YM!

I mean, I do agree to an extent but tentpoles and horror movies are the only two things that haven’t had sustainable audience loss like animation for instant. Though with that OW (82M) it’d be under Ant-Man and the Wasp when adjusted and just barely over the second unadjusted (220M > 216M), which the latter could arguably count as diminishing as that would be the smallest increase of an MCU sequel. 550M would be a decent result for Quantumania, just not out of the world extraordinary. Would smaller returns be a more satisfying thing to say than diminishing returns?

Way of Water M3GAN Plane Otto or Puss?

It also got Disney’s OW and animation record, even out opening Toy Story 2.

Still a damn strong hold, just not what we had high hopes for. Most family films for MLK drop around 35-40%.

Tbh I think expecting a Civil War/MoM increase for Quantumania from the jump seemed hard without any additional avengers or crossover but I think it’ll be an increase similar to Dark World/Guardians 2 domestically. Something like 90/255. Not the 300m+ people wanted but not the barely over 200m. Tbh I expected that as a whole for MCU post Endgame or at least the Multiverse saga, the fanbase is still strong but a portion probably won’t come back like they used. To clarify, this doesn’t mean every film will do 250m domestic for the record as I am thinking for Quantumania. It’ll be like Phase 2. Box office wise, you will have your big hits like Multiverse of Madness and No Way Home and even though Kang Dynasty and Secret Wars won’t reach IW/EG heights, 1.5B-2.2B is about right. We will get more 600-750m grossers and a few just around 400-500m mainly the origins. Some sequels will fall because they were too big the first time (Wakanda, The Marvels, Spider-Man 4, and the aforementioned KD/SW duo) and while it won’t reach the potential some want, they’ll do well enough. I’m going to bold my main point to clarify because it gets lost for some. That is what is meant by diminishing returns. In that we won’t get the mega hits from Phase 3 in which the average was close to 1B, and be more similar to Phase 2. Or kind of like Pixar in the 2010s. The films are still hits but it won’t be like the heyday.

What?

VOD/Peacock hasn’t really effected the Universal stuff mainly because people don’t use Peacock like they do other streamers. Probably 45 days, so early to mid February.

To be honest, if Puss increases or is flat this weekend, we need to stop talking about if 150m+ is possible and if Universal will fudge it 200m+. Very good chance it gets to 130m at the end of January, will be around 170m-175m by February if it continues to have TGS or Sing 2 like holds and could cross high 180s by end of March

Kang is boxing and a brother, so yeah.

Infinite Studios has also entered a multi-picture production deal with esteemed filmmaker Will Packer. The two studios have worked together to bring hits like Romance Road and Food Wars to the general audience, and hope to what insiders state to be, high-concept and mid budget comedies, similar to that of Universal and Blumhouse’s relationship in making horror. Action-comedy, Bodies of Interest is one of them, slated for September 4th, Y10 which stars both Keke Palmer (Nope) and Ana de Armas (Deep Water) as a pair of rival strippers who take a string of kidnappings in the Atlanta area, including one of their dear friends. Another is a co-production between Kevin Hart’s Hartbeat Productions and Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson’s Seven Buck Productions, titled Hart of Rock, in which Kevin Hart and The Rock play fictionalized versions of themselves after a freak incident, find themselves in each other’s bodies. Hart of Rock will aim to be part of Endless’ summer slate alongside animated Allegra, and DC team-up, The Siege of Savage.

1.4M for Puss is kind of disappointing.

@cayommagazine Endless Entertainment and it’s studios have purchased a handful of projects for its upcoming years. - Inifinite Studios has strikes big, picking up two projects from Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary, iZombie). The first is titled Nappy, a horror-comedy, involving someone’s dream of having perfect hair, soon becoming a nightmare, in which Quinta will write and direct. The second is Bodies of Interest, an R-rated action comedy, involving two strippers get involved in solving a series of kidnappings. Quinta will write the movie as Gina-Prince Bythewood is being courted to direct. - Endless Animation has confirmed long gestated originals are in the works. The Valkyries vs The Galaxy which is now said to be aiming for a PG-13 rating and Barry Brookshire, a long gestated project that it’s parent Endless Entertainment has been knocking around for years, said to be helmed by Joel Crawford (Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, The Croods: A New Age)

Bassett now is SAG nominated as well.

I do think perhaps a shift to Instagram and other platforms could be a main factor, especially for the demographics. How were the trailer views on Instagram for other movies.

I now realize why I have a problem with MODOK design. It’s not ugly enough. Mr. Electric is better over a robot face but like show me the wrinkles, tears, and warts on the face, make it look grotesque and less like Mr. Electric despite a 200M+ budget.

Yeah. Turning Red and Pinocchio were excellent, though I’m just slightly more partial to Turning Red. If Puss is as great as either, I’d be impressed. If I were to rank animations: 4.5/5 Turning Red GDT Pinocchio 4/5 Marcel the Shell Wendell and Wild 3.5/5 Beavis and Butthead do The Universe The Sea Beast Bad Guys 3/5 Minions: The Rise of Gru 2.5/5 Lightyear League of Super Pets 2/5 Hotel 4 Strange World I need to see Apollo 10 1/2, Puss and Inu-oh soon. I refuse to watch Luck because of Lasseter.

Non holiday wise in terms of sequels, Ant Man and the Wasp got a 2.86x multiplier, Guardians 2 did about 2.66x, and The Winter Soldier around 2.75x. I think those would be good for it. A multiple similar to Wakanda Forever or Thor Ragnarok, which is 2.5x or above indicates good legs for a sequel, below is indicative of extreme frontloading from fan rush like the recent Avengers or Civil War, or mixed WOM like Multiverse of Madness or Thor: Love and Thunder. I’m personally thinking within the 2.5-2.65x range myself, as while I think most in March will underperform except Creed 3 and Wick 4, it’s still eating at its demographics but scarceness of family films will help. I am thinking something like 95/110/250 spread for domestic.

Yeah I realized that lol.

It is now at 4.6M and trending at #1 on YouTube now.

I think the jump from Dune 1 to 2 is a huge reach and think both Wish and Trolls 3 should do much more but it ain’t controversial predictions for nothing.

In fairness to Black Panther, it has cultural stigma to overcome and the loss of its lead.

I’d name more but I don’t want to argue with why Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness or Thor: Love and Thunder got mixed reception, or whether or not some of the shows are hitting where they need to be. Because the mere act of suggesting either to you or even saying results are good but the phase feels more akin to 1 and 2, you take it as “oh, you’re saying it was hated when x, y, z and you’re just a hater”

Because the GA surely loved Eternals right? I do agree that some of the predictions of utter collapse are ridiculous but I do feel we’re in the diminishing returns era. Yes, the MCU is still very popular and with a new phase, especially once after the Infinity Saga acting as a closer for some, they’re bound to lose some membersThis, of course doesn’t mean every project is doomed or every project will underperform, but some projects may not be as big as hoped. Like it act more so as Phase 2 rather than 3 for this phase but if it sticks the landing, 6 could be be a swing upwards but not as big as 3 though.