It looks like the race for non-technical categories exists only for Best Actress and Adapted Screenplay (though, American Fiction is a huge favourite, but WGA will happen after the Oscars, so we won't have this huge precursor before AA ceremony).
May be it's not overlap too much. Just one example: Ex-Machina. Academy Award nominee (also winner), but 0 nominations on VES. And this is not only one example.
Yeah, i know. But from my point of view, VES is more competent and always was.
I'm sure they have their own reasons. But yeah, Dunkirk, for example, was in support category.
To be honest, don't believe in this at all. Have nothing against Cooper, but:
1) his oscar-bait is too much oscar-bait
2) i don't see any buzz around him. It's just a dead silence.
Just love both perfomances from Paul and Cillian and admire them as actors in general. Will be happy for winner anyway.
Well it didn't help "The Power of Dog".
Right now Oppy has in his hands pretty strong possible combo with editing - support - director. If Cillian will make a resurgence on Bafta+SAG (it's important to take both of them) ... i don't see who can stop Oppenheimer.
if, indeed.
I can believe in best actress, but adapted screenplay... that would be really tough, when you're against Poor Things, American Fiction and Oppy itself.
It more and more looks like battle between Oppy and The Holdovers.
Ideally Oppy would take editing, director and supporting actor, Holdovers - supporting actress and screenplay.
So, Giamatti vs Murphy is the key fight for this season.
May be. After pure cold ignore from Academy to Lupita Nyong'o's performance in "US", I just took simple fact that awards, mostly, are not about who is better.