YM!

I figured he’d be DWA’s go to sequel guy for adventure comedies or comedies with action. When it happens, he’ll probably direct Shrek 5 too. The only exception would be Trolla, Boss Baby and if they confident enough in it The Bad Guys in which the original director returns.

I’d have like a better hold from Puss but 5.7M is still good. It should be at around 65M by the end of the weekend. I wonder what the total will be.

It’s been following Chipwrecked closely, with the same holds it’ll be at a $16m second weekend.

Tbh I’m thinking an OW more along the lines of 190m-230m for Kang.

I miss the best father conversations but the best father in mainstream blockbuster is:

You really said go hard or go home and I respect that.

Quantumania seems right on the money of a 85-90m OW though, I think the fanbase will get it to 100m OW but I’m not feeling too much over 270m DOM. I do think Marvel fatigue is apparent mainly due to subpar reception, the shows and eventizing every movie makes them less special, but Marvels and Quantumania when using most of the Phase 4 OS ratios excluding Black Widow due to Disney+ shenanigans with a 230-245m gross, they get to 500m+ WW. Black Panther and Shang-Chi were the only exceptions and the former was always not going to do as well as overseas. Magic Mike, I can see 100m+. With Tatum having a rebound with Dog and Lost City being big hits, especially with the prospects of Valentine’s Day being likely big and nostalgia for Magic Mike. I can see it being strong counterprogramming to Quantumania and Avatar. M3GAN, either of the situations seems very plausible but it should definitely have a nice run. 80 for Brady, I have no idea what to predict but I can see grannies having fun with it. Whether that means 20m or 50m domestic total.

Since this is coming from you, you jinxed these scenarios from not happening lol.

After seeing Strange World, I understand why Disney dumped it. There’s one cool idea but it feels like the studio was autopilot the whole time and the family drama stuff is the same in most mainstream animation.

@IronJimbo was right. The Way of Water is fucking excellent. Favorite movie of the year.

Yes it’ll be like 2016-19 in which yes, the majority did middling but you can build Pixar and WDAS back up to events, you just need to retrain the GA.

Yes, Sonic 3 is immediately doomed despite its a proven franchise, Puss in Boots 11 year hiatus and being a spin-off and the fact it’s likely Avathree will drop off some from 2. Dude, miss me with that bullshit.

I mean Illumination does well overseas but it’s plausible it plays more like Lego Movie/Sonic/Grinch overseas with most of the chatter is from America. Spring is a different beast than summer too but that didn’t stop Zootopia for instance but that’s more of a exception rather than the norm.

If this problem is to be fixed, stop putting in 45 windowing for animation and put in 120 day windows for streaming. 120 days is much tougher for families to wait out but there’s no way the studios do this.

Mario could also be in the same 500m range as ATSV depending on overseas performance.

I’m not surprised BadOldCat is doing the concern trolling shit for Across and Mario like every other animation, there’s no way Across does a Titan AE. There’s a realistic possibility of a Kung Fu Panda 2/Dragon 2 but I can’t see it realistically under Sing 2 domestic or under 300m WW. I’m thinking more 70/200/400. Personally if it didn’t open in the summer I could see a 300/700 run.

I think Trolls 3 could do well as kids like it, and Comcast normally knows how to seek animation so Migration could do low 100s.

A fellow Milwaukeeian i see

That 3.1M for Puss is bad but Early Access can inflate it some, however it could rebound because there’s idk a big fucking storm about to hit and maybe this is hypothetical based on years of history but New Years and a free slate until Mario might help. I agree Covid has fucked theatrical animation and the only way to stop the effect like far longer windows isn’t what studios want to do, but 2023 shit like Mario and SpiderVerse won’t be doomed to do Lightyear numbers like some people trying to bait are doing especially when both are highly anticipated outside of kids. If SpiderVerse doesn’t hit expectations which I personally think it won’t is because the people at Sony foolishly thought it stand a chance in a too crowded summer, and if Mario doesn’t hit probably too high expectations and does idk around 200m domestic which is still a fantastic result, it’s because we had another Pikachu we didn’t anticipate. A lot of animation that flopped this year was highly unappealing too (Lightyear, Super Pets, Lyle, Strange World) and we had so little animation in the first place this year and if Bad Guys didn’t open against Sonic 2 and Beasts and maybe moved earlier it’d have stronger results.

Speaking of things and time, will you and @WrathOfHan still doing 2023 box office predictions?

GOAT Spider-Man.

To compare Musk to Hammer is an insult to Hammer. Musk is a forever mentally a sad 13 year old child who wants to popular and loved but will never be and therefore lashes out when he doesn’t get his way.

This looks like fun. I’m in, I mean I was already in but I’m even more in now.

Avatwo seems like more of a threat than Puss. Though it’s a counter programmer, it’s only to a certain extent as it’s still a CBM. It wouldn’t have gotten any PLFs that drive the OW. At absolute best, it shares one and gets bad showtimes like 10 am and 10 pm, and delegated to medium screens.