Jump to content

Cooper Legion

Gold Account
  • Posts

    23,008
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    17

Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Fucking come off it man. That’s not what was said at all, and fanboys like you have been mischaracterizing and then whining about the mischaracterization for weeks now. It’s stale, move on. Edit: Leaving this for posterity, but please see further conversation below where things are clarified with a nicer tone.
  2. I’ll go with 750 DOM as well, for now, is a 10% increase. Say maybe a 16% lc increase OS, 10% USD, would be worth 1500 OS. 2.25B
  3. By the way, now that we’re only a month away, here’s a check in on ER’s in IW’s 10 biggest markets (+Japan and Indonesia): China — ER has fallen from 6.4 to 6.7, IW’s 376 would be worth 359 today (-17M) UK — ER has fallen from ~.72 to .76, IW’s 96.6 would be about 91.5 today (-5M) SK — ER from around 1070 to 1130, IW’s 93.1 would be about 88.1 today (-5M) Brazil — from ~3.5 to 3.9, IW’s 66.6 would be about 59.6 (-7M) Mexico — ~19 to 19, 60M->60M (-0) France, Germany — both on the euro, ~.83 to .88, combined gross of 93 would today be ~88 (-5M) AUS — ~1.33->1.41, ~47->44 (-3M) India — ~67 to 69, 44-> 43 (-1M) Russia — ~62 to 65, 35-> 32 (-3M) Japan — ~110 to 110, -0M Indonesia — ~13900 to 14200, 25M->24.5M (-.5M) Combined, these 12 territories were worth about 970 for IW (71% of its OS gross) and today the same local grosses would be about 923M, roughly -5%. Things could always change in the next 4 weeks (in particular Brazil’s ER is pretty volatile for political reasons, and the U.K. could have a big political event in the next 4 weeks) but at these rates an increase of 20% lc in every market would only be +14% or so in USD.
  4. In various countries the “,” symbol is used to separate the integer and fractional portion of a number, instead of the “.” decimal point. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decimal_separator#Arabic_numerals
  5. I learned about this place from the reddit on BP weekend. Still pretty active over there but the quality of discussion here is higher.
  6. Adding 24 to reach 117, around where do you see it ending? I assume Shazam will cause a big screen drop, but not sure about Dumbo.
  7. Whether it hits 710 or 690 OS doesn’t impact your club much. The WW will be ~1.1, so it’s mostly down to IX from here
  8. Last weekend was 121, with 52 Weekend has added 93 in next 7 days, 77%. 77% of 52 is 40M, i.e. could be under 630 next Sun. Be a little generous, say it would be 635 off a 25M weekend, think it should be pretty clear how it could miss.
  9. I’m with Baumer, not that scary or that thematically interesting imo. Same movie released by someone who had not just released Get Out gets C+/B- and under 50M OW
  10. 52 would be a bad drop, and could definitely miss 700 off of it. Hoping for actuals more like 54 at least.
  11. Ohhh, you meant 7th DOM total. Yeah, jury’s still out on that, could very plausibly pass IM3 with some good drops in next few wknds.
  12. Err, exactly what will we see about? There’s no way to hit #18 off of 9.2+15.2, you’d need a 16% drop. Even if you hope actuals come in at 15.4, would need an 18% drop. It’s L-O-C-K-E-D, them’s just the facts.
  13. Streak of placing 18th is dead, but if Sunday puts it below GotG2’s 34.65the streak of 7th biggest for MCU is alive. 19.4-20.4 next weekend needed to maintain that, looks possible but it’s a narrow window. Will likely finish 7th WW and good chance DOM.
  14. RIP That’s like a 34.5 or so weekend then, coulda been worse. And Us is still having a spectacular OW.
  15. Is it better to subject yourself to 150 minutes of 4/10 quality or 180 minutes of 5/10 quality? Open philosophical question.
  16. I subconsciously docked it a lot the first time for not doing anything to advance any larger MCU cosmic plots points, but with some more distance and removed from those expectations it moves along reasonably well and has some hard hitting emotional moments.
  17. Oh my goodness, look at BOM’s page for GotG Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Gross-to-Date Week # Oct. 10–12 2 $30,070,000 - $30,070,000 1 Oct. 13–19 1 $37,970,000 +26.3% $69,040,000 2 Oct. 20–26 2 $17,820,000 -53.1% $88,040,000 3 Oct. 27–Nov. 2 5 $5,810,000 -67.4% $94,890,000 4 Nov. 3–9 7 $1,530,000 -73.7% $96,470,000 5 2017 Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Gross-to-Date Week # May 1–7 17 $12,820 - $86,346,366 135 Rerelease it to the tune of some 80k ¥ 3 years later and suddenly they dock you 10M USD
  18. It doesn’t really “matter,” but this is a haven for box office nerdery. When the second female led superhero movie of the modern SH era looks on track to finish pretty close to the first, naturally under/over will become one of the narratives that people are tracking.
  19. Long story short, no. The drop might be in the 30s (might not), but it would be more because 4th weekend drops tend to be better generally. Dumbo is mid-sized, any double feature $ it provides will be like .5-1.5M. So if you thought CM’s “normal” drop would be, say, 36->22.5M (-37.5%) then Dumbo double features could perhaps take things instead to about 36->23.5 (-34.7%). Even that improvement of 2.8% from them seems more likely to be an overestimate than an underestimate to me, but should be roughly in the right ballpark. Btw I chose 37.5 for convenience, not because that’s the drop I’m expecting.
  20. Sun OS should be about 590-595 then, WW 910-915. +150 in last week, likely be a bit short of 1B next Sun. Over AQM is fading a bit, but over 1.1 still a really good result.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.