Cooper Legion

35 Christmas and following Hobbit for rest of run is 101M 2nd weekend and 545M finish, fwiw Edit: Yikes, careful doing math after too many gingerbread cookies folks. Real numbers on next page.

Who’s gonna tell him?

1) Eternals Black Widow Raya Onward Mulan Jungle Cruise Soul No Time to Die WW84 10)Tenet

I have been wondering how much this might be the reason tbh. A lot of GA might not realize no discounts yesterday until they made plans and went to go make the purchase, at which point there’s some momentum to just go through with it anyway.

I used the predictions to destroy the predictions. It nearly banned me.

Dread it. Run from it...

Hyped! Also, this reminds me to finish comparing you and Eric on the second half of 2019.

The Thursday PS are actually very weird though, to be fair. Does not look like a culture day at all imo, seems like things will be about level with the normal break days of Mon and Tues. And with how huge Christmas was, I am seriously wondering if they moved Culture Day back form Thurs to Wed... except the ATP is too high 🤷‍♂️

Revenue Share 1 ASHFALL South Korea Dec 19, 2019 $6,938,924 ($30,604,086) 923,911 (4,165,612) 1,626 46.83% 2 Cats U.S.,U.K. Dec 24, 2019 $2,374,735 ($3,736,928) 311,276 (500,444) 1,065 16.02% 3 START-UP South Korea Dec 18, 2019 $2,105,189 ($12,363,246) 279,389 (1,700,809) 987 14.2% 4 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $1,242,359 ($93,439,010) 166,621 (13,024,919) 814 8.38% 5 The Haunted House: The Sky Ghost VS Jormungandr South Korea Dec 19, 2019 $1,001,535 ($3,316,901) 145,580 (484,922) 714 6.75% 6 The Snow Queen: Mirrorlands Russia Dec 24, 2019 $402,557 ($472,662) 56,896 (68,031) 541 2.71% 7 The Queen's Corgi Belgium Dec 24, 2019 $354,799 ($415,930) 50,475 (61,401) 455 2.39% Everything seems like it will have BIG falls today, hard to believe it’s a Culture Day. For F2 CGV PS are 14k, maybe 64k or so day.

I thought theaters in UK and Australia just close on Christmas, is it not ~100% drops?

Even Tiger Zinda Hai’s -9.7% is a virtual increase considering it was Sunday.

Including Wednesday presales, this should be the hour where Frozen II ticked past 13M admits ❄️🔥🌪️ 🏔️ ❄️ Possibly its last million mark, but I strongly suspect not at this point. Today seem to be headed for 165k or so, which is a huge day so late in its run. The way KOBIS presales are going I wonder if we will see all movies drop on Culture Day 🤣 Speaking of movies and dropping, Cats is down to 71% egg. Although walkups have been very slow it will have another huge day, nearly 300k. Ashfall is going nuts and should comfortably clear 800k. Snow Queen: Mirrorlands will be sub 100k but it has a 98% at the moment, it’s amusing to me that we may see two sequels about snow queens do relatively well this winter.

It was actually an error to look at Hispanic +Asian/Other though, In US it should go from most to least Christian: African America Hispanic Caucasian Asian/Other But of course, religion is an imperfect proxy for intensity of Christmas observance, and race a fairly lacking proxy for either. Too bad posttrak doesn’t ask people how much they observe Christmas on a 5 point scale 😛 @Minnale101, yup. I realized that error right after the first post.

Looking at past Eve, there is one type of movie that sees a consistent increase — Indian productions. Makes sense that the conditions of the day are good for increased moviegoing if you aren’t actually, y’know, busy with Christmas. So Christian and similar tradition BO probably dips more steeply while some demos it actually goes up but gets cancelled by preponderance of a Christmas observing folks in DOM. So, the intensity of the drop should depend on, among other factors, religious splits among each movie’s audience. Knives Out and Jumanji both had high/very high Hispanic/Asian/Other posttrak (respectively 27%, 36%) and I believe KO also played very urban/coastal, which I’d expect to mute the impact a bit. Edit: Hispanics are actually more Christian than whites on average, see below for more musings.

Pssshh, everybody knows that Friday is not a real weekday

Woah, crazy Jumanji number.

I’m also in favor of combining Mon-Thurs threads.

Iron Man 3

Those would be solid for SW, great for F2. Tbh I’ll be quite impressed if actuals don’t move much from a 4PM Pacific est on Christmas Eve.

We’ve gotten to the point where Endgame is starting to feel unbelievable in retrospect for me. I mean a big movie will come out, and I’ll look back at Endgame’s opening numbers, and it’s like... how was that even real. Maybe it’s just a collective hallucination 🤔

Should have stayed with 29.3, would have won by 20k 😛

It’s certainly true that TROS’s holiday season helps it, but we’re just a couple hours into Day 4 being available and I’ve already seen a bunch of people (not just here, but some here) try to reason: TROS Day 4 is better than TLJ Day 4 TROS weekend was worse than TLJ weekend therefore TROS is/will hold better than TLJ, generally Which is of course a crock of utter bullshit.

I can’t believe I’m going to have to listen to a week of people telling me that TROS’s day 4,5,6,7,8 are good because they’re doing better than TLJ’s (workday) 4,5,6,7,8 🤦‍♂️

Quick update, CGV has already ticked to 55k at 3:20 AM. Gonna blow past 150k, but won’t speculate as to how much until midday.