Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Fucking come off it man. That’s not what was said at all, and fanboys like you have been mischaracterizing and then whining about the mischaracterization for weeks now. It’s stale, move on. Edit: Leaving this for posterity, but please see further conversation below where things are clarified with a nicer tone.
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By the way, now that we’re only a month away, here’s a check in on ER’s in IW’s 10 biggest markets (+Japan and Indonesia): China — ER has fallen from 6.4 to 6.7, IW’s 376 would be worth 359 today (-17M) UK — ER has fallen from ~.72 to .76, IW’s 96.6 would be about 91.5 today (-5M) SK — ER from around 1070 to 1130, IW’s 93.1 would be about 88.1 today (-5M) Brazil — from ~3.5 to 3.9, IW’s 66.6 would be about 59.6 (-7M) Mexico — ~19 to 19, 60M->60M (-0) France, Germany — both on the euro, ~.83 to .88, combined gross of 93 would today be ~88 (-5M) AUS — ~1.33->1.41, ~47->44 (-3M) India — ~67 to 69, 44-> 43 (-1M) Russia — ~62 to 65, 35-> 32 (-3M) Japan — ~110 to 110, -0M Indonesia — ~13900 to 14200, 25M->24.5M (-.5M) Combined, these 12 territories were worth about 970 for IW (71% of its OS gross) and today the same local grosses would be about 923M, roughly -5%. Things could always change in the next 4 weeks (in particular Brazil’s ER is pretty volatile for political reasons, and the U.K. could have a big political event in the next 4 weeks) but at these rates an increase of 20% lc in every market would only be +14% or so in USD.
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brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
Cooper Legion replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
Adding 24 to reach 117, around where do you see it ending? I assume Shazam will cause a big screen drop, but not sure about Dumbo. -
Oh my goodness, look at BOM’s page for GotG Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Gross-to-Date Week # Oct. 10–12 2 $30,070,000 - $30,070,000 1 Oct. 13–19 1 $37,970,000 +26.3% $69,040,000 2 Oct. 20–26 2 $17,820,000 -53.1% $88,040,000 3 Oct. 27–Nov. 2 5 $5,810,000 -67.4% $94,890,000 4 Nov. 3–9 7 $1,530,000 -73.7% $96,470,000 5 2017 Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Gross-to-Date Week # May 1–7 17 $12,820 - $86,346,366 135 Rerelease it to the tune of some 80k ¥ 3 years later and suddenly they dock you 10M USD
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Long story short, no. The drop might be in the 30s (might not), but it would be more because 4th weekend drops tend to be better generally. Dumbo is mid-sized, any double feature $ it provides will be like .5-1.5M. So if you thought CM’s “normal” drop would be, say, 36->22.5M (-37.5%) then Dumbo double features could perhaps take things instead to about 36->23.5 (-34.7%). Even that improvement of 2.8% from them seems more likely to be an overestimate than an underestimate to me, but should be roughly in the right ballpark. Btw I chose 37.5 for convenience, not because that’s the drop I’m expecting.