Cooper Legion

But my main point is really that mid 20s atp may be kind of nuts compared to mid 10s gut calibrated ideas of what a large OW looks like.

Little evidence of either sentence 14 years in 👀

275 sounds floptacular, that would be like outside mcu top 5 adjusted weekends.

Aside from direct restrictions which had some impact, hard for me to imagine that nobody stayed away or declined some repeat viewings they otherwise might have done out of virus fears. I mean, like 2.5% of the population will be more than 2 sigma cautious, which is pretty cautious! By end of the run the effect should be like £2M+ imo though obviously it’s quite difficult to measure.

2 of the last 2 OW record setters are avengers, and 3 of the last 5. The other two are the legacy sequels to franchises which already had multiple ow record setters. In theory something can always come out of nowhere but avengers sequels are obviously the heavy favorite.

It’s in the continent of Asia, but box office region is emea rather than apac if that’s what you mean.

A5 can target Endgame’s record if they set it up right. Not in tickets, but ATP may have risen some 25%+ by then. A6 should do it as long as theatrical model or mcu popularity hasn’t collapsed.

If we can get 80 for next Th, then 40% drops, that would be 87.8 Endgame definitely still a stretch but I think it’s a better goal (in the sense of having more uncertainty ) than TLJ.

Shishishishishishi 😛

Of course, in normal operation of things should have bigger OD than endgame, bigger 2day OW, and better legs. Let’s see how next couple days develop in terms of virus, reception seems great.

I am thinking 8, but Fri is definitely the last opportunIty to get things back on track in terms of good late legs. Even if it only does like 450M post OW I guess it’s okay under the circumstances.

Coulda been worse I guess.

Hmm, yeah, looking at Nov 2010 tues bumps they’re actually quite close to 2021. Seems I was misremembering the phase in timing there. Not so bad then though I would still like Sony to find a couple hundred k behind the sofa 😛

Don’t worry, when the Wednesday of the 7th week is like 8% low, I will be here to call it weak. I’m steadfast like that

Presumably Black Panther #1, how far behind will NWH land? Is BP2 likely to set an all-time record with market growth?

Early lead for @RiddlerXXR huh. Perhaps Avatar will make some money after all 🤔

When this is your opinion, the better answer is probably that you are the moron.

Not joking around, realistic expectations. Number is kind of weak. 1M less and….. yeeeeeeeesh man, truly the pits. It’s basically on par with comps from when tues wasn’t boosted, but in a time when tues is boosted. No two ways to slice it, that is below median reasonable hopes 🤷‍♂️ Maybe people didn’t like that 1M headline, or maybe it’ll recover with some solid wed/Th/fri horizontals and be irrelevant.

Better than horrific doesn't make good 😛

5.9 from a 5.25 is bad though 😛 I guess Friday is the real make or break, so we’ll just have to see.

I know about the calendar. 2011 isn't a good comp for Tuesday because the nature of Tuesdays is quite different since then. It's true that 2021 Tues weren't back at full 2018/2019 levels but still quite a bit stronger than beginning of the decade. NWH is having a weak Tuesday here. It's had 3 weak Tuesdays im a row. It's not fine/perfectly normal/exactly as expected, it's not a disaster either, Wednesday will tell the tale. A 20-25% drop there would be pretty awful, but if Friday bounces enough (I'd be on more like 120 for now) it could still be alright.

2011 Tuesdays and 2022 Tuesday aren't even in the same galaxy, cmon.

The pattern has been bummer Tues and solid wed I guess, so... 🤞