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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. 617m $2015 US dollar is 656,395m 2018 dollar, if we would go to a monthly precision it would not surprise me if it was a little bit bigger or the exact same amount for the 2.
  2. For an early October wide release ? Oscar nomination will be 22 January 2019, only poland/japan open after October 26, it will be a hole 3 month deep. Do we have any precedent or an early release that start wide and roll-out everywhere in october helped by the Oscar. Dominating the Globe is more likely to be one, them being much sooner. I think 100m is huge but a possible target. Like SLP did (changing NFL football for country/folk music) .
  3. True chance are not nill that the original take was worst, but if a studio pay for a change rolling it back if it is worst than the original is usually not an option.
  4. http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/Fandango_track.txt For the others hours.
  5. Do you have a study than say cricket meat would require giving away many nutrients ? https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352364616300013 The Nutrient Value Score of crickets, palm weevil larvae and mealworm was significantly healthier than in the case of beef and chicken and none of six tested insects were statistically less healthy than meat. Protein content was in the range of 13 to 77% by dry matter (Table 2), reflecting the large variability of tested species. Eighty-seven species of edible insects were investigated in Mexico, and the average protein content was from 15% to 81%. Insect protein digestibility, which is 76 to 96% [17] was also examined in this study. These values are on average only a little smaller than values for egg protein (95%) or beef (98%) and even higher than in the case of many plant proteins [19]. Measured amounts of nitrogenous substances of insects may be higher than their actual protein content since some nitrogen is also bound in the exoskeleton Apparently many world population that think they are vegetarian are getting by just fine because there is a lot of insect cadaver in their rice. Should probably be possible to make up for it with eggs, milks, the stupidest fish, Shellfish and vitamin pills type supplement if needed.
  6. Depend of the regions, but I would think that sentient/emotionally developed animal killing we could "easily" stop for most of the human population. Insects could do the trick and so on.
  7. I think most people including me are way too much ignorant to comments on those. Trophy hunting usually target male (thus possibly having no effect on the species survival and amount of specimen the next generation will have, but can delude the genetic quality of the group) and is usually a big percentage of the local economy and provide money to keep the habitat for those species to survive long term and not have their habitat turned into farming. And our moral compass will be terrible, it will take the how beautiful, elegant, predator or supposed to be a victim because herbivore and so on status of the slain animal was into account way too much, we cannot get out of it but most of those factor should not matter. Hunting in general tend to be misunderstood by modern westerner, in many place virtually all the predators were killed by the humans and some population now unnaturally free of predation can get overpopulated and destroy the forest if they are not hunted.
  8. According to cinemascore, their debut demo Black panther: 53% over 25 Guardians Vol. 2: 58% over 25 Civil War: 59% over 25 Ant-Man 2: 62% over 25 Doctor strange: 67% over 25 (with an only 8% teen!) Seem to be true by a little bit, but not spectacularly so, MCU is getting old outside Spider man (and that is getting family audience quite a bit). Black panther was particularly young.
  9. McCarthy/Schumer being often producer on her stuff seem to have more room, she completely shunned the promo for the puppet one for example. But I remember McCarthy even doing podcast for Life of the party. Schumer did Colbert, Ellen We tend to have a pretty custom to us media consumption in an extremely fragmented media world , it is "dangerous" to judge a movie promo by what we personally watch. You are probably that the Internet presence for those didn,t came close to that one too, trying to find big platform junket stuff. Maybe the release date matter for this ? Fall being a particularly good time to get on show like those versus spring/summer ?
  10. Her take was the other way around, for him to make movies that are less in competition with Netflix offer (in this case Narcos season 3 having been just released and maybe explaining with the under 25 was so incredibly thin on AM): " Did the famously eternal Cruise finally started to age ?.... No ! he just made bad movies, people will likely go see him in the next Mission Impossible, Top Gun 2 / Edge of Tomorrow 2 should all work really well a the box office"
  11. Yeah that will it go just over 30m or reach 40m seem like a line written if the movie would have ended in the very lower end of the first 13-15m tracking. Why a movie like that would not reach 2.5x mutli and maybe have a shot to 50m, the question seem much more will it barely scrap 40m or will it get to 50m.
  12. Not even sure what it would mean for a 100% subjective experience to be tricked into liking or what it would matter if that was the case. It is not like people falling for a professional athlete that while spectacular does not help a team win has much as the eye test make you think he is, there is nothing else than subjective relative enjoyment to have here, it is a movie.
  13. Yet you will not say. But Jackson got a lot of goodwill from the LOTR no ? Is King Kong has 81 metascore, District 9 he produced was quite overrated.
  14. That's can be cheap and quite standard for a movie like this with a cast like this no ? (i.e. all the comparable that come to mind will have done mostly the same I would think).
  15. It was expected (has in a contender for the win), people expected Lady Bird, Florida Project, Tonya, Shape or this to win.
  16. A bit different the possible effect of awards on the box office I think. It will start wide unlike La la land and deploy before the awards season start everywhere I think, La la land was a limited December release that rolled out until end of february. Star is Born roll-out end in October (with the exception of Japan). Award buzz can have some actual award effect equivalent I imagine and actual award can give a little very late legs help but not that much.
  17. From what I have seen I have no clue what the plot could be, that is nice if you present an interesting energy or world (like Zootopia one scene trailer), but when it is fast edit stuff not showing good action sequence.....
  18. Are you sure in recent time, the previous recent last 10 winners: 3 Billboards La la land Room Imitation Game 12 year's a slave Silver Linings Playbook Where do we go now ? King Speech Precious Slumdog Millionaires Lot of 100% obvious contender in there, I would say most, when TIFF was not such a popular event in the past featuring many best picture candidate that was more true maybe. Green Book IMDB/Rotten tomatoes users rating are through the roof too,
  19. Liongates, probably didn't got a specially high amount of promo: https://variety.com/2018/digital/news/the-predator-tops-studios-tv-ad-spending-1202935385/
  20. The fact they got in the festival (depending which) often mean something too If the latest Dolan would have got a good reception we would mentally include it in that list of title, because it was destroyed by the critics we mentally in hindsight remove it, making it possible for you to say Most of them got great reviews. If you are getting in the main competition branch of some festival you were pre-vetted by a selection committee, a high success rate is to be expected. Other missed that mark like Beautiful Boy (63 on MC), Suspira (76 MC), White Boy Rick (60 on MC, Telluride), Colette (74 on MC), The sisther brother (78 on MC), 22 july (venice, 76 on MC), Peterloo (venice, telluiride, tiff with 69 on MC), all featured in list like those (the expected movies that decided to skip the festival season or were refused will make the acclaim success rate appear quite high if those are not counted) https://www.indiewire.com/2018/08/2018-fall-movie-preview-awards-contenders-roma-the-favourite-first-man-1201994415/2/ Has for the metacritic of movies going up, you are right for the movies achieving to score 90s: If was always 6 or less (often 4 or below) between 2000 and 2012, then exploded 2013: 8 2014: 5 2015: 11 2016: 12 2017: 11 Looking a the sudden jumped suddenly a year, maybe it is metacritic that changed the way it calculate it score during that time and not critics becoming more sheepish because of social media becoming big in 2013 or something of the sort (it was big for year's). Not too hard to look by ourself before concluding anything about critics, for example brokeback mountain got 87 MC score by having an average of 87 in the reviews score: https://www.metacritic.com/movie/brokeback-mountain/critic-reviews Up got an Metascore 88 with an review average score of 88.7 Florida project got 92 with an average of 90. https://www.metacritic.com/movie/the-florida-project/critic-reviews Foxtrot got 90 metascore with an 87.93 average review score. I think they started a weight system giving a bigger value to some publication and a less to other around that time ? Leading to more extreme result (if you get good score among those bigger reward) but about the same average. Up and Brokeback would probably get an 90+ MC with today algorithm.
  21. Source ?, what percentage do you think of the hundreds of movies you are refering too will have an 80+ MC score by the end of those festivals ? 2016: https://www.metacritic.com/feature/2016-fall-film-festival-reviews-tiff-venice-telluride Tiff had many hundreds of movies showing, vast majority got mediocre reception. Even from the official main gala presentation short list, a quick look show many under 8/10 reception: Everybody knowns, 55% on RT / 6.1/10 score https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/jeremiah_terminator_leroy/ (6.8/10) https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_kindergarten_teacher_2018/ (7.1/10) https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_land_of_steady_habits/ (6.5/10) https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/life_itself_2018/ (4.7/10) https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/outlaw_king/ (5.8/10) https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/shadow_2018/ (7/10) What they Had 74 MC I think you are victim a bit of a very non-random sample of awareness here, many thousand of movies try to get in those festival (if not 10 of thousands), they pick outside some Netflix/Studio title/big stars those they found to be the best, from the many many hundreds that play at those festival outside the exception of some giant name or studio title we hear only about those who get great buzz, possibly giving the impression that everything is well received. The last Xavier Dolan for example: https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_death_and_life_of_john_f_donovan 10% Rt score, with a 2.7/10 average. Would it not be of the cast and director, we would have not heard of it like many other festival pick that get panned.
  22. There is always some classics movies playing all the time like that. It is an AMC special event coming up: https://www.amctheatres.com/movies/jurassic-park-25th-anniversary-57869 At the AMC Quail Springs Mall 24. The detailled pulse data give you the exact theater of the tickets.
  23. That more than Central Intelligence, Hart usually get 2,220 to 3,175: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/people/chart/?view=Actor&id=kevinhart.htm&sort=opentheaters&order=DESC&p=.htm Ride Along got 2,663 theater (and achieved 41.5m with it), could go to 3,200/3,300, but 2,600/2,700 is possible.
  24. Considering the low budget rumors, should be in profits from that domestic alone. Example of domestic revenues for some performance: Box office / movie / domestic revenues 191.72m / 22 jump street / 201.96m 138.45m / 21 Jump Street / 184.722m 133.67m / Grown up 2 / 162.903m 107.1m / Captain Philips / 150.05m And that is not considering how much DBO can help and make for nice International TV contract deal. If the budget is 30m and get a 45m domestic release, it can work from domestic alone with a good profit margin no problem. I also see domestic heavy but I can see like @TombRaider, still a 40+% intl happening it got good reception in international festival at least, has some star wattage to at least get distributed a bit everywhere. A la SLP/American Hustle that had Football or American in the title. In this case the studio (WB) is distributing it worldwide instead of being acquisitions also to help.
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