS2 is in 2021.

@cayommagazine Due to schedule problems, Taika Waititi has dropped out of Hercules.

Remember when Kung Fu Panda 2 and Dragon 2 were the worst drops for animation?

Does Buzz give her a buzz?

TBH been thinking MMOE would do $150M DOM for a while, as I think Abominable and Addams are going to eat into other and not do big.

I know. Main five are Disney/Fox, WB, Sony, Universal and Paramount.