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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Unfortunately that’s difficult to use as a comp now because TLK 1994’s next weekend is Labor Day and it went up 30%
  2. 64th place 10th weekend for Aladdin, rising slightly from last weekend’s 65th place. 63 Walk the Line Fox $3,065,796 2.6% 1,125 $2,725 $119,519,402 11/18/05 64 Meet the Parents Uni. $3,026,710 1.8% 1,934 $1,565 $166,244,045 10/6/00 65 The Lion King BV $3,013,759 1.0% 1,344 $2,242 $312,855,561 6/24/94 It’s been spooky close to TLK (1994) ever since their respective 3rd weekends (of wide release, TLK’s shows as 4-11 instead because of its 2 theater “OW” 7 days early). Jun 7, 2019 3 $24,680,968 -42% 3,805 $6,486 $232,566,894 3 Jun 14, 2019 3 $17,309,154 -30% 3,556 $4,868 $264,043,468 4 Jun 21, 2019 3 $13,244,015 -23% 3,435 $3,856 $288,554,143 5 Jun 28, 2019 4 $10,114,122 -24% 3,235 $3,126 $306,632,068 6 Jul 5, 2019 5 $7,515,649 -26% 2,758 $2,725 $320,705,265 7 Jul 12, 2019 6 $6,173,124 -18% 2,557 $2,414 $331,789,844 8 Jul 19, 2019 7 $4,085,424 -34% 2,105 $1,941 $340,326,138 9 Jul 26, 2019 7 $3,039,648 -26% 1,798 $1,691 $346,180,234 10 Jul 8, 1994 2 $24,195,645 -29% 2,565 $9,433 $143,426,906 4 Jul 15, 1994 3 $16,886,224 -30% 2,624 $6,435 $174,348,094 5 Jul 22, 1994 4 $14,005,541 -17% 2,611 $5,364 $199,723,355 6 Jul 29, 1994 5 $9,946,473 -29% 2,577 $3,860 $218,645,104 7 Aug 5, 1994 7 $7,074,280 -29% 2,355 $3,004 $232,392,912 8 Aug 12, 1994 8 $6,010,520 -15% 2,221 $2,706 $243,168,383 9 Aug 19, 1994 8 $4,336,530 -28% 1,783 $2,432 $251,364,916 10 Aug 26, 1994 8 $3,013,759 -31% 1,344 $2,242 $256,945,953 11
  3. Estimates $22,304,000 +48.7% / $4,720 $297,555,534 / 8 $29,694,000 +33.1% / $6,284 $327,249,534 / 9 $23,526,000 -20.8% / $4,979 $350,775,534 / 10 Actuals Jul 26, 2019 1 $22,432,165 +50% 4,725 $4,748 $297,683,699 8 Jul 27, 2019 1 $29,867,757 +33% 4,725 $6,321 $327,551,456 9 Jul 28, 2019 1 $24,321,631 -19% 4,725 $5,147 $351,873,087 10 +130k Friday revision +170k Sat revision +130k Sun as a result of Sat going up +670k from Sun drop beating the estimate So it actually was a majority of the improvement, spoke too soon. I wonder if Disney compulsively underestimates Fri and Sat as well. Haven't paid attention, but probably.
  4. Unlikely that the improvement is mostly from Sun, bet the Fri and Sat got revised up a good bit.
  5. Yeah, pretty much the huge admission increase is from markets that have expanded. Isn’t that obvious? What else would you expect, huge admission advantage in stagnant markets and flat in developing markets???
  6. I think this can beat the current #28 WW, but might do so too slowly to ever be in the top 30.
  7. Damn, man. Aladdin, Endgame, TS4, TLK were released by one studio in 4 consecutive months and they’re going for so many #1s around the world.
  8. Last Monday: And today (these early numbers will increase ~2% for many movies): Jul 29, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $1,081,837 ($29,138,563) 158,317 (3,865,041) 1,277 33.22% 2 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $640,430 ($84,703,219) 95,318 (11,757,287) 908 19.67% 3 The King's Letters South Korea Jul 24, 2019 $418,265 ($5,769,800) 63,245 (818,974) 898 12.84% 4 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $343,793 ($1,777,726) 55,103 (264,857) 636 10.55% 5 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $248,498 ($57,491,057) 36,571 (7,909,257) 632 7.63% 6 Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire Japan Jul 24, 2019 $100,745 ($1,238,736) 15,521 (183,286) 506 3.09% 7 LONG SHOT U.S. Jul 24, 2019 $105,963 ($1,186,112) 15,099 (157,885) 443 3.25% 8 Toy Story 4 U.S. Jun 20, 2019 $69,608 ($24,060,192) 10,554 (3,366,110) 184 2.13% 9 The Battle: Roar to Victory South Korea Aug 07, 2019 $52,463 ($52,463) 6,782 (6,782) 30 1.61% 10 PARASITE South Korea May 30, 2019 $35,374 ($72,226,886) 5,047 (10,045,886) 111 1.08% Parasite -33%, TS4 - ~5%, FFH -30%, TLK - ~4%... Aladdin +~29% 😮 Tues PS 17k, should be about flat or slight increase.
  9. You’re telling us that the movie which sold 100m more tickets did it in part because more tickets are sold now than a decade ago? This is a shock, an outrage! How could nobody have thought of that before!? 🤣
  10. Ambiguous wording strikes again 😛 I intended 3 new #1s, i.e. a total of 4 different #1s in the window in question including the previous record. Still it looks Chennai Express-Dhoom 3-PK was just 16 months, so it should just barely edge out Coco-IW-EG from Mexico.
  11. I thought Mexico was going to be a good bet, lol. This is is a super longshot, but if F2 has spectacular reception SK could make a play for less than 10 months
  12. I was pretty sure that they started a week or two ago already, but something strange does seem to be going on today. TLK looks like it may increase by like 10% from last Mon, and Aladdin... For now things look headed toward a 40-50% increase from last Mon, so there’s gotta be something strange going on after all. I’m excited, so I’ll update hourly. 13:20 ~105k 14:20 ~102k 15:20 ~98k (+30%) returning to normalcy a bit, but still seems like there must be something notable affecting today 16:20 Okay, can now say pretty confidently that 23:20 will basically be 50k, which means probably 96-99k admits.
  13. TLK’s WW-DOM-J-C-SK gross will be way higher than I expected. Those markets maybe 750-800M or so, 750-800M or so in rest? More? Quite unusual to see those 4 contributing half or less.
  14. Somebody said it in this thread, true. They were confused, and it was BS.
  15. TLk, FFH, TS4 and Aladdin are all too low there. Not paying enough attention to the rest to comment.
  16. Should add about 20-35M after Labor Day, so those median’s predictions are looking extremely good. Wisdom of the crowds indeed.
  17. *Checks notes Disney rankings club* Well atm I’d go more like 570/1.6, so I’m calling that some met expectations.
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