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Barnack

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Everything posted by Barnack

  1. Probably, I am not sure how to convert year's of pre-release/post production hell in budget impact, it affect the ROI in a big way also. Has a little note, we cannot use the $23,739,049 tax credit and remove it from the gross to get the net budget, Louisiana like a lot of jurisdiction give a tax credit not a cash rebate, and if you do not have that amount in tax due in that state you will need to sell it to someone that want it (at a certain rebate they will not pay full price) or back to the state 85 cent on the dollar if they do not find a better buyer. Net is between gross - tax credit and gross - 0.85 * tax credit But it is possible that the movie also got other incentive from other jurisdiction they spent money, not sure those appear on that line.
  2. But that is really easy to beat, the vast majority of the 605 movies released this year were not a deal in any way, it is rare for a movie to achieve to reach 1% of the population (around 30m at the box office), not even 50% of the wide release achieve that and most movie do not achieve to reach 600 theater. That is also true for a lot of tv shows or most live sports event.
  3. Not sure I ever saw one ?, always seen it portrayed in a fantastic context in a time that never really existed (a mix between 5th to like 12th century technology with the mediaval Knight a concept that had yet to exist in Arthur time.
  4. It is at 137m already and is last weekend was of 55m, should get over 210m on a what 80 to 110m budget ? Not even a bomb imo, let alone a specially big one.
  5. That is sure for a tv show, but a world series ball game party would not stop them to just watch a movie ? (something they can do anytime). I doubt any sport fan would ever consider missing a series game for a movie.
  6. What is ST audience ? Within its first 35 days on the streaming service, the supernatural drama averaged 14.07 million adults 18-49. Only Season 1 of “Fuller House” and Season 4 of “Orange is the New Black” drew larger demo audiences in their first 35 days. Walking death last season debut was 17.5m people between 18-49 + not counted piracy numbers that will be higher than for a netflix show. there is also the all the episode in one weekend that would affect box office much more than a regular show. It probably picked up more people over time and S2 could have been bigger than this first weekends, but there is no indication that ST is specially big over any other big tv show success. One big difference is that the type of people that watch it, is the type of person talking about shows on the Internet versus others shows, a little bit like the joke everyone that watched the HBO show Girls had a blog.
  7. Yeah mayber under a certain amount of theater they do not consider PTA the same way or like you said only had the top 25 show up in the report he received.
  8. Buzzfeed did ask him to comment on an other allegation October the 13th according to the article, so yes, he must be assuming a bunch of stories are very likely to come out.
  9. That is almost impossible to tell, maybe he does remember. And the coming out could be a very calculated trick to change a percentage of the Monday headline/talks toward that story instead of the real story.
  10. http://amazingribs.com/tips_and_technique/meat_temperature_guide.html If you use a meat thermometer and follow guideline, you really do not need to go well done for all meat all the time.
  11. I often put cheeze directly on both breath (sometime during the cooking)
  12. People were being sarcastic in the last posts, Disney released only 5 movies in 2017 (and seem to be aiming for less than 1 month a month short term), they are far from monopolizing the market place/screens/etc...
  13. Look surprising because it was not picked up by a studio, but it was made by a big time director that combined a lot of financial success and is movies got nominated for Oscar couple of times: Worldwide (Unadjusted) Title (click to view) Studio Worldwide Domestic / % Overseas / % Year Quantum of Solace Sony $586.1 $168.4 28.7% $417.7 71.3% 2008 World War Z Par. $540.0 $202.4 37.5% $337.6 62.5% 2013 Finding Neverland Mira. $116.8 $51.7 44.3% $65.1 55.7% 2004 The Kite Runner ParV $73.3 $15.8 21.6% $57.5 78.4% 2007 Stranger Than Fiction Sony $53.7 $40.7 75.8% $13.0 24.2% 2006 Monster's Ball Lions $44.9 $31.3 69.6% $13.6 30.4% 2001 Stay Fox $8.3 $3.6 43.5% $4.7 56.5% 2005 Machine Gun Preacher Rela. $3.3 $539k 16.1% $2.8 83.9% 2011
  14. If you were a theater chain, would you have accepted to play All I see is you in a big number of your theater for free, without asking the distributor to give it a minimum of a wide release P&A ? If so, it would have taken you what retention percentage to say yes, 65%, 70%, 80% leaving not much to the studio right. And if you were Open Road show, would you have accepted to give a movie like this with an RT score under 35% at 10m+ P&A wide release ? Would you have paid to 4wall it if theater chain were not interested in playing it for a percentage ? It is not something studio have full control on, much less a distributor like Open Road, it is not like they necessarily said no to theater that wanted to play it for free.
  15. many of that franchise entry are horrors movie, IMDB has it: Horror, Sci-Fi, Thriller
  16. Apparently paramount bought the US distribution right 10m.
  17. Would still be a little bit above Breathe PTA of last weekend ($517), is that movie theater run already almost over by the way ? Look like it already lost most of is theater after just one week...
  18. Is the fact that Fantastic Four did not come up in my mind for recent Teller failure without looking at is filmography, a good or a bad sign ? Either way it would be easy to understand him to be piss off about missing on La la land for is follow up to the excellent Whiplash, what a game changer it would have been to replace some of those output by that one. Jonah Hill drawing power will look good on this list of Teller movies: Date Title (click to view) Studio Lifetime Gross / Theaters Opening / Theaters Rank 10/27/17 Thank You for Your Service (2017) Uni. n/a 2,054 n/a 2,054 16 10/20/17 Only The Brave Sony $8,490,057 2,577 $6,002,665 2,577 11 11/18/16 Bleed for This ORF $5,083,906 1,549 $2,366,810 1,549 13 8/19/16 War Dogs WB $43,034,523 3,258 $14,685,305 3,258 7
  19. Need to go in the moderate success type, but: Hacksaw ridge/hell or high water did very well in middle america for what those movies were: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/02/24/movies/oscars-state-by-state-movie-popularity.html Maybe Sully ? http://variety.com/2016/film/box-office/sully-box-office-tom-hanks-clint-eastwood-1201863958/ Moreover, Goldstein tells Variety that the film is over-indexing in the Midwest by 16% Not really a middle america movie, but one that played well with Eastwood+Hanks bringing almost every old people in the US on board (need Denzel+Streep+Dwayne Johnson and you have everyone). I think arrival did well in the mid-west and really terrible in the south-east. I am going loosely here in what could have work, but in general, Patriot Day, Deepwater horizon, American assassin, Logan Lucky, Only The Brave, Gifted, Mag 7, everything Micheal Bay do, etc... nothing goes on to reproduce that American Sniper success.
  20. Starving for an IP to work is a good way to put it, I mean Transformers 7 Paramount 6/28/19 Top Gun (2019) Paramount 7/12/19 Untitled Terminator Project Paramount 7/26/19 The SpongeBob Movie Paramount 8/2/19 Beverly Hills Cop (2016) Paramount TBD The Brazilian Job (a.k.a. The Italian Job II) Paramount TBD Friday the 13th (2016) Paramount TBD Terminator 2 (2017) Paramount TBD Terminator 3 (2018) Paramount TBD Not sure how many of those will happen but, Italian job 2, Friday the 13th, Beverly hills cops, terminator's, Top Gun, Transformer, spongebob, etc... does not sound fresh even that production hell WWZ 2 is not an easy sell. And who knows when MI will have is nose dive, I mean it cannot goes to 8 like fast and furious without injecting an equivalent to Dwayne Johnson/ramping up to the ridicule like they did and that is not some magic easy to repeat. That said that the studio that will give us Annihilation and they have the interesting Cloverfield franchise model going on.
  21. Without the transformer/mission impossible and other world released product, it make little sense to be a MPAA movie studio with world distribution infrastructure like Paramount. Outside going back to a 50 movie a year slate, the overhead would kill those low budget fare profit margin, usually production overhead is about 5 to 15% of the movie's production budgets, without any big budget movie in a slate, they would become really huge, Gianopulos did talk about it: http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/features/paramounts-jim-gianopulos-starting-his-fox-exit-reviving-a-struggling-studio-1015023 How many films does a major studio need to release a year? You really should be doing between 12 and 16 films. At the same time, quotas are very difficult. If you don't have the movies, you shouldn't be making them. But to be able to amortize the global reach and overhead of a major studio, you need to be somewhere in that range. If you are to just do lower budget fare, it is probably better to not be a world studio and be like those who do that (and have someone else distribute worldwide the few title that need to)
  22. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk was a frontrunner for best picture: https://www.theguardian.com/film/2016/aug/10/oscars-2017-predictions-movie-reviews-film-festival-favorites Was expected to do 100m by some: http://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-forecast-billy-lynns-long-halftime-walk-arrival-almost-christmas-shut/ Had article like those: http://www.indiewire.com/2016/10/ang-lee-billy-lynn-long-half-time-walk-could-change-filmmaking-mark-friedberg-nyff-2016-1201738049/ Almost all Ang lee movie did over 100m until then, with only one commercial failure in is career. Sony leaked e-mail showed how excited they were to have the chance to work with Lee, with people saying stuff like: Tom is going to get the best pic oscar for ang lee’s version of Billy Lynn too. That was impressively low: Opening weekend: $0.9m Total dbo: $1,736,708 It was not starring Damon, but Lee directed and a cast of known actor: Vin DieselSteve MartinKristen StewartChris Tucker
  23. That is definitely a special low amount, even Snowman did more than that with the same theater count.
  24. Must be generalized, old people not caring anymore and being ultra vocal/speaking to themselves more than youngers one, paying customer being "lie" too for when the show start on their ticket to show them a bunch of publicity (and I imagine often for older people to a bunch to ridiculous movie for young people), more than 3 trailers is being a bit ridiculous with ads imo.
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