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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. Not sure about the question, considering CRA (around 6.75x) had better legs than Gone Girl (4.5x) (well CRA had a Wednesday start so it is not really fair)
  2. 207m debut with France 10 October 2018 Denmark 11 October 2018 Japan 2 November 2018 Can it reach 585m + China ? Venom did open around or over Amazing spider man 2 in many market and that made 55m in the yet to open market for Venom, if it does 60% of that (Spider Man being exceptional in Japan), 33m it need 2.66x global multi from it's start to reach 585m outside China. Suicide Squad made 2.8x it's 267m start, but with more market left out of the original launch (Italy, Germany, Japan has the main one) and with not bad domestic legs. If it does so and get that 90m China SH box office, that would be an 675m total a la Man of steel, Thor Dar World, Justice League.
  3. With an $120m World wide release costing around $120M (https://deadline.com/2018/09/the-predator-white-boy-rick-a-simple-favor-olivia-munn-box-office-1202464594/), the difference of a production budget of 88m or 40M is not enough to go from a solid hit to a flop (If it is a solid hit at 208m spent on production to theatrical release, at 168m it is not loosing much money). And without that giant marketing budget and release footprint with ultra high world screen count you get with that marketing commitment, safe to assume it does not do the same world box office, it is something to make 120m at the box office when you pay 120m to convince people to come in, it is quite different if you spent just 50-60m. The trailer of a 40M movie will also be different than a 88M one.
  4. That a really good question, was the book mostly an american phenomenon ? With how leggy it got domestic maybe the book popularity is just a small possible part of the reason anyway, there is that part of that phenomenon, general audience (and me) are really sheepish, if something is popular it get a lot of people that go see it just because it is popular creating some chaos by market. The little difference between a virtuous circle that make a movie perceived as a success and thus get a lot of people to see it versus the other way around is maybe not that big. Comedies / Rom-Com without a international movie star can do that, Trainwreck, The big Sick even The Proposal went over 50% dom, so it is not out of the norm like an space action movie.
  5. It had better critics than BvS and Suicide Squad, it does not really go against the idea that SH box office result is not that attach to the critical reception and can certainly open big without it. JL is a lot like the latest Transformer, it is not necessarily that their audience didn't start to care about their local reviewers or the RT score, but more about the previous movies.
  6. Much easier for a small bunch to impact an RT rating when there is less than 1,000 votes like for The Hates U Gives. Has votes from general audience they make people trying sway it one way or an other impact smaller. ????? https://screenrant.com/avengers-infinity-war-marvel-marketing-record/ There is a reason you see success getting bigger and failure being quite extreme, we are more and more sheepish. Thinking that people go see movies with a 150m world marketing campaign and that people around them are talking about/going to see are more free from influence than pseudo educated cinephiles following critics...... and not just a different type of influence and more similar to actual sheep is just crazy on is face.
  7. Yeah the closest movie was Deadpool and they were going for that deadpool money, I do not get the funny without the movie aiming for it, the sound Hardy make when he look at the mirror make no doubt about what they are going for. Same for the lobster thank being just all improve without the movie being in it, they put "eatable" prop lobster, even if it was not from the start (could be well true) they adjusted into it before release day.
  8. Really only in america that over 1.5 millions sales leaving probably over 2 million a year's in revenues with the tours mean you have to switch career, how will you feed yourself. In 2018 it is hard to sell 5,000 albums in many market (that number is often enough to make the top 20 of the year)
  9. I do not think they want to ever have anyone present in their movie they do not have 100% control with. It is still easy to imagine motivation to why they would want to use a Jackman Logan, Reynolds Deadpool or Hardy Venom in their movies even if the reason not to do it are bigger than the reason for doing it.
  10. Never heard of much if even any hate about Solo such a nothing movie one way or an other, what are you referring too ?
  11. Are you asking why the MCU would want to use a popular character in their movies if they do not allow competing studio to use their established characters in theirs ? Not in the previous leaked deal, all the SpiderMan characthers like Venom were own exclusively by Sony. Not 100% sure, but I would imagine they cannot without making an updated deal for it.
  12. A in the sense of the extra show... Pattern didn't hold at all: 44489 2018-10-05 FRI A Star Is Born 55723 2018-10-05 FRI Venom 1 new Venom Sony Pictures $32,750,000 4,250 $7,706 $32,750,000 1 2 new A Star is Born Warner Bros. $15,800,000 3,686 $4,286 $15,800,000 1 Venom had 125% ticket sales, more than 200% the box office. Older playing/cinephile movie will have high pre-sales so female skewing one I imagine. ASIB saturday sales are a bit higher than Venom, I would expect Venom to be around 155%-165% of ASIB today.
  13. Take a bit too long to get all ridiculous, but once it get going it has is moments, saved by Hardy too.
  14. When Robbie was in talk with Sony, Enchanted/Marry Poppins seemed to be the influence. Why the barbie get kick out of Barbieland is probably not that important and can be changed.
  15. Does that take into account that a Venom sales will be in average a significant higher box office (because of the 3d and other special screening)
  16. Final sales: 49337 2018-10-04 THU Venom 18311 2018-10-04 THU A Star Is Bor Venom sold 270% of ASIB sales. thursday box office 10m vs 3.2m, Venom had 312.5% of ASIB box office. Would we correct for IMAX and 3D bigger revenues by ticket sales we probably would have not much of a difference, but ASIB start was as if not more pre-sales heavy than a superhero Venom one. If it continue to be the same : 42118 2018-10-05 FRI Venom 37866 2018-10-05 FRI A Star Is Bor This friday box office should much much closer than thursday, with Venom making 130% of ASIB Friday with ASIB having a chance of getting ahead by sunday. But it would not surprise me if Venom BO/fandango sales shift more into family territory mode a little bit for the weekend afternoon and stay ahead.
  17. Would not be surprised to see star estimate rise and rise has it goes, not like CRA but still could reach the 45-50m zone.
  18. Would been on the low side but the actual number are 3.2m for thursday and 4.55m for the previews, quite good outside the summer for an non franchise affair, higher than movies over big OW like The Martian: 2.5m More than doubled those R-rated giant book sellers phenomenon previews: Gone Girl: 1.25 (37m OW) Girl on a train: 1.23m (25m OW) It keep 50m alive.
  19. TASM 2 didn't do any money too, third party financier even did loose money on it (5M) Sony profit was expected to be for the movie life time of just 14m (at the time of the Sosy leak it was still 50m in the red), 14m is less than the 24.8m paycheck they got from Marvel. If that movie would have lot of money I am not sure it would have not got a sequel. That a really interesting point, according to collider that seem to be the case: Because the Sony/Marvel Studios deal for Spider-Man: Homecoming involves the character of Peter Parker and Holland’s portrayal, he can’t be used in any of these other Marvel Comics movies Sony is developing. But since Sony has the license for Peter Parker, why can’t he have a cameo in Venom you ask? Because if Tom Holland shows up, even for a split second, in Venom, by association that immediately means that Venom has to exist within the Marvel Cinematic Universe. You cannot have MCU spider-man appear in some Sony R rated movie for example and create confusion among family audience I guess (or just in bad movies)
  20. Update: Venom Share of the total Star is born Share of the total Wednesday 0% 7713 12% Thursday 35172 42% 13922 21% Friday 27345 32% 24046 36% Saturday 15815 19% 14604 22% Sunday 5955 7% 6128 9% Total 84287 100% 66413 100% Star is born gained a little bit of relative ground, but Venom still sold a bit more the last 16 hours: Star is born / Venom Thursday 40% Friday 88% Saturday 92% Sunday 103%
  21. He also take the side-step to never claim they are Russians either in the actual article. He just do this step 1) Many study did show that Russian farm account do post on twitter a lot in a similar way about similar stuff 2) This has a lot of bot using the 4-5 ways to detect them 3) Those bot could be russian's, he never said they were. People say he said so and then laugh at it. If they were not bots, they were humans acting exactly like bot (using old dormant account, changing everything about them and making new persona every 6 month, shitposting stuff they copy-paste that other people are also twitting). Has for attacking it's integrity, it is a guy with 2 Star Wars tattoo that got into LastJedi online fights, that use the expression debunked followed with Forbes bloggers opinion piece has an argument, he has none on this subject. Must change the figure quite a bit also I imagine, those are stranger people # the director in their tweet about the movie, I doubt representative of the general audience (they do not know the directors and they do not tweet about movies much if at all, if they even tweet).
  22. It is one of those crude over simplification that just make conversation about anything online quite hard, with people fighting strawmen over each other heads. The claim (going from memory of the article, I am sure that LaughinsEvans didn't read it and for good reason it is impressively soft >science" and frustrating to read) Around 80% positive, 20% negative. IF you remove sock account, maybe bot, politicially charged critics, about 90%-10%
  23. That sound over the top generous for Bright, all the issue you name are so giant in it that it is a first time you watch it you see the flaw like is suicide squad, thus the critic reaction for both (critic saw the movie only one time).
  24. Just how big does “Spider-Man 2,” directed by Marc Webb and starring Andrew Garfield and Emma Stone, need to be? Pascal, who declined to be interviewed, has set a goal of $1 billion worldwide, say sources. That some impressively level of vague sources. In reality Sony expectation were At Greenlight time: $850m (300m dbo / 550m intl) At annual budget time: $865m (315m / 550m) About 1 month before release the Sony forecast from world tacking was almost exactly what happened between 695m and 710m
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