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Everything posted by YM!
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
https://www.thewrap.com/secret-life-of-pets-2-dark-phoenix-box-office-preview/amp/ Pets 2: $60M DPhoenix: $55M -
I might. DM your pitch.
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@cayommagazine Musical mania has swept Endless Entertainment as three projects have been greenlight. The Disney classic, Hercules will recieve a live action reimagining, will be wrriten and directed by Taika Waititi (the Treasure Planet franchise, Academy Award winning Olive The Other Reindeer) and Alan Menken returning. This adaptation plans on being faithful to the original but plans on fixing issues of the original. True Love, now an Endless Animation film is reportedly in active development with Jennifer Lee (Frozen) Paul King joins the untitled Phineas and Ferb movie as the director and the original creators Dan Povernmire and Jeff "Swampy" Marsh will write the script and songs.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yes, I think it's due to Aladdin being bigger than thought as well as lack of novelty. On the bright side, my theater is expecting it to be stronger on the weekend as it has 15 showings in at least 3 screens. -
Hercules (Disney)
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Now that I finished my Mario outline, I can go right into Sp4rk tonight.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The Secret Life Of Pets 2 (2 before previews, 3 before release) North Shore Cinema Mequon, WI 6/6/19 6:00 - 22/149 8:15 - 7/149 10:30 - 0/149 Running: 33% of Aladdin at the same time ($30.5M OW) 64% of Coco at the same time ($32.7M OW) 83% of Christopher Robin at the same time ($20.4M OW) 83% of Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation at the same time ($36.6M OW) 121% of A Wrinkle In Time at the same time ($40.1M OW) Ouch. Just ouch. This is very bad as Pets 2 final showtimes only has three showings. Thinking $45M-$55M OW. Dark Phoenix (2 before previews, 3 before release) North Shore Cinema Mequon, WI 6/6/19 7:00 - 40/119 7:30 - 0/301 - UltraScreen 10:00 - 11/119 10:30 - 0/119 - UltraScreen Running: 24% of Spider-Man: Homecoming at the same time ($28.3M OW) 34% of Ant Man and The Wasp at the same time ($26.1M OW) 41% of Venom at the same time ($33M OW) 62% of Godzilla: King Of The Monsters at the same time ($29.6M OW) 70% of Mission Impossible: Fallout ($42.8M OW) Good jump but it wasn’t enough. This is very bad. Thinking $35M-$45M OW. Men In Black: International (9 before previews, 10 before release) North Shore Cinema Mequon, WI 6/13/19 4:00 - 0/301 - UltraScreen 7:00 - 3/301 - UltraScreen 10:00 - 0/301 - UltraScreen This is a very bad start. Starting to doubt over $35M OW. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Dark Phoenix has been given the make out of death at North Shore, not only is it sharing UltraScreen with Pets 2 but it only has 8 showings over the weekend, which is the worst ever for a CBM here. Also 3/8 are in 3D. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Which really sucks especially as counterprogramming is also suffering as well due to streaming as well as lack of event status. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Still Ant Man 2 and GV2 increased without any Avengers boost. I think WW1984 will have either a minor decrease or increase. But I do agree about sequels, the right time is either 2-3 years, 10-20 years for nostalgia boom or anytime if your Cinematic Universe is prevalent and the character is present enough. -
Still, I imagine they want to nail it and do testing and such. Personally at best it’d move towards March/April.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don’t think it’s fair to count that one as it was within spitting range from the second. Also Annabelle Creation counts as an increase. But it seems the CBMs tend have an increase (DOFP, Logan, BvS, most MCU sequels) -
Honestly don’t get why they’d move Twocide as I doubt it’d be ready and the fact I do think they want to rush it. They’ll probably move GVK or Dune.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Oh. Him, yeah BOT should be used to films they don’t like as well as certain “actors” succeeded. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
John Wick. Wreck It Ralph. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Make no mistake the legs have to be one of the most impressive for modern CBMs but it’ll see an OW jump ($135M-$160M) instead. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
If evil like Illumination, and the majority of live action remakes can succeed, I have no reason to see why this won’t especially considering how big musicals are now as well as that Disney power, so that evil will help it succeed. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It’s not increasing about 100% from WW1 to 2 on OW, as we learned with Shazam, Ant-Man and The Wasp and likely Dark Phoenix not all CBMs are created equal, besides CM benefited from the IW/Endgame hype as well as being the first female MCU solo. The DCEU doesn’t have the same symbiosis that helps Marvel. Besides not all juggernauts mean annincrease in order, look at AOU, JWFK, Jedi and Pets 2 also. I think WW1984 will likely own 2020 but my guess is more of a jump from AM1/2 or GOTG1/2 than Thor 2 to Ragnarok. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Still think the allure of West Side Story will hurt it, as they both compete for the female demographic. Especially the older women demographic. My guess is around $25M/$35M/$185M DOM. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don’t see how it’d get anywhere near a $200M OW. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
He was talking about WW1984. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I can’t see more than MPR numbers even with the lacking slate, as I imagine kids will dig it as much as MPR/Dumbo/CR and not only does it have family competition from Croods 2 (though I doubt it does over $100M), November is stocked with family films such as Lin Manuel Miranda’s Vivo, Fox’s Ron Gone Wrong, Paramount’s Clifford the Government Expirement, and Disney’s own Dragon Empire. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
On the contrary, the X-Men movies are the most presales driven out of the CBMs. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
YM! replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It all depends on angle. I don’t think a teamup or even a bad teamup means automatic increase or decrease. I think it will have a light increase and probably has the best chance for $400M DOM out of everything in 2020. Eternals and Onward come in second though.