MK with 650k at 10 hours, easily beating the nonHawkeye stuff. Of course Hawkeye has the weakest views, so the predictive value here is… not high. But at least indicates some strong level of pre-release interest, I guess. Perhaps a bit notable as it’s the first about a new character.
If Endgame had been delayed to July last minute Pika might make like 10% more. It didn’t come out on day 5 like Matrix, it was day 14 when Endgame was just normal sized competition.
Think you’re using larger as denominator when really it’s actual as denominator. I have you at 89.19, me at 89.24, Cjohn as I was saying earlier is going to win unless something crazy happens (currently 92.11 with only other above 90 Talisman Ring at 90.53)
Yep, still feel that was way low with the data on hand at the time. I had 3.5*10 as an absolute worst case for the 4day, so I think we’re coming in way on the low end and while on course that does make the forecast look good an n of 1 doesn’t demonstrate too much either way. If you expand to a larger set of OWs where I strongly disagreed with the BOP forecast (or look at the derby (or behavior from smart players in other BO games this week)) I think there is actually pretty robust evidence that we are indeed coming fairly on the low side of where things looked Th — and still beating that forecast.
Definitely a bit of a bummer vs 3 day ago expectations, but still pretty strong vs 3 week/month ago. Still taking out scream4 DOM in opening week I guess.