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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    NWH may do 2xish FFH on the high end in Dom. How many markets would that be enough to beat Endgame?
  2. Cooper Legion
    Don't be silly, Twitter has humongous capacity.
  3. Cooper Legion
    Before NWH is better to get massive eyeballs on it in theaters, but means they need a nonNWH spoilers cut of the trailer. I will be fine either way.
  4. Cooper Legion
    The releases that HW movies have been getting here since June are just awful. M4 and NWH the latest victims, but that hOlLyWoOd Is DeAd meming turning out to be not a meme.
  5. Cooper Legion
  6. Cooper Legion
    Well sure, previews under 80M seems pretty safe
  7. Cooper Legion
    No Way to scrape
  8. Cooper Legion
    Best 40 minutes or a marvel reaction circlejerk I've ever seen. Ambitious. Creative. Need a reread.
  9. Cooper Legion
    Tbf this is true
  10. Cooper Legion
    Man, get a load of these preseason NWH predictions
  11. Cooper Legion
    Good to have some healthy disagreements, let’s just see how it goes But thinking it will only get 60-75%ish when PS are firmly ahead of endgame in some places+Xmas seems a little weird. Being too defensive about endgame and thinking NWH looks bad personally may have you underestimating NWH legs I think.
  12. Cooper Legion
    Impossible is a bit much
  13. Cooper Legion
    I bet it beats endgame in at least one developed market.
  14. Cooper Legion
    Props to @Shawn & co, the new OW range is actually pretty good (I’m personally on 220-280 but those geomeans are within like 15% of each other and I would even shade a little lower if I was making a public forecast).
  15. Cooper Legion
    Who cares what the past marvel movies have done? There’s no rule that it can’t beat endgame by 10% in admits 🤷‍♂️
  16. Cooper Legion
    Heaven
  17. Cooper Legion
    Should be getting a new long range today. I guess they will mega lowball with 160-220 or so (previous range 135-185)
  18. Cooper Legion
    “There’s no marketing” is secret code for “there’s a lot of marketing”
  19. Cooper Legion
    Porthos has been providing D-N and T-N comps anyway, so I’m not even sure what is being discussed exactly. Dropping the D-N entirely, I guess? If there’s disagreement about which is better for now, retaining both could let people pick which they prefer (#geomean4Life)
  20. Cooper Legion
    Haven’t clicked show on that maxus post but 99% sure I know what it says
  21. Cooper Legion
    Thinking tomorrow will be good time to whip out some rate adjusted.
  22. Cooper Legion
    I still don’t understand how final comps grew 6.8% yesterday on total sales growth of 4.2%. Isn’t final comp linear function of total sold seats since the finale seat # and actual preview # of the comp are both fixed? Actually I see that today the final comps grew just 1% on seat growth of 3.3%, which means both grew 7.8% t-16 to t-14, quote sensible. I think your t-15 final comps are still unfixed, and perhaps the other t-15 comps then — not that it especially matters anymore.
  23. Cooper Legion
    Rate extrapolated 20M final previews
  24. Cooper Legion
    Actuals ps from people who want to see it are 10% endgame, 80% are from scalpers
  25. Cooper Legion
    I think there are some dangers with the atp from the scrapers, especially comparing 2019 to now. Perhaps @charlie Jatinder/ @keysersoze123/ @Menor can comment more on likely OW ATP vs Endgame — I seem to recall from casual chats that Jat thinks/thought the matinees would actually more than cancel inflation and leave NWH atp lower, whereas I have been thinking maybe like 1-3% higher.
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