Barnack

I didn't before (really opinion less about him) and now I do, is physicality worked well obviously, but outside of that he did so little imo with that nice part.

Yes the expectation of growth was really questionable imo, the amount of resistance will be huge (and the last 2 were really well reviewed and had arguably the better appealing stunt in the tower/plane), for a breakout a clear signal you didn't needed to watch any of the previous movies would be needed (selling the action set piece and a you do not need to follow the story at all, it is mostly non-sense is already a good start). Achieving to maintain is already the goal and the success that the franchise high quality achieved. Not dropping like it achieve to do if this again goes near 200m or so is really something for the 6th entry of the franchise, it is no small feat at all. I am not sure what did better than that retention wise outside the Potters / Fast And Furious exceptional run (the first was adapting really popular book and the second added Dwayne Johnson and other element to achieve it). Pirates 1 3 Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl BV $305,413,918 3,416 $46,630,690 3,269 7/9/03 2 1 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest BV $423,315,812 4,133 $135,634,554 4,133 7/7/06 3 2 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End BV $309,420,425 4,362 $114,732,820 4,362 5/25/07 4 4 Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides BV $241,071,802 4,164 $90,151,958 4,155 5/20/11 5 5 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales BV $172,558,876 4,276 $62,983,253 4,276 5/26/17 Transformer 2 3 Transformers P/DW $319,246,193 4,050 $70,502,384 4,011 7/3/07 3 1 Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen P/DW $402,111,870 4,293 $108,966,307 4,234 6/24/09 4 2 Transformers: Dark of the Moon P/DW $352,390,543 4,088 $97,852,865 4,088 6/29/11 5 4 Transformers: Age of Extinction Par. $245,439,076 4,233 $100,038,390 4,233 6/27/14 6 5 Transformers: The Last Knight Par. $130,168,683 4,132 $44,680,073 4,069 6/21/17 Bourne 1 4 The Bourne Identity Uni. $121,661,683 2,663 $27,118,640 2,638 6/14/02 2 2 The Bourne Supremacy Uni. $176,241,941 3,304 $52,521,865 3,165 7/23/04 3 1 The Bourne Ultimatum Uni. $227,471,070 3,701 $69,283,690 3,660 8/3/07 4 5 The Bourne Legacy Uni. $113,203,870 3,753 $38,142,825 3,745 8/10/12 5 3 Jason Bourne Uni. $162,434,410 4,039 $59,215,365 4,026 7/29/16 Apes 1 2 Rise of the Planet of the Apes Fox $176,760,185 3,691 $54,806,191 3,648 8/5/11 2 1 Dawn of the Planet of the Apes Fox $208,545,589 3,969 $72,611,427 3,967 7/11/14 3 3 War for the Planet of the Apes Fox $146,880,162 4,100 $56,262,929 4,022 7/14/17 Mission impossible: 1 4 Mission: Impossible Par. $180,981,856 3,012 $45,436,830 3,012 5/22/96 2 1 Mission: Impossible II Par. $215,409,889 3,669 $57,845,297 3,653 5/24/00 3 5 Mission: Impossible III Par. $134,029,801 4,059 $47,743,273 4,054 5/5/06 4 2 Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol Par. $209,397,903 3,555 $12,785,204 425 12/16/11 5 3 Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation Par. $195,042,377 3,988 $55,520,089 3,956 7/31/15 In the last 10/11 year's Pirates went from 309 to 172 Transformer from 402 to 130 Bourne from 227 to 162 Apes started at 176, raised to 208 and ended below 150. MI went from 134 to making around 200m probably 3 times in a row, now back above the Transformer/Pirates giant franchise of the past. Back above Bond probably. And did maintain is dbo while being a franchise that focus at lot on intl market (the story/locations being really international and it show in how well it does WW) Bond achieved to do it with Skyfall obviously, but the first Bonds movies adjust over 600m.

MI-6 being a really direct competition possibly an obvious factor here the daily performance before MI opened were not great either, bad reviews catching up ? https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/equalizer_2 AUDIENCE SCORE 74% liked it Average Rating: 3.9/5 User Ratings: 2,256 By the Monday of is second weekend the first: https://web.archive.org/web/20141005031357/https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/the_equalizer_2013/ AUDIENCE SCORE 82% liked it Average Rating: 4/5 User Ratings: 49,651 ---------------------------------- If the net of tax rebate production cost is around 77.5m, if it does 90m dbo it will need a 65m intl to double it's budget (not that it necessarily need to). If it play like the first (53/47) it should easily do it and reach 170m and make a nice 2.2 times it's budget domestic heavy. If it play to close to Denzel 2010s average of 58%/42%, could end up around 155-160, for a 2.0 / 2.06 time it's budget.

At that monthly fee price, can they keep the same volume without feeling it by already moneytised product bought at a price if all the studio quit ? That a big question, sound not really possible for 2m at the minute type of content like blockbuster movies, but who knows.

Combined with talks of being seen in 3D, really does not make it sound like plan for a real wide release either.

Book is a very misleading example to use, the experience of reading a traditional book versus a reading tablet, is way different than physical media vs non-physical for movies, those are one data-band evolution away to be literally the exacts same bits displayed on your TV and played in the sound system the exact same way. One other possibility is being one hard drive away evolution to change the conversation quite a bit, something like this: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/memory-nanotechnology-edmonton-university-alberta-1.4761445 Very small harddrive holding up 400 TB (or big one with 5000tb) or something of the sort, could change the landscape, you could physically own all your movie without taking space, being easy to share them with your family/friend or bring them to play while traveling, in the car, at a remote chalet, etc... by downloading all of them.

Did anyone on a box office message board do that ? him alone on a stage can do 30+m domestic https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=kevinhart2013.html

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321462744_The_Audience_Effect_On_the_Collective_Cinema_Experience https://outofmygord.com/2010/02/20/the-psychology-of-entertainment-why-we-love-watching-in-crowds/ It is so strong that nowaday people even watch people reacting to videos or opening box on youtube...... Humans preferring to watch something in the context of a crowd will probably be forever, we even see this more and more if people are to go to the theater they often go to the movie first weekend to be sure to have the crowd experience, even ready to pay more and wait in lines to live it. If streaming achieve to reproduce the effect of a crowd (with VR or something like this connecting your small group with other's watching the same movies at the same time) maybe. Who need stand up comics live show when they can be seen recorded on streaming, live audience musical performance, why people go to a sport live event when it is on TV........

In 2004, over your budget domestic, no doubt. Hitch: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=hitch.htm Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $179,495,555 48.8% + Foreign: $188,604,865 51.2% = Worldwide: $368,100,420 Made 490m in revenues, if Polar express played similarly could have reached 200m on the domestic home ent + domestic tvs revenues alone. Tallagada nights: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=talladeganights.htm Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $148,213,377 90.9% + Foreign: $14,752,800 9.1% = Worldwide: $162,966,177 Made 320m in revenues, almost doubled is box office in revenues lol, Tallagada nights could have had a 150m production budget and would have still turned a profit, so I imagine Polar Express was more than ok, didn't need year's before becoming a success, was probably right away seen has a hit.

Different time when a 165m movie making 310m at the box office like Polar Express was considered a hit.

Universal’s second weekend of “Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again” appears to be likely to finish in second place with about $16 million, lifting its 10-day total past $70 million. Sony’s second weekend of Denzel Washington’s “The Equalizer 2” should follow with about $14 million, just ahead of Sony’s third weekend of “Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation” with around $13 million. Harsh drop, Mamma mia was friday heavy so relative to the SS numbers the drop will probably be quite good. But Equalizer 2 was friday light and weekday light, a 36m -> 14m, 61.1% seem harsh, first equalizer was at 18.75 -45%, Equalizer 2 could fall behind the first one this sunday if that happen.

The in major film is probably false, but for TV it does seem to be possible according to the last GLAAD representation report. For film, 2017 was a decrease, 2016 was maybe the best year: Of the 125 film releases GLAAD counted from the major studios in 2016, 23 (18.4%) contained characters identified as lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, or queer. This is an increase of nearly one percentage point from the 17.5% of films (22 of 126) found to be inclusive in 2015. I think it move faster and more easily on TV than on movies. 40% of regular characther on scripted broadcast TV are non-whites now for example.

Maybe, but turning it into a empty Label (like Touchstone was, touchstone had no employee, office space, etc.. really like you said a label) is obviously killing it, really playing with semantic.

You seem to be right for primetime broadcast television I think (the B is probably underrepresented the most there). Not sure how solid the stats are but LGBT would be around 4.5% of the population according to this: https://news.gallup.com/poll/234863/estimate-lgbt-population-rises.aspx https://glaad.org/files/WWAT/WWAT_GLAAD_2017-2018.pdf Of the 901 regular characters expected to appear on broadcast scripted primetime programming this season, 58 (6.4%) were identified as gay, lesbian, bisexual, transgender, and/or queer. 42% over representation in broadcast scripted primetime tv.

There is no automonous major movie studio and has been for a long time, Disney studio is part of obviously disney giant conglomerate, some other is Comcast, Fox was owned by Century Fox, Paramount Viacom, Columbia by Sony and so on. Liongates is probably the biggest autonomous ? Or Focus.... Searchlight is very safe at Disney imo, but Fox studio is probably death.

The info about that 250m is a rumored gross cost if I remember correctly, net of insurance reimbursing added cost caused by Cruise injury and other incentive, it is a 175-180m type movie. If this get close or above on the domestic level, if should be great considering the way they tend to play globally (30/70 or better) since the last 2 (and Cruise in general). Probably breaking even below a 440m WW box office if it does near 200m dbo.

I am not sure ordinary actor have back end deal that include points type contract very often (even just the very easy bonus at 100m, 150m, etc...) must be rare and only on franchise for them. When you have those first dollar, V or post break type of deal and you are just an actor, you are a big name, no ? And like I said if you are talking about regular actor residual, that is all automatic and from the gross revenues,with the amount set by the guild negotiation and pretty automatic, studio does not get out of those.

Nice to see someone actually really knowing distribution very well with ongoing actual experience commenting on it: Jim Amos, who spent about 30 years in distribution at Sony Pictures Entertainment, is joining STX Entertainment as senior VP of theatrical distribution. An other article of him on the disney-fox merger: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamos/2018/07/08/why-the-disneyfox-merger-might-not-be-a-fairy-tale-for-theater-chains-or-moviegoers/#733139583359 It is true imo that even in 2018: Still, to this day, headlines proclaim success or failure of a film after the domestic opening weekend, somehow ignoring the international market and its 55%-65% or more of total worldwide gross. How ridiculous that is, but is true, and it can be hard to turn that perception around.

So many launched in the early 2000s, that it would not surprise me if it is the only one. If Smith would return to Bad Boys / MIB, I guess he could still make it happen. With the help of Cameron, Arnold with Terminator maybe and Ford with Indiana Jones would be an other one not surprising if it would still be strong, but like Die Hard I am not sure we can say it is still going strong, Rocky stopped being the lead by now.

Prepare to not be shocked: https://www.irishexaminer.com/breakingnews/entertainment/director-elizabeth-banks-to-play-bosley-in-charlies-angels-reboot-858112.html

A 14 like the Last Bourne, 70m A 13.5 a la Rogue Nation would give it a 67.5m start. A 10.5 like Ocean 8 52.5m start

If you are talking about a blockbuster with a RT score of 96% or above. Furry Road, Inside Out, Black Panther, Zootopia, Gravity,

Will it not show has delete tweet on their account as well ? (I am a complete twitter neophyte, but I often see people having answered to what are now deleted tweet with nothing showing) on their feed.

I imagine metric like Awareness / Unaided awareness and definite interest does not require people to know the release date, in some genre people actually knowing the name of the movie does not even matter. It still got quite the view count: https://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=slender+man+movie&sp=CAMSAggFQgQIABIA

You need I imagine a little bit more than a screenshot, it is so easy to create false tweet. I imagine there is some ways to really "snapshot" them too right ? If so I would imagine they did.