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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    +6% 950k +140% 2.28 +70% 3.876 -33% 2.597 Would be 8.75 weekend. Not a prediction, but there’s nothing particularly odd going on with those daily %s considering we’re fully off of break.
  2. Cooper Legion
    The first new opener finally makes an appearance on MT ... and it’s After, with 4.9% to AEG’s 40.5. Still no sign of Hellboy
  3. Cooper Legion
    Box Office Mojo has its cume at about R$149.5M on the last weekend of what they show as its main run: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/brazil/?yr=2015&wk=27&currency=local&p=.htm But then it shows up for 2 weeks in October 2015 out of the blue, making less than R$1000 on the weekends but now with a R$187M cume. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/brazil/?yr=2015&wk=42&currency=local&p=.htm So, they don’t have a very clear picture either
  4. Cooper Legion
    Ahh, strange. I was probably mistaken then. Pretty solid for Pika Pika.
  5. Cooper Legion
    This comparison is off. I2’s first day isn’t a 24 hour period, it’s just from ticket sales starting to midnight on the first day.
  6. Cooper Legion
    https://news.yahoo.com/avengers-endgame-target-break-time-uk-opening-weekend-box-office-record-145051230.html
  7. Cooper Legion
    Yeah, I don’t actually think Shazam is too friendly to the like, 6 to 10 year old demographic, whereas HTTYD3 was. I don’t think the daily jumps will be enough to get it over 32 or so, could be a fair bit lower. Just wanted to point out that some really big Fri and or Sat jumps exist depending on what sort of movie you choose to comp it as (too early to really know).
  8. Cooper Legion
    If it follows HTTYD3 Days 7-10 +0% 2.6 +215% 8.2 +120% 18 -32.5% 12.2 38.4M wknd The point being, different movies have really different 1st Wed:2nd wknd multis. Just have to wait and see.
  9. Cooper Legion
    I hope these were added very recently, otherwise shame on DC 😛
  10. Cooper Legion
    Each day less of presales brings even higher presales per day. Just grow more and more excited tbh. Sometimes in US big presales lead to headlines lead to even more presales, is there a similar dynamic in China?
  11. Cooper Legion
    Aquaman has a 99.9%+ chance to remain ahead worldwide. Ah, misread. CM will have a higher theatrical revenue and lower costs, so it will almost definitely be more profitable.
  12. Cooper Legion
    Y’know 39*1.8 isn’t thaaaaaaat, crazy
  13. Cooper Legion
    If it keeps this up it’ll only get 450k on Fandango on Mon-Thurs of release week
  14. Cooper Legion
    Rolling now at 25.8k, has fallen last two hours. Will be first day below 2x IW, but dropping some is expected with how little low-hanging fruit is left.
  15. Cooper Legion
    17:00 Pacific, 4/10/2019 (Wed) 1 34.4% Avengers: Endgame 2 15.6% Shazam! 3 8.2% Pet Sematary 4 6.6% Dumbo 5 5.9% Us More than double Shazam at end of today, vs not even 150% on Monday. Just holding massively for a movie still more than 2 weeks away from previews. I think we will soon be finishing the ramp down and beginning the ramp up, without ever having that low sale middle portion.
  16. Cooper Legion
    It was hard to tell sometimes exactly what was a joke and what was legitimate optimism. I’ll be glad to see some of the Pika hype come back to earth, but I agree that it’ll pick up closer to release and have a good walk-up % for a fine weekend.
  17. Cooper Legion
    For tickets already sold under the table at a higher price, which price will go towards the official BO numbers?
  18. Cooper Legion
    The question then shifts to be, can it beat the current record for top 12 gross?
  19. Cooper Legion
    Just waiting for that jump when tickets actually go on sale.
  20. Cooper Legion
    I expect my end of day post on Friday and Saturday will have it in 2nd place, but other than those two guessing so. And who knows, Shazam might miss on Fri (or even Sat).
  21. Cooper Legion
    17:00 Pacific, 4/9/2019 (Discount Tuesday) 1 23.4% Shazam! 2 18.1% Avengers: Endgame 3 12.2% Pet Sematary 4 8.1% Dumbo 5 7.3% Captain Marvel I’m not 100% sure this will be the last update tonight, if there’s one more I’ll edit. Remaining at more than 75% of Shazam even on Tuesday seem pretty good. Don’t have much else to say about today.
  22. Cooper Legion
    No, it’s just a random subset and counts transactions rather than individual tickets.
  23. Cooper Legion
    I expect a press release when the $$ of presales is past TFA to set a new record, but maybe not.
  24. Cooper Legion
    If I’m reading correctly, the 4 day nature of the opening means it could potentially exceed IW’s OW by over 40% in lc?
  25. Cooper Legion
    I’m very wary of just multiplying by a number in the 4000s with the $/theater number figures from a big chain. Aren’t there a lot of smaller theaters in the 4400 theater figure that simply can’t do that sort of business and contribute a much smaller portion of the OW sales? Also note that if Sellout increase Thirs by 10% and F by 3%, the Thurs would be 1.1/3.13=35.2% instead of 33.3% of TFS sales. That knocks about 5% off of the estimate.
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