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Everything posted by YM!
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Sonic the Hedgehog 3 | December 20, 2024
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
There’s a very good chance Avatar 3’s OW does over Sonic 3 Domestic if it stays in the same spot. I’m thinking that too, so Sonic could get a few PLFs. Either that or try Christmas Day. -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
True but that was a family film but Frozen did gain quite a bit more fanbase. -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
The only cause for concern is not being in the top 10 list for Fandango as I can't recall an example where a film did 300m+ but miss the list. But even then it's Quorom statistics is really great, I can see Dead Reckoning over it but not Barbie or Oppenheimer, especially when it's tracking as one of the strongest of the summer period. -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
Blue Beetle is also the first Hispanic superhero lead with a majority Hispanic cast. It could be big with the right marketing and with the power set being a teen with an Iron Man esque alien suit could be fun. When even Morbius did 70M, I don't see why it would go sub 100M. BOP was R-rated and arguably knee caped by the pandemic and TSS had a bad first movie to overcome, a still strong pandemic and day and date taking away at least half it's potential gross imho. -
2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Jones 5 - $175m/$550m Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 3 - $175m/$465m The Little Mermaid - $125m/$160m/$450m Aquaman 2 - $90m/$365m The Super Mario Bros Movie - $105m/$350m The Flash - $95m/$260m The Marvels - $100m/$255m Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania - $90m/$115m/$255m Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes - $85m/$250m Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning - $105m/$245m Dune Part 2 - $75m/$230m Wonka - $45m/$225m Across the Spider-Verse - $70m/$210m Blue Beetle - $65m/$200m Trolls: Band Together - $55m/$190m John Wick: Chapter 4 - $55m/$185m Barbie - $40m/$180m Wish - $35m/$55m/$165m Fast X - $65m/$150m Migration - $25m/$150m Kraven - $50m/$140m Ghostbusters - $25m/$140m Oppenheimer - $35m/$135m Shazam: Fury of The Gods - $50m/$130m Elemental - $35m/$130m Creed 3 - $45m/$120m M3GAN - $40m/$100m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles - $25m/$100m -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
I expect much better reviews because of Gerwig and a higher total but I can see a smaller than expected OW like 35-45m and everyone dooms and glooms but has very solid legs and goes to 175-200m. I think 50m is the ceiling OW wise, this seems like more a WOM affair. -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
Tbh with comic con that weekend prior to The Marvels, I can see them announcing the cast of Kang Dynasty to help build up tickets sales but I expected Marvels to dominate that comic con. -
Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
Tbh Barbie reminds me so much of Detective Pikachu, I’m hesitant to make a prediction on it. -
Honestly, I think they’re rushing the Kang stuff and in trying to outdo Phase 3, they’ve made the committee criticism a lot more evident in hindsight. The standout this phase film wise was Wakanda Forever (because Coogler is easily the best director in the MCU against Gunn) and Shang Chi, and tv wise I dug Ms. Marvel and She-Hulk but the rest I liked but had flaws, very mediocre or in some cases bad. Phase 4 should’ve been a return to basics with SamCap making a new Avengers to fight against Masters of Evil and gone smaller in scale.
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I think a 90/245/600 run seems right. A slight decrease from 2 and a sign of diminishing returns but not the utter decimation and still a good hold relatively speaking. If I were to predict every MCU movie from now until Secret Wars, here’s what I’d do assuming no China: Quantumania: 90/245/600 Guardians: 185/460/925 Marvels: 115/290/675 New World Order (I think it’ll be a psuedo Hulk movie like Ragnarok): 135/345/700 Thunderbolts: 70/195/515 Blade: 60/160/400 Deadpool 3. 165/420/800 Fantastic Four (I think it’ll be mediocre like the Watts movies but loved by the GA as Feige wants to get it right): 100/300/700 Kang Dynasty: 200/450/1300 Shang-Chi 2: 110/325/700 Armor Wars: 80/225/495 Secret Wars: 275/625/1800
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It’s because they have eight projects a year to sell and they don’t want to risk shutting one out in favor of another. They used to do 2-3 trailers for a Marvel flick and get them out early. Like the July release at the absolute latest would get a February trailer, but now we wait until April because lord forbid whatever Disney+ piece gets eyes taken away from it.
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Han and Eric's (Not-So) Controversial Predictions of 2023
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
I think the remakes skew more adult than the animation because of the animation stigma so what effects the animation shouldn’t effect Mermaid. I mean, the Marvel movies would’ve done about the same without the pandemic. As for the field trip comment, lol at Fast X and Transformers being superior choices when they skew more adult and are likely to do sub 150m. -
Andrew Tate is an actual human trafficker, please don’t do this both sides bullshit.
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2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
YM! replied to The Wild Eric's topic in Box Office Discussion
I’m pretty sure Blue Beetle will go to that 9/22 WB has for DC movie unless it’s something weren’t seeing like Teen Titans Go Through The Multiverse or some bs. I think Trolls 3 will move to start of November to fight against Dune 2.