Cooper Legion

Woah, actual details. Never seen this before.

Yeah, in January. Thinking $5M or so. F2 day is blah, just like I saw in the morning Good news is that $100 could still be possible looking at holiday legs of some other movies in years past.

OW easily 180+ with the Friday we’ve got. TLJ was 2.8, but the Cinemascore didn’t reflect the issues with reception that emerged later. I don’t see it going below 180*2.9=520, with 550+ still very likely.

Well this seems like a pretty neutral source of opinions about Vanilla Sky

Wow, better than expected for Cats.

Wow, Jesus. That’s a datapoint back in the direction of worse WOM.

Makes sense that it’ll usually be the 90s. Can’t wait for 290s to be the dissappinting OW range

It had a very strong Thursday compared to Jumanji, but if it could move to like 3.25 or 3.3 that would be nifty.

@Jedi Jat, what about the important movie this Friday: Black Christmas?

Well, it’s Disney, so naturally just gonna be some safe “Teen and up audiences.” I think following has been mentioned in articles and press tours and is not actually a spoiler, but being cautious:

Verified vs unverified is difficult to compare directly. Same % from verified era is almost certainly worse.

10 years is a long time. Venom is correct that 10 years of inflation and increasingly frontloaded moviegoing habits will make it easy to beat Endgame’s OW by 2029 — unless theatregoing collapse, which honestly I think is a very real possibility. But just extrapolating relatively normal drops in per capita attendance, there will be multiple 400M+ in the late 2020s

https://filmrust.com/calculator/ Also you can see earlier OW records in Barnack and I’s posts on the last page or two.

Star Wars: The Menacing Phantom

Of course it will, when Avatar 2 does 2.7B

JP2 had to longest, 4.5 years. Endgame will beat that without too much trouble I think. http://web.archive.org/web/20190428191554/https://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/pastrecords.htm

Jat 47-52, DL 50

Certainly it’s possible. It’s not too hard to see the potential business sense. I was just pointing out that the article they posted is not actually a confirmation of anything, which they seemed to be making it out as.

Probably not 27 or 28. Even 30 and it’s pretty dubious.

“Avatar is getting a rerelease” and “Cameron thinks Avatar will get a rerelease” are not actually the same thing

Korea has the best culture. Just look at how many Avengers and Frozen movies are in the Hollywood top 10 😍

Eh, I’m thinking 600+550ish. That would be disaster averted but still pretty awkward for a SW trilogy finale to place around 20th WW

Aud RT from 88 to 89 to 88 to 87 to 86 to 85. Denominator is big enough that it should stop at 84 or 83 at worst, which is on the weak side for verified imo but far from hated. Maybe 3.1 legs or something. CS A- or A

You snub 1/5 movies you have over 10M, and it’s the one you’re named after 😛 At the moment I pretty much agree on what the biggest 5 previews this thread will track will be, tentatively maybe: BW 18 WW84 16 Eternals 16 Venom 2 11.5 Mulan 11 So only serious 20+ shots would be (ordered): BW Eternals WW84 Hope at least one of them makes it. Edit: Also looking at this list, it occurs to me that Hollywood big numbers are about to become even more CBM dominated with SW going dormant and a lot of heavy hitter LA remakes and animated sequels just burned through.

I would urge people who are expecting a better Sun drop because Monday has more break to also consider the effect on the Sat bump of Friday having more break.