cdsacken
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Posts posted by cdsacken
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On 11/9/2022 at 7:25 AM, YSLDC said:
A lot is said recently about VFX driving people to the theaters not being a factor anymore like in 2009 because you can't push it further, and oh boy....
The scene that was shown at the end of the re-release involving water... I've never seen anything like that and I'm a movie buff. General audiences are going to lose their minds. It'll have the exact same impact.
no way same impact as 09. I saw the trailer on a massive imax and it looked great better than 09. Didn’t change my life like folks are predicting. Still will be lower box office than last time domestically and WW much lower. China will be way under what folks were predicting. -
5 hours ago, Krissykins said:
That always looks great in 3D lol. This was my first time seeing the Avatar trailer in IMAX3D.
Edit: took out a shady comment about Wakanda Forever feeling way longer than it actually was.
I would hope so. It’s taken 13 years to release the movie and they have been working on it multiple years with likely a 300m+ budget.-
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2 hours ago, Cruel Summer said:
Damn, this was awful
oh don’t be ridiculous. At worst it’s average. At best it’s good.my rating is above average.
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20 hours ago, Borobudur said:
I hope Russia-Ukraine war can quickly ended and outcome favouring Ukraine, that will send every non-USD currency especially EUR into high fly zone.
0% sadly. I wish Russia would take care of it internally. -
On 9/30/2022 at 11:44 AM, Deuce66 said:
If $650 million domestic is the number and Avatar can maintain its traditional 30/70 split with Int'l it should easily crack $2 billion worldwide before China.
avatar had the luckiest exchange rates ever 1st time around. Now they are horrific. It's gonna to take at least 500m just from that.
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China lockdown, Europe nasty recession coming is terrible timing.
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On 8/10/2022 at 1:13 PM, YM! said:
Really tempted to drop the Plus now lol.
man well but annual renewal for me is November so might as well keep it for basically nothing.bigger shock for me is once I leave T-Mobile I’m cancelling Netflix. I’ve had subscription for 22 years. Their content gets worse daily and their available movie collection blows versus HBO max. I loathe the UI for hbomax but it’s time to suck it up
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1 hour ago, Ronin46 said:
Next up is your Top Gun 2 prediction of 550M.
I mean Im fine if it goes way above that. Top gun will plummet so damn hard next week. Massive drop
After that not sure
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Ok I was wrong. Lightyear flopped jesus and it was pretty solid.
Good lord, got destroyed on that prediction.
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2 hours ago, LegendaryBen said:
Then what’s your final prediction for this? Let’s not lose hope just yet. It’s not that it’s disappointed.
550m is my guess , possibly less.
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22 hours ago, Borobudur said:
I think IMAX will go for full 3D this round. They are this popular now because of Avatar 3D in 2009 anyway.
nah many people hate dogshit imax 3d. Avatar 2 promised glasses free yet failed on it -
10 hours ago, JustLurking said:
Problem isn't really 3D itself, it's how films use it. When Avatar showed how great 3D could be studios decided the best course of action was to ride that wave in the most lazy fashion possible and make it worthless junk that only serves to annoy you. Sadly if Avatar 2 manages to show it again, that's just going to be a repeat of what happens, lazy conversions for a few extra bucks.
In my opinion it’s still sucked. I will see avatar in 2d IMAX-
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10 minutes ago, wildphantom said:
25% of the global gross was 3D?! What are people even doing?
@Brainbug the Dinosaur have any of your viewings been 3D, and if so…was it worth it?*
*Also, have you seen the film again today?
I loathe 3D soooo much
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14 hours ago, Ronin46 said:
Strongly disagree. I think its 50/50 (at worst) it gets to 600.
Too much good stuff comping out.although! Next week should be baller even with lightyear. Father’s Day and Juneteenth
after a huge drop kinda thinking barely any drop including Monday. Then next week another nice big drop. Thor will be the mail in the coffin. I expect great things, looks incredible
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12 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:
Ouch at that JWD WW numbers. 1B is not happening. JWD and DS2, two supposedly surefire 1B grossers going below that.
DS2 doing nearly 1B without China. First one did 677m with 16% coming from China aka 110m.
as for JWD huge disappointment but given Fallen Kingdom it was expected sadly
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2 hours ago, M37 said:
It wasn’t the competition so much as the loss of PLF, which is a one time hit to grossing potential following an enormous WOM second weekend push, run/drops should stabilize after this week. Doesn’t matter what “expectations” were when it’s making $90 in second weekend
If it tracks after Sun like Aladdin - they both had ~65%/35% weekend/day split for prior week - then would expect TG2 to make ~5x this weekend’s gross for remainder of run. So expected total gross is $343 + 6x (this weekend), and a $50M weekend would suggest $643M total. Add in in $6M more for every $1M above $50 for this weekend, plus potentially an IMAX re-release, and $650 is quite possible
Not a shit chance in hell
It will be lucky to sniff 600
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2 hours ago, LegendaryBen said:
I may not agree with what you said because 600 is still possible and Lightyear is more likely to kill JWD (since it will split premium screens with them) than killing TGM. It's not that 600 is a 0% chance. However, I respect your opinion. I wish the best for Lightyear and TGM. BTW, I like your profile picture.
Well thank you that was my first dog Lacy A beautiful ridiculous Shiba Inu that we took the England with us and she had her own pet passport (not kidding lol)
She died a couple years ago when we moved back to America.
I really should update it but I miss that dog
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5 hours ago, John Marston said:
So 600m still a possibility for TGM?
likely not as I stated before Friday. People expected WAY too much after it getting insane competition this week. Next week is Lightyearstill 550 would be amazing and double the original expectations
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12 minutes ago, ZurgXXR said:
Hmm, well that was unexpected…
More like expected. Screen drops will be MASSIVE this week and next.
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On 6/8/2022 at 4:14 PM, LegendaryBen said:
Lightyear crushes TGM but not JWD? Lightyear has a much better chance crushing the latter than the former. Can you please clarify your JWD prediction?
nope I’m saying even if JWD disappoints versus expectations I think lightyear exceeds expectations. Fallen Kingdom sucks, no idea if JWD willl meet expectations. Looks bad but it’s a huge film. -
20 hours ago, ZurgXXR said:
If it could pull that off with the PLF loss it’ll incur this weekend, then everything except TFA and Endgame would be on the table.
agreed. 70+ and 650+ and then some is on the table. Although I don’t think it makes that. Then again not like I best top 5 Tuesday either.JW even assuming it massively disappoints will take away a lot. Next week I bet lightyear crushes it.
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10 hours ago, stripe said:
A must see movie can perfectly coexist with new competition. Obviously, JW3 and Lightyear will have an impact, but in cases like TGM, it should be minor. As with Avatar, TGM has become an event film that appeals even to those that barely go to a theater but have the perception they can miss the experience.
Of course, 500M would already be more than great. I was just trying to predict TGM run looking at the data we have and comparing it with leggy event sized movies. I honestly think that TGM run can be more like a mini Avatar domestically.
I get that. I completely don't see. We shall see. Basically no competition last week. Now back to back massive films both family outing films.
I'm seeing lightyear on IMAX. So jacked. Gonna see Top Gun twice. I think that's the 4th movie I've seen twice in theaters in 37 years. (gotta do it first! )
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12 hours ago, Brainbug the Dinosaur said:
Would Top Gun have dropped 45% this last weekend and not 29%, i would be with you.
But this second weekend was so astonishing that were clearly in unprecedented territory now. Phenomenon films often enough dont play by the usual rulebook.
Top Gun has Fathers Day weekend + a Holiday Monday on its 4th weekend and the Independence Day Holiday coming up + the usual summer weekdays. Its competition is certainly there, but apart from Dominion and Thor, there are no other big action movies this summer until Bullet Train in August. Plus, the awesome WOM can cancel out the screen loss to a certain degree. More people will just go to fewer screenings.
I truly think were in for a historic run.
Historic and way under 650.
Jurassic World Dominion even if it disappoints will do huge business this weekend. Lightyear is going to crush it. Happy to admit if I'm wrong. I don't see it happening. 4x on a 4 day 160 OW weekend? Nopey nope.
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2 hours ago, stripe said:
JW 2nd weekend drop: 49%.
After that weekend, these were the drops for JW: 49% / 46% / 38% / 37% / 37% / 45%
Avengers 2nd weekend drop: 50%. After that: 46% / 34% / 44% / 45% / 21% / 19%I2 2nd weekend drop: 56%. After that: 42% / 39% / 42% / 27% / 39% / 31%
TGM is on another level legs wise. Only dropped 29% 2nd weekend despite previews on Friday and inflated first Sunday. From now, it will constantly deliver better numbers than JW, TA and I2
again gotta factor competition which will steal screens. When they take them screens won’t come back. Still 500+ domestic? Absolutely insane given pre release expectations
Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
given how good it looks and reception my bottom of the range is 1.8b. That would be meh but ok. 2.5 is my top which I think excellent: above is crazy good