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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. One of these sounds kinda fun, but the other sounds like it could be a hassle. Don’t think I’ll reach for Mjolnir just yet 🤔
  2. 80.9 cume, 6.1 week/1.6 weekdays. Endgame is cooked, I guess it falls just short of Avatar depending on how harsh this upcoming drop is.
  3. I thought you were specifically talking about nostalgia cameos from other franchises, which pretty obviously aren’t going to happen in movies without a multiverse component. If all you mean is other mcu proper characters showing up, I mean, yeah, you’re gonna have 20 years of that. Audiences like connective stuff like that, it’s pretty much the big advantage of the cinematic universe model at all.
  4. Studio estimates are worse than useless imo — they seek to set low “expectations” to “beat” rather than inform what’s likely in reality. An infamous recent example being Sony lowballing NWH by 130M! If a studio felt like setting their number at 40% of what’s reasonable, you could be +75% it and still way low in my book. I have read the full writeup, but I think the past year or so shows that sales should be weighted really heavily. This reminds me of a couple other recent OWs where it was abundantly clear from the data in this thread (and historical/genre/reception/etc considerations on the internal multi) that a movie was going to open way higher (or lower) than the range at some other places, which I can only assume means that nonsales based models were dragging the average in the wrong direction.
  5. Starting from NWH we have: NWH (multiversal cameo fest) DS2 (multiversal cameo fest) Thor (no) BP2 (no) Marvels (no) Gotg3 (no) quantumania (maybe?) blade (no) fantastic four (maybe?) cap 4 (no) dp3 (maybe?) It’s literally just two in a row
  6. Yeah those seem like weird choices if you’re looking for attendance. I guess it’s more symbolic than actually $$ related either way though.
  7. Spiderverse pt1 2022 pt2 2023 Holland-man 4 2024 latest Probably at least one more Spiderverse, tobey, or Andrew by 2025 Holland-man 5 2026 at latest
  8. This would leave it basically headed for 760 exactly off the TFA comp. NWH has slightly more favorable SB timing, could be worth a mil or two.
  9. Pretty expected. Not getting too creamed from Scream but those were a 7PM start after all. Should be good for (roughly) 20M 3 day 25M 4day
  10. BOP going way low on Scream Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast 4-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Monday, January 17 Location Count 3-Day % Change from Last Wknd Scream (2022) Paramount Pictures $29,800,000 $33,700,000 $33,700,000 3,664 NEW Spider-Man: No Way Home Sony Pictures / Columbia & Marvel Studios $19,900,000 $24,900,000 $702,800,000 3,925 -39% Sing 2 Universal Pictures $8,700,000 $11,700,000 $122,700,000 3,581 -25% The 355 Universal Pictures $2,000,000 $2,300,000 $8,400,000 3,145 -57% The King’s Man Disney / 20th Century Studios $1,900,000 $2,300,000 $28,700,000 2,510 -41% American Underdog Lionsgate / Kingdom Story Company $1,700,000 $2,000,000 $21,500,000 2,394 -27% West Side Story (2021) Disney / 20th Century Studios $1,100,000 $1,400,000 $34,200,000 1,460 -20% The Matrix Resurrections Warner Bros. Pictures $925,000 $1,100,000 $36,100,000 1,725 -50% Licorice Pizza United Artists Releasing $800,000 $1,000,000 $9,700,000 772 -19% Ghostbusters: Afterlife Sony Pictures / Columbia $725,000 $900,000 $126,300,000 1,202 -35% But I think this is the first time they’ve offered 3day and 4day for all movies? Like that change a lot @Shawn 👍
  11. So what’s a man gotta do to @RiddlerXXR to get his derby champ tag huh? Weehawken at dawn? Dinner at Louis?
  12. It was 55.2 out of 867.5 est on Sun, actuals 868.65, so maybe use 55.3 for France Sun actual. Best est for more recent usd cumes is just to apply ratio of lc cumes to that USD fig.
  13. This is what passes as a 4th week boom in Hungary? Germany made 700M. No wonder they were the main power in WW1
  14. 100 was reasonably big in 1996, Scream was in the yearly top 15. 4 was a real stinker comparatively.
  15. 1st Run OS-C is 1.24, final is like 1380 WW-C is 1.84ish for 1st run, same as overall WW. Total WW-C is like 2.04 I guess If we can leg there then it’s top 4 WW-C 1st runs I guess, what a mouthful 😛
  16. It’s one of the better mcu movies, makes sense it would age well. By the time Eternals 2 comes out I think people will find its numerical rankings pretty bizarre.
  17. Bit underwhelming for NWH then, not too bad. All eyes on Wed/Mon drop
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